Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
- Autores
- Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; Haider, Sylvia; Kueffer, Christoph; McDougall, Keith; Milbau, Ann; Nuñez, Martin Andres; Pauchard, Aníbal; Rabitsch, Wolfgang; Rew, Lisa J.; Sanders, Nathan J.; Pellissier, Loïc
- Año de publicación
- 2018
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.
Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza
Fil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; Francia
Fil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; Australia
Fil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; Austria
Fil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; Alemania
Fil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; Australia
Fil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; Bélgica
Fil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; Chile
Fil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; Austria
Fil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados Unidos
Fil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados Unidos
Fil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza - Materia
-
ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATIC DEBT
MIGRATION
NOVEL INTERACTIONS
RANGE DYNAMICS
RANGE EXPANSION - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128
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oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128 |
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Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate changeAlexander, Jake M.Chalmandrier, LoïcLenoir, JonathanBurgess, Treena I.Essl, FranzHaider, SylviaKueffer, ChristophMcDougall, KeithMilbau, AnnNuñez, Martin AndresPauchard, AníbalRabitsch, WolfgangRew, Lisa J.Sanders, Nathan J.Pellissier, LoïcALPINE ECOSYSTEMSBIOTIC INTERACTIONSCLIMATE CHANGECLIMATIC DEBTMIGRATIONNOVEL INTERACTIONSRANGE DYNAMICSRANGE EXPANSIONhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; SuizaFil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; SuizaFil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; FranciaFil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; AustraliaFil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; AustriaFil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; AlemaniaFil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; SuizaFil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; AustraliaFil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; BélgicaFil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; ArgentinaFil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; ChileFil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; AustriaFil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados UnidosFil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados UnidosFil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; SuizaWiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc2018-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-5791354-1013CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.13976info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13976info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5813787/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:32:24Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:32:24.763CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
title |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
spellingShingle |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change Alexander, Jake M. ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC DEBT MIGRATION NOVEL INTERACTIONS RANGE DYNAMICS RANGE EXPANSION |
title_short |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
title_full |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
title_fullStr |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
title_sort |
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Alexander, Jake M. Chalmandrier, Loïc Lenoir, Jonathan Burgess, Treena I. Essl, Franz Haider, Sylvia Kueffer, Christoph McDougall, Keith Milbau, Ann Nuñez, Martin Andres Pauchard, Aníbal Rabitsch, Wolfgang Rew, Lisa J. Sanders, Nathan J. Pellissier, Loïc |
author |
Alexander, Jake M. |
author_facet |
Alexander, Jake M. Chalmandrier, Loïc Lenoir, Jonathan Burgess, Treena I. Essl, Franz Haider, Sylvia Kueffer, Christoph McDougall, Keith Milbau, Ann Nuñez, Martin Andres Pauchard, Aníbal Rabitsch, Wolfgang Rew, Lisa J. Sanders, Nathan J. Pellissier, Loïc |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Chalmandrier, Loïc Lenoir, Jonathan Burgess, Treena I. Essl, Franz Haider, Sylvia Kueffer, Christoph McDougall, Keith Milbau, Ann Nuñez, Martin Andres Pauchard, Aníbal Rabitsch, Wolfgang Rew, Lisa J. Sanders, Nathan J. Pellissier, Loïc |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC DEBT MIGRATION NOVEL INTERACTIONS RANGE DYNAMICS RANGE EXPANSION |
topic |
ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC DEBT MIGRATION NOVEL INTERACTIONS RANGE DYNAMICS RANGE EXPANSION |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide. Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza Fil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza Fil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; Francia Fil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; Australia Fil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; Austria Fil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; Alemania Fil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; Suiza Fil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; Australia Fil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; Bélgica Fil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina Fil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; Chile Fil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; Austria Fil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados Unidos Fil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados Unidos Fil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza |
description |
Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-02 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128 Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-579 1354-1013 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128 |
identifier_str_mv |
Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-579 1354-1013 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.13976 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13976 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5813787/ |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
reponame_str |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
collection |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
instname_str |
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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1844612988361768960 |
score |
13.070432 |