Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges

Autores
Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair
Año de publicación
2019
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.
Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino Unido
Fil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino Unido
Materia
BIOGEOGRAPHY
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
MARGINAL POPULATIONS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/110574
Acceder
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spelling Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edgesVilà Cabrera, AlbertPremoli Il'grande, Andrea CeciliaJump, AlistairBIOGEOGRAPHYBIOTIC INTERACTIONSCLIMATE CHANGEMARGINAL POPULATIONShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino UnidoFil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; ArgentinaFil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino UnidoWiley2019-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-15601354-10131365-2486CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.14597info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.14597info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:04:22Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/110574instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:04:23.031CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
title Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
spellingShingle Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
Vilà Cabrera, Albert
BIOGEOGRAPHY
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
MARGINAL POPULATIONS
title_short Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
title_full Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
title_fullStr Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
title_full_unstemmed Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
title_sort Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Vilà Cabrera, Albert
Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia
Jump, Alistair
author Vilà Cabrera, Albert
author_facet Vilà Cabrera, Albert
Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia
Jump, Alistair
author_role author
author2 Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia
Jump, Alistair
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv BIOGEOGRAPHY
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
MARGINAL POPULATIONS
topic BIOGEOGRAPHY
BIOTIC INTERACTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
MARGINAL POPULATIONS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.
Fil: Vilà Cabrera, Albert. University of Stirling; Reino Unido
Fil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina
Fil: Jump, Alistair. University of Stirling; Reino Unido
description According to broad‐scale application of biogeographical theory, widespread retractions of species' rear edges should be seen in response to ongoing climate change. This prediction rests on the assumption that rear edge populations are “marginal” since they occur at the limit of the species' ecological tolerance and are expected to decline in performance as climate warming pushes them to extirpation. However, conflicts between observations and predictions are increasingly accumulating and little progress has been made in explaining this disparity. We argue that a revision of the concept of marginality is necessary, together with explicit testing of population decline, which is increasingly possible as data availability improves. Such action should be based on taking the population perspective across a species' rear edge, encompassing the ecological, geographical and genetic dimensions of marginality. Refining our understanding of rear edge populations is essential to advance our ability to monitor, predict and plan for the impacts of environmental change on species range dynamics.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-02
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574
Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-1560
1354-1013
1365-2486
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/110574
identifier_str_mv Vilà Cabrera, Albert; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Jump, Alistair; Refining predictions of population decline at species’ rear edges; Wiley; Global Change Biology; 25; 5; 2-2019; 1549-1560
1354-1013
1365-2486
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.14597
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.14597
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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