Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential
- Autores
- Guarin, Jose Rafael; Martre, Pierre; Ewert, Frank; Webber, Heidi; Dueri, Sibylle; Calderini, Daniel Fernando; Reynolds, Matthew; Molero, Gemma; Miralles, Daniel Julio; Garcia, Guillermo; Slafer, Gustavo Ariel; Giunta, Francesco; Pequeno, Diego N.L.; Stella, Tommaso; Ahmed, Mukhtar; Alderman, Phillip D.; Basso, Bruno; Berger, Andres G.; Bindi, Marco; Bracho-Mujica, Gennady; Cammarano, Davide; Chen, Yi; Dumont, Benjamin; Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi; Fereres, Elias; Ferrise, Roberto; Gaiser, Thomas; Gao, Yujing; Garcia Vila, Margarita; Gayler, Sebastian
- Año de publicación
- 2022
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges.
Fil: Guarin, Jose Rafael. National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Estados Unidos. Columbia University; Estados Unidos. Florida State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Martre, Pierre. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; Francia
Fil: Ewert, Frank. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania
Fil: Webber, Heidi. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania
Fil: Dueri, Sibylle. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; Francia
Fil: Calderini, Daniel Fernando. Universidad Austral de Chile; Chile
Fil: Reynolds, Matthew. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center ; México
Fil: Molero, Gemma. KWS; Francia
Fil: Miralles, Daniel Julio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina
Fil: Garcia, Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina
Fil: Slafer, Gustavo Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina. Universitat de Lleida; España. Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avancats; España
Fil: Giunta, Francesco. Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche. Istituto Di Scienze Dell Atmosfera E del Clima.; Italia
Fil: Pequeno, Diego N.L.. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center; México
Fil: Stella, Tommaso. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania
Fil: Ahmed, Mukhtar. University Of Pakistan; Pakistán
Fil: Alderman, Phillip D.. Oklahoma State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Basso, Bruno. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Berger, Andres G.. Instituto Nacional de Investigacion Agropecuaria;
Fil: Bindi, Marco. Università degli Studi di Firenze; Italia
Fil: Bracho-Mujica, Gennady. Universität Göttingen; Alemania
Fil: Cammarano, Davide. Purdue University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Chen, Yi. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de China
Fil: Dumont, Benjamin. Université de Liège; Bélgica
Fil: Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi. Leibniz Institute Of Plant Genetics And Crop Plant Research.; Alemania
Fil: Fereres, Elias. Universidad de Córdoba; España
Fil: Ferrise, Roberto. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gaiser, Thomas. Universitat Bonn; Alemania
Fil: Gao, Yujing. Florida State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Garcia Vila, Margarita. Universidad de Córdoba; España
Fil: Gayler, Sebastian. Universidad de Hohenheim; Alemania - Materia
-
CROP MODEL ENSEMBLE
GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR THIS ARTICLE IS AVAILABLE ONLINE
RADIATION USE EFFICIENCY
WHEAT POTENTIAL YIELD
YIELD INCREASE - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/215951
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potentialGuarin, Jose RafaelMartre, PierreEwert, FrankWebber, HeidiDueri, SibylleCalderini, Daniel FernandoReynolds, MatthewMolero, GemmaMiralles, Daniel JulioGarcia, GuillermoSlafer, Gustavo ArielGiunta, FrancescoPequeno, Diego N.L.Stella, TommasoAhmed, MukhtarAlderman, Phillip D.Basso, BrunoBerger, Andres G.Bindi, MarcoBracho-Mujica, GennadyCammarano, DavideChen, YiDumont, BenjaminRezaei, Ehsan EyshiFereres, EliasFerrise, RobertoGaiser, ThomasGao, YujingGarcia Vila, MargaritaGayler, SebastianCROP MODEL ENSEMBLEGLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR THIS ARTICLE IS AVAILABLE ONLINERADIATION USE EFFICIENCYWHEAT POTENTIAL YIELDYIELD INCREASEhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges.Fil: Guarin, Jose Rafael. National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Estados Unidos. Columbia University; Estados Unidos. Florida State University; Estados UnidosFil: Martre, Pierre. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; FranciaFil: Ewert, Frank. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; AlemaniaFil: Webber, Heidi. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; AlemaniaFil: Dueri, Sibylle. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; FranciaFil: Calderini, Daniel Fernando. Universidad Austral de Chile; ChileFil: Reynolds, Matthew. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center ; MéxicoFil: Molero, Gemma. KWS; FranciaFil: Miralles, Daniel Julio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; ArgentinaFil: Garcia, Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; ArgentinaFil: Slafer, Gustavo Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina. Universitat de Lleida; España. Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avancats; EspañaFil: Giunta, Francesco. Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche. Istituto Di Scienze Dell Atmosfera E del Clima.; ItaliaFil: Pequeno, Diego N.L.. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center; MéxicoFil: Stella, Tommaso. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; AlemaniaFil: Ahmed, Mukhtar. University Of Pakistan; PakistánFil: Alderman, Phillip D.. Oklahoma State University; Estados UnidosFil: Basso, Bruno. Michigan State University; Estados UnidosFil: Berger, Andres G.. Instituto Nacional de Investigacion Agropecuaria;Fil: Bindi, Marco. Università degli Studi di Firenze; ItaliaFil: Bracho-Mujica, Gennady. Universität Göttingen; AlemaniaFil: Cammarano, Davide. Purdue University; Estados UnidosFil: Chen, Yi. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de ChinaFil: Dumont, Benjamin. Université de Liège; BélgicaFil: Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi. Leibniz Institute Of Plant Genetics And Crop Plant Research.; AlemaniaFil: Fereres, Elias. Universidad de Córdoba; EspañaFil: Ferrise, Roberto. Michigan State University; Estados UnidosFil: Gaiser, Thomas. Universitat Bonn; AlemaniaFil: Gao, Yujing. Florida State University; Estados UnidosFil: Garcia Vila, Margarita. Universidad de Córdoba; EspañaFil: Gayler, Sebastian. Universidad de Hohenheim; AlemaniaIOP Publishing2022-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/215951Guarin, Jose Rafael; Martre, Pierre; Ewert, Frank; Webber, Heidi; Dueri, Sibylle; et al.; Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 17; 12; 12-2022; 1-141748-9326CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aca77cinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1088/1748-9326/aca77cinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-10T12:59:53Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/215951instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-10 12:59:53.706CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
title |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
spellingShingle |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential Guarin, Jose Rafael CROP MODEL ENSEMBLE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR THIS ARTICLE IS AVAILABLE ONLINE RADIATION USE EFFICIENCY WHEAT POTENTIAL YIELD YIELD INCREASE |
title_short |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
title_full |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
title_fullStr |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
title_sort |
Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel Fernando Reynolds, Matthew Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel Julio Garcia, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo Ariel Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego N.L. Stella, Tommaso Ahmed, Mukhtar Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres G. Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Chen, Yi Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Gao, Yujing Garcia Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian |
author |
Guarin, Jose Rafael |
author_facet |
Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel Fernando Reynolds, Matthew Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel Julio Garcia, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo Ariel Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego N.L. Stella, Tommaso Ahmed, Mukhtar Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres G. Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Chen, Yi Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Gao, Yujing Garcia Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel Fernando Reynolds, Matthew Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel Julio Garcia, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo Ariel Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego N.L. Stella, Tommaso Ahmed, Mukhtar Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres G. Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Chen, Yi Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Gao, Yujing Garcia Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
CROP MODEL ENSEMBLE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR THIS ARTICLE IS AVAILABLE ONLINE RADIATION USE EFFICIENCY WHEAT POTENTIAL YIELD YIELD INCREASE |
topic |
CROP MODEL ENSEMBLE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR THIS ARTICLE IS AVAILABLE ONLINE RADIATION USE EFFICIENCY WHEAT POTENTIAL YIELD YIELD INCREASE |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges. Fil: Guarin, Jose Rafael. National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Estados Unidos. Columbia University; Estados Unidos. Florida State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Martre, Pierre. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; Francia Fil: Ewert, Frank. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania Fil: Webber, Heidi. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania Fil: Dueri, Sibylle. Institut Agro Montpellier SupAgro; Francia Fil: Calderini, Daniel Fernando. Universidad Austral de Chile; Chile Fil: Reynolds, Matthew. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center ; México Fil: Molero, Gemma. KWS; Francia Fil: Miralles, Daniel Julio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina Fil: Garcia, Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina Fil: Slafer, Gustavo Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina. Universitat de Lleida; España. Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avancats; España Fil: Giunta, Francesco. Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche. Istituto Di Scienze Dell Atmosfera E del Clima.; Italia Fil: Pequeno, Diego N.L.. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center; México Fil: Stella, Tommaso. Universitat Bonn; Alemania. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research; Alemania Fil: Ahmed, Mukhtar. University Of Pakistan; Pakistán Fil: Alderman, Phillip D.. Oklahoma State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Basso, Bruno. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Berger, Andres G.. Instituto Nacional de Investigacion Agropecuaria; Fil: Bindi, Marco. Università degli Studi di Firenze; Italia Fil: Bracho-Mujica, Gennady. Universität Göttingen; Alemania Fil: Cammarano, Davide. Purdue University; Estados Unidos Fil: Chen, Yi. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de China Fil: Dumont, Benjamin. Université de Liège; Bélgica Fil: Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi. Leibniz Institute Of Plant Genetics And Crop Plant Research.; Alemania Fil: Fereres, Elias. Universidad de Córdoba; España Fil: Ferrise, Roberto. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Gaiser, Thomas. Universitat Bonn; Alemania Fil: Gao, Yujing. Florida State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Garcia Vila, Margarita. Universidad de Córdoba; España Fil: Gayler, Sebastian. Universidad de Hohenheim; Alemania |
description |
Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/215951 Guarin, Jose Rafael; Martre, Pierre; Ewert, Frank; Webber, Heidi; Dueri, Sibylle; et al.; Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 17; 12; 12-2022; 1-14 1748-9326 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/215951 |
identifier_str_mv |
Guarin, Jose Rafael; Martre, Pierre; Ewert, Frank; Webber, Heidi; Dueri, Sibylle; et al.; Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 17; 12; 12-2022; 1-14 1748-9326 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ |
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IOP Publishing |
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IOP Publishing |
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