Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands

Autores
Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Hoffmann, Pablo Melo; Gurski, Elivelton Marcos; Thiesen Brum, Fernanda; Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos
Año de publicación
2021
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
South Brazilian grasslands are at risk due to climate change and activities that convert native vegetation into agricultural lands. We used 12 native palm species as ecological indicators of these ecosystems to evaluate the impact of climate and land-use changes on their geographical distribution. We estimated the potential distribution of species for current and future (year 2050; RCP 4.5 and 8.5) climate and land-use conditions considering two dispersal scenarios. We also assessed the coverage of protected areas (PAs) for current and future species distribution. Our results indicated that the future distribution of all species will decrease under scenarios with no dispersal and increase under scenarios with dispersal; however, a dispersal scenario might be unlikely considering species dispersal ability and the increased pressure on grasslands. A comprehensive strategy is fundamental to ensure species conservation and recovery since the current PAs network covers less than 2% of the current distribution for nine out of the 12 species. Assessing the synergy of trends in climate and land-use changes is essential to improve conservation strategies for these emblematic species.
Fil: Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina
Fil: Hoffmann, Pablo Melo. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Gurski, Elivelton Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Thiesen Brum, Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Materia
ALLAGOPTERA
BUTIA
ENSEMBLE OF SMALL MODELS
NATURAL GRASSLANDS
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING
TRITHRINAX
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/156425
Acceder
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network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslandsCalambás Trochez, Licet FernandaVelazco, Santiago José ElíasHoffmann, Pablo MeloGurski, Elivelton MarcosThiesen Brum, FernandaBergmann Carlucci, MarcosALLAGOPTERABUTIAENSEMBLE OF SMALL MODELSNATURAL GRASSLANDSSPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLINGTRITHRINAXhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1South Brazilian grasslands are at risk due to climate change and activities that convert native vegetation into agricultural lands. We used 12 native palm species as ecological indicators of these ecosystems to evaluate the impact of climate and land-use changes on their geographical distribution. We estimated the potential distribution of species for current and future (year 2050; RCP 4.5 and 8.5) climate and land-use conditions considering two dispersal scenarios. We also assessed the coverage of protected areas (PAs) for current and future species distribution. Our results indicated that the future distribution of all species will decrease under scenarios with no dispersal and increase under scenarios with dispersal; however, a dispersal scenario might be unlikely considering species dispersal ability and the increased pressure on grasslands. A comprehensive strategy is fundamental to ensure species conservation and recovery since the current PAs network covers less than 2% of the current distribution for nine out of the 12 species. Assessing the synergy of trends in climate and land-use changes is essential to improve conservation strategies for these emblematic species.Fil: Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; BrasilFil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; ArgentinaFil: Hoffmann, Pablo Melo. Universidade Federal do Paraná; BrasilFil: Gurski, Elivelton Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; BrasilFil: Thiesen Brum, Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; BrasilFil: Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; BrasilElsevier2021-04info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/156425Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Hoffmann, Pablo Melo; Gurski, Elivelton Marcos; Thiesen Brum, Fernanda; et al.; Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands; Elsevier; Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation; 19; 4-2021; 1-92530-0644CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2530064421000353info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.pecon.2021.03.010info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:39:32Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/156425instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:39:33.13CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
title Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
spellingShingle Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda
ALLAGOPTERA
BUTIA
ENSEMBLE OF SMALL MODELS
NATURAL GRASSLANDS
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING
TRITHRINAX
title_short Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
title_full Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
title_fullStr Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
title_full_unstemmed Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
title_sort Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda
Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Hoffmann, Pablo Melo
Gurski, Elivelton Marcos
Thiesen Brum, Fernanda
Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos
author Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda
author_facet Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda
Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Hoffmann, Pablo Melo
Gurski, Elivelton Marcos
Thiesen Brum, Fernanda
Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos
author_role author
author2 Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Hoffmann, Pablo Melo
Gurski, Elivelton Marcos
Thiesen Brum, Fernanda
Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv ALLAGOPTERA
BUTIA
ENSEMBLE OF SMALL MODELS
NATURAL GRASSLANDS
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING
TRITHRINAX
topic ALLAGOPTERA
BUTIA
ENSEMBLE OF SMALL MODELS
NATURAL GRASSLANDS
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING
TRITHRINAX
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv South Brazilian grasslands are at risk due to climate change and activities that convert native vegetation into agricultural lands. We used 12 native palm species as ecological indicators of these ecosystems to evaluate the impact of climate and land-use changes on their geographical distribution. We estimated the potential distribution of species for current and future (year 2050; RCP 4.5 and 8.5) climate and land-use conditions considering two dispersal scenarios. We also assessed the coverage of protected areas (PAs) for current and future species distribution. Our results indicated that the future distribution of all species will decrease under scenarios with no dispersal and increase under scenarios with dispersal; however, a dispersal scenario might be unlikely considering species dispersal ability and the increased pressure on grasslands. A comprehensive strategy is fundamental to ensure species conservation and recovery since the current PAs network covers less than 2% of the current distribution for nine out of the 12 species. Assessing the synergy of trends in climate and land-use changes is essential to improve conservation strategies for these emblematic species.
Fil: Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina
Fil: Hoffmann, Pablo Melo. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Gurski, Elivelton Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Thiesen Brum, Fernanda. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
Fil: Bergmann Carlucci, Marcos. Universidade Federal do Paraná; Brasil
description South Brazilian grasslands are at risk due to climate change and activities that convert native vegetation into agricultural lands. We used 12 native palm species as ecological indicators of these ecosystems to evaluate the impact of climate and land-use changes on their geographical distribution. We estimated the potential distribution of species for current and future (year 2050; RCP 4.5 and 8.5) climate and land-use conditions considering two dispersal scenarios. We also assessed the coverage of protected areas (PAs) for current and future species distribution. Our results indicated that the future distribution of all species will decrease under scenarios with no dispersal and increase under scenarios with dispersal; however, a dispersal scenario might be unlikely considering species dispersal ability and the increased pressure on grasslands. A comprehensive strategy is fundamental to ensure species conservation and recovery since the current PAs network covers less than 2% of the current distribution for nine out of the 12 species. Assessing the synergy of trends in climate and land-use changes is essential to improve conservation strategies for these emblematic species.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-04
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/156425
Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Hoffmann, Pablo Melo; Gurski, Elivelton Marcos; Thiesen Brum, Fernanda; et al.; Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands; Elsevier; Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation; 19; 4-2021; 1-9
2530-0644
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/156425
identifier_str_mv Calambás Trochez, Licet Fernanda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Hoffmann, Pablo Melo; Gurski, Elivelton Marcos; Thiesen Brum, Fernanda; et al.; Climate and land-use changes coupled with low coverage of protected areas threaten palm species in South Brazilian grasslands; Elsevier; Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation; 19; 4-2021; 1-9
2530-0644
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2530064421000353
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.pecon.2021.03.010
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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