Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change

Autores
Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; Haider, Sylvia; Kueffer, Christoph; McDougall, Keith; Milbau, Ann; Nuñez, Martin Andres; Pauchard, Aníbal; Rabitsch, Wolfgang; Rew, Lisa J.; Sanders, Nathan J.; Pellissier, Loïc
Año de publicación
2018
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.
Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza
Fil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; Francia
Fil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; Australia
Fil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; Austria
Fil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; Alemania
Fil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; Australia
Fil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; Bélgica
Fil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; Chile
Fil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; Austria
Fil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados Unidos
Fil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados Unidos
Fil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Materia
ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATIC DEBT
MIGRATION
NOVEL INTERACTIONS
RANGE DYNAMICS
RANGE EXPANSION
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128
Acceder
id CONICETDig_f67e2df4ce6161922ce4469db5d49b73
oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate changeAlexander, Jake M.Chalmandrier, LoïcLenoir, JonathanBurgess, Treena I.Essl, FranzHaider, SylviaKueffer, ChristophMcDougall, KeithMilbau, AnnNuñez, Martin AndresPauchard, AníbalRabitsch, WolfgangRew, Lisa J.Sanders, Nathan J.Pellissier, LoïcALPINE ECOSYSTEMSBIOTIC INTERACTIONSCLIMATE CHANGECLIMATIC DEBTMIGRATIONNOVEL INTERACTIONSRANGE DYNAMICSRANGE EXPANSIONhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; SuizaFil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; SuizaFil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; FranciaFil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; AustraliaFil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; AustriaFil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; AlemaniaFil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; SuizaFil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; AustraliaFil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; BélgicaFil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; ArgentinaFil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; ChileFil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; AustriaFil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados UnidosFil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados UnidosFil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; SuizaWiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc2018-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-5791354-1013CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.13976info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13976info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5813787/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:00:22Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/97128instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:00:22.653CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
title Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
spellingShingle Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
Alexander, Jake M.
ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATIC DEBT
MIGRATION
NOVEL INTERACTIONS
RANGE DYNAMICS
RANGE EXPANSION
title_short Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
title_full Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
title_fullStr Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
title_full_unstemmed Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
title_sort Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Alexander, Jake M.
Chalmandrier, Loïc
Lenoir, Jonathan
Burgess, Treena I.
Essl, Franz
Haider, Sylvia
Kueffer, Christoph
McDougall, Keith
Milbau, Ann
Nuñez, Martin Andres
Pauchard, Aníbal
Rabitsch, Wolfgang
Rew, Lisa J.
Sanders, Nathan J.
Pellissier, Loïc
author Alexander, Jake M.
author_facet Alexander, Jake M.
Chalmandrier, Loïc
Lenoir, Jonathan
Burgess, Treena I.
Essl, Franz
Haider, Sylvia
Kueffer, Christoph
McDougall, Keith
Milbau, Ann
Nuñez, Martin Andres
Pauchard, Aníbal
Rabitsch, Wolfgang
Rew, Lisa J.
Sanders, Nathan J.
Pellissier, Loïc
author_role author
author2 Chalmandrier, Loïc
Lenoir, Jonathan
Burgess, Treena I.
Essl, Franz
Haider, Sylvia
Kueffer, Christoph
McDougall, Keith
Milbau, Ann
Nuñez, Martin Andres
Pauchard, Aníbal
Rabitsch, Wolfgang
Rew, Lisa J.
Sanders, Nathan J.
Pellissier, Loïc
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATIC DEBT
MIGRATION
NOVEL INTERACTIONS
RANGE DYNAMICS
RANGE EXPANSION
topic ALPINE ECOSYSTEMS
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATIC DEBT
MIGRATION
NOVEL INTERACTIONS
RANGE DYNAMICS
RANGE EXPANSION
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.
Fil: Alexander, Jake M.. Universite de Lausanne; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: Chalmandrier, Loïc. ETH Zurich; Suiza. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza
Fil: Lenoir, Jonathan. Universite de Picardie Jules Verne; Francia
Fil: Burgess, Treena I.. Murdoch University; Australia
Fil: Essl, Franz. Universidad de Viena; Austria
Fil: Haider, Sylvia. Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg; Alemania
Fil: Kueffer, Christoph. ETH Zurich; Suiza
Fil: McDougall, Keith. La Trobe University; Australia
Fil: Milbau, Ann. Research Institute for Nature and Forest; Bélgica
Fil: Nuñez, Martin Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Pauchard, Aníbal. Universidad de Concepción; Chile
Fil: Rabitsch, Wolfgang. Environment Agency Austria; Austria
Fil: Rew, Lisa J.. State University of Montana; Estados Unidos
Fil: Sanders, Nathan J.. The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Estados Unidos. Natural History Museum of Denmark; Dinamarca. University of Vermont; Estados Unidos
Fil: Pellissier, Loïc. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Suiza. ETH Zurich; Suiza
description Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical models (e.g. species distribution models) rarely consider that plant community changes could substantially lag behind climatic changes, hindering our ability to make temporally realistic projections for the coming century. Indeed, the magnitudes of lags, and the relative importance of the different factors giving rise to them, remain poorly understood. We review evidence for three types of lag: “dispersal lags” affecting plant species’ spread along elevational gradients, “establishment lags” following their arrival in recipient communities, and “extinction lags” of resident species. Variation in lags is explained by variation among species in physiological and demographic responses, by effects of altered biotic interactions, and by aspects of the physical environment. Of these, altered biotic interactions could contribute substantially to establishment and extinction lags, yet impacts of biotic interactions on range dynamics are poorly understood. We develop a mechanistic community model to illustrate how species turnover in future communities might lag behind simple expectations based on species’ range shifts with unlimited dispersal. The model shows a combined contribution of altered biotic interactions and dispersal lags to plant community turnover along an elevational gradient following climate warming. Our review and simulation support the view that accounting for disequilibrium range dynamics will be essential for realistic forecasts of patterns of biodiversity under climate change, with implications for the conservation of mountain species and the ecosystem functions they provide.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2018-02
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128
Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-579
1354-1013
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/97128
identifier_str_mv Alexander, Jake M.; Chalmandrier, Loïc; Lenoir, Jonathan; Burgess, Treena I.; Essl, Franz; et al.; Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Change Biology; 24; 2; 2-2018; 563-579
1354-1013
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.13976
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13976
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5813787/
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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