Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis
- Autores
- Suriano, Micaela; Caram, Leónida Facundo; Caiafa, Cesar Federico; Merlino, Hernán; Rosso, Osvaldo Aníbal
- Año de publicación
- 2025
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- This paper investigates the temporal evolution of cryptocurrency time series using information measures such as complexity, entropy, and Fisher information. The main objective is to differentiate between various levels of randomness and chaos. The methodology was applied to 176 daily closing price time series of different cryptocurrencies, from October 2015 to October 2024, with more than 30 days of data and not completely null. Complexity–entropy causality plane (CECP) analysis reveals that daily cryptocurrency series with lengths of two years or less exhibit chaotic behavior, while those longer than two years display stochastic behavior. Most longer series resemble colored noise, with the parameter k varying between 0 and 2. Additionally, Natural Language Processing (NLP) analysis identified the most relevant terms in each white paper, facilitating a clustering method that resulted in four distinct clusters. However, no significant characteristics were found across these clusters in terms of the dynamics of the time series. This finding challenges the assumption that project narratives dictate market behavior. For this reason, investment recommendations should prioritize real-time informational metrics over whitepaper content.
Instituto de Física La Plata
Instituto Argentino de Radioastronomía - Materia
-
Física
permutation entropy
statistical complexity
cryptocurrency - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Universidad Nacional de La Plata
- OAI Identificador
- oai:sedici.unlp.edu.ar:10915/181641
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Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series AnalysisSuriano, MicaelaCaram, Leónida FacundoCaiafa, Cesar FedericoMerlino, HernánRosso, Osvaldo AníbalFísicapermutation entropystatistical complexitycryptocurrencyThis paper investigates the temporal evolution of cryptocurrency time series using information measures such as complexity, entropy, and Fisher information. The main objective is to differentiate between various levels of randomness and chaos. The methodology was applied to 176 daily closing price time series of different cryptocurrencies, from October 2015 to October 2024, with more than 30 days of data and not completely null. Complexity–entropy causality plane (CECP) analysis reveals that daily cryptocurrency series with lengths of two years or less exhibit chaotic behavior, while those longer than two years display stochastic behavior. Most longer series resemble colored noise, with the parameter k varying between 0 and 2. Additionally, Natural Language Processing (NLP) analysis identified the most relevant terms in each white paper, facilitating a clustering method that resulted in four distinct clusters. However, no significant characteristics were found across these clusters in terms of the dynamics of the time series. This finding challenges the assumption that project narratives dictate market behavior. For this reason, investment recommendations should prioritize real-time informational metrics over whitepaper content.Instituto de Física La PlataInstituto Argentino de Radioastronomía2025-04info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArticulohttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfhttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/181641enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1099-4300info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/e27040450info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)reponame:SEDICI (UNLP)instname:Universidad Nacional de La Platainstacron:UNLP2025-09-29T11:49:33Zoai:sedici.unlp.edu.ar:10915/181641Institucionalhttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/Universidad públicaNo correspondehttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/oai/snrdalira@sedici.unlp.edu.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:13292025-09-29 11:49:34.181SEDICI (UNLP) - Universidad Nacional de La Platafalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
title |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
spellingShingle |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis Suriano, Micaela Física permutation entropy statistical complexity cryptocurrency |
title_short |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
title_full |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
title_fullStr |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
title_sort |
Information Theory Quantifiers in Cryptocurrency Time Series Analysis |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Suriano, Micaela Caram, Leónida Facundo Caiafa, Cesar Federico Merlino, Hernán Rosso, Osvaldo Aníbal |
author |
Suriano, Micaela |
author_facet |
Suriano, Micaela Caram, Leónida Facundo Caiafa, Cesar Federico Merlino, Hernán Rosso, Osvaldo Aníbal |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Caram, Leónida Facundo Caiafa, Cesar Federico Merlino, Hernán Rosso, Osvaldo Aníbal |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Física permutation entropy statistical complexity cryptocurrency |
topic |
Física permutation entropy statistical complexity cryptocurrency |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
This paper investigates the temporal evolution of cryptocurrency time series using information measures such as complexity, entropy, and Fisher information. The main objective is to differentiate between various levels of randomness and chaos. The methodology was applied to 176 daily closing price time series of different cryptocurrencies, from October 2015 to October 2024, with more than 30 days of data and not completely null. Complexity–entropy causality plane (CECP) analysis reveals that daily cryptocurrency series with lengths of two years or less exhibit chaotic behavior, while those longer than two years display stochastic behavior. Most longer series resemble colored noise, with the parameter k varying between 0 and 2. Additionally, Natural Language Processing (NLP) analysis identified the most relevant terms in each white paper, facilitating a clustering method that resulted in four distinct clusters. However, no significant characteristics were found across these clusters in terms of the dynamics of the time series. This finding challenges the assumption that project narratives dictate market behavior. For this reason, investment recommendations should prioritize real-time informational metrics over whitepaper content. Instituto de Física La Plata Instituto Argentino de Radioastronomía |
description |
This paper investigates the temporal evolution of cryptocurrency time series using information measures such as complexity, entropy, and Fisher information. The main objective is to differentiate between various levels of randomness and chaos. The methodology was applied to 176 daily closing price time series of different cryptocurrencies, from October 2015 to October 2024, with more than 30 days of data and not completely null. Complexity–entropy causality plane (CECP) analysis reveals that daily cryptocurrency series with lengths of two years or less exhibit chaotic behavior, while those longer than two years display stochastic behavior. Most longer series resemble colored noise, with the parameter k varying between 0 and 2. Additionally, Natural Language Processing (NLP) analysis identified the most relevant terms in each white paper, facilitating a clustering method that resulted in four distinct clusters. However, no significant characteristics were found across these clusters in terms of the dynamics of the time series. This finding challenges the assumption that project narratives dictate market behavior. For this reason, investment recommendations should prioritize real-time informational metrics over whitepaper content. |
publishDate |
2025 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2025-04 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Articulo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/181641 |
url |
http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/181641 |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1099-4300 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/e27040450 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) |
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openAccess |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) |
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application/pdf |
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SEDICI (UNLP) - Universidad Nacional de La Plata |
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