Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
- Autores
- Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair
- Año de publicación
- 2019
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.
Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino Unido
Fil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino Unido - Materia
-
BIOGEOGRAPHY
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
MARGINAL POPULATIONS - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/110574
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edgesVilà Cabrera, AlbertPremoli Il'grande, Andrea CeciliaJump, AlistairBIOGEOGRAPHYBIOTIC INTERACTIONSCLIMATE CHANGEMARGINAL POPULATIONShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino UnidoFil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; ArgentinaFil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino UnidoWiley2019-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-15601354-10131365-2486CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.14597info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.14597info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:36:18Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/110574instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:36:18.816CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
title |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
spellingShingle |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges Vilà Cabrera, Albert BIOGEOGRAPHY BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE MARGINAL POPULATIONS |
title_short |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
title_full |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
title_fullStr |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
title_full_unstemmed |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
title_sort |
Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Vilà Cabrera, Albert Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia Jump, Alistair |
author |
Vilà Cabrera, Albert |
author_facet |
Vilà Cabrera, Albert Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia Jump, Alistair |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia Jump, Alistair |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
BIOGEOGRAPHY BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE MARGINAL POPULATIONS |
topic |
BIOGEOGRAPHY BIOTIC INTERACTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE MARGINAL POPULATIONS |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics. Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino Unido Fil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina Fil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino Unido |
description |
According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-02 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574 Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-1560 1354-1013 1365-2486 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574 |
identifier_str_mv |
Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-1560 1354-1013 1365-2486 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.14597 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.14597 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley |
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reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
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Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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1844613137357078528 |
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13.070432 |