Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands

Autores
Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia; Sancho, Gisela; Bonifacino, José Mauricio; Pliscoff, Patricio
Año de publicación
2021
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Microgyne trifurcata is a rare native plant species from one of the areas with the highest humanimpact on the environment in southern South America. Its habitat, mostly grasslands suitable for agriculture, has been increasingly covered by crops since the late 1800s. Microgyne trifurcata provides an excellent case study to understand how different environmental variables have affected the distribution area of a rare species. This study aims to estimate the impact of topoclimatic and land-use changes in the distribution of Microgyne trifurcata throughout the twentieth century. We carried out recent past and present distribution modeling using the Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) methodology. In this spatio-temporal study, we included climatic, topographic, and land-usevariables. We classified the occurrences into two periods of the twentieth century. The first dates from 1901 to 1940, and the second, from 1960 to 2000, when the main cropping changes of the area occurred. The projected area between 1960 and 2000 provides for this species new suitable habitats toward the northeast of the area of study. Our results highlight the importance of assessing the combined impacts of climate and land-use changes on species distributionsover time. This study shows that the potential area of Microgyne trifurcata decreased and underwent fragmentation throughout the twentieth century when these variables combined are used to model its distribution. Our outcomes prompt future studies on the vulnerability of Microgyne trifurcata to outline conservation strategies.
Fil: Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina
Fil: Sancho, Gisela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; Argentina
Fil: Bonifacino, José Mauricio. Universidad de Montevideo; Uruguay
Fil: Pliscoff, Patricio. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile
Materia
ensemble modeling
land-use changes
grasslands
Argentina
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/153033
Acceder
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repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslandsViera Barreto, Jessica NoeliaSancho, GiselaBonifacino, José MauricioPliscoff, Patricioensemble modelingland-use changesgrasslandsArgentinahttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Microgyne trifurcata is a rare native plant species from one of the areas with the highest humanimpact on the environment in southern South America. Its habitat, mostly grasslands suitable for agriculture, has been increasingly covered by crops since the late 1800s. Microgyne trifurcata provides an excellent case study to understand how different environmental variables have affected the distribution area of a rare species. This study aims to estimate the impact of topoclimatic and land-use changes in the distribution of Microgyne trifurcata throughout the twentieth century. We carried out recent past and present distribution modeling using the Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) methodology. In this spatio-temporal study, we included climatic, topographic, and land-usevariables. We classified the occurrences into two periods of the twentieth century. The first dates from 1901 to 1940, and the second, from 1960 to 2000, when the main cropping changes of the area occurred. The projected area between 1960 and 2000 provides for this species new suitable habitats toward the northeast of the area of study. Our results highlight the importance of assessing the combined impacts of climate and land-use changes on species distributionsover time. This study shows that the potential area of Microgyne trifurcata decreased and underwent fragmentation throughout the twentieth century when these variables combined are used to model its distribution. Our outcomes prompt future studies on the vulnerability of Microgyne trifurcata to outline conservation strategies.Fil: Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; ArgentinaFil: Sancho, Gisela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; ArgentinaFil: Bonifacino, José Mauricio. Universidad de Montevideo; UruguayFil: Pliscoff, Patricio. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; ChileSpringer2021-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/153033Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia; Sancho, Gisela; Bonifacino, José Mauricio; Pliscoff, Patricio; Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands; Springer; Plant Ecology; 222; 9; 7-2021; 1033-10491385-0237CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:50:56Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/153033instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:50:56.641CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
title Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
spellingShingle Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia
ensemble modeling
land-use changes
grasslands
Argentina
title_short Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
title_full Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
title_fullStr Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
title_sort Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia
Sancho, Gisela
Bonifacino, José Mauricio
Pliscoff, Patricio
author Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia
author_facet Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia
Sancho, Gisela
Bonifacino, José Mauricio
Pliscoff, Patricio
author_role author
author2 Sancho, Gisela
Bonifacino, José Mauricio
Pliscoff, Patricio
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv ensemble modeling
land-use changes
grasslands
Argentina
topic ensemble modeling
land-use changes
grasslands
Argentina
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Microgyne trifurcata is a rare native plant species from one of the areas with the highest humanimpact on the environment in southern South America. Its habitat, mostly grasslands suitable for agriculture, has been increasingly covered by crops since the late 1800s. Microgyne trifurcata provides an excellent case study to understand how different environmental variables have affected the distribution area of a rare species. This study aims to estimate the impact of topoclimatic and land-use changes in the distribution of Microgyne trifurcata throughout the twentieth century. We carried out recent past and present distribution modeling using the Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) methodology. In this spatio-temporal study, we included climatic, topographic, and land-usevariables. We classified the occurrences into two periods of the twentieth century. The first dates from 1901 to 1940, and the second, from 1960 to 2000, when the main cropping changes of the area occurred. The projected area between 1960 and 2000 provides for this species new suitable habitats toward the northeast of the area of study. Our results highlight the importance of assessing the combined impacts of climate and land-use changes on species distributionsover time. This study shows that the potential area of Microgyne trifurcata decreased and underwent fragmentation throughout the twentieth century when these variables combined are used to model its distribution. Our outcomes prompt future studies on the vulnerability of Microgyne trifurcata to outline conservation strategies.
Fil: Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina
Fil: Sancho, Gisela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. División de Plantas Vasculares; Argentina
Fil: Bonifacino, José Mauricio. Universidad de Montevideo; Uruguay
Fil: Pliscoff, Patricio. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile
description Microgyne trifurcata is a rare native plant species from one of the areas with the highest humanimpact on the environment in southern South America. Its habitat, mostly grasslands suitable for agriculture, has been increasingly covered by crops since the late 1800s. Microgyne trifurcata provides an excellent case study to understand how different environmental variables have affected the distribution area of a rare species. This study aims to estimate the impact of topoclimatic and land-use changes in the distribution of Microgyne trifurcata throughout the twentieth century. We carried out recent past and present distribution modeling using the Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) methodology. In this spatio-temporal study, we included climatic, topographic, and land-usevariables. We classified the occurrences into two periods of the twentieth century. The first dates from 1901 to 1940, and the second, from 1960 to 2000, when the main cropping changes of the area occurred. The projected area between 1960 and 2000 provides for this species new suitable habitats toward the northeast of the area of study. Our results highlight the importance of assessing the combined impacts of climate and land-use changes on species distributionsover time. This study shows that the potential area of Microgyne trifurcata decreased and underwent fragmentation throughout the twentieth century when these variables combined are used to model its distribution. Our outcomes prompt future studies on the vulnerability of Microgyne trifurcata to outline conservation strategies.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-07
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/153033
Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia; Sancho, Gisela; Bonifacino, José Mauricio; Pliscoff, Patricio; Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands; Springer; Plant Ecology; 222; 9; 7-2021; 1033-1049
1385-0237
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/153033
identifier_str_mv Viera Barreto, Jessica Noelia; Sancho, Gisela; Bonifacino, José Mauricio; Pliscoff, Patricio; Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands; Springer; Plant Ecology; 222; 9; 7-2021; 1033-1049
1385-0237
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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