Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs

Autores
Brienen, R.J.W.; Caldwell, L.; Duchesne, L.; Voelker, S.; Barichivich, Jonathan; Baliva, M.; Ceccantini, G.; Di Filippo, A.; Helama. S.; Locosselli, G. M.; Lopez Callejas, Lidio; Piovesan, G.; Schöngart, J.; Villalba, Ricardo; Gloor, E.
Año de publicación
2020
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Land vegetation is currently taking up large amounts of atmospheric CO2, possibly due to tree growth stimulation. Extant models predict that this growth stimulation will continue to cause a net carbon uptake this century. However, there are indications that increased growth rates may shorten trees′ lifespan and thus recent increases in forest carbon stocks may be transient due to lagged increases in mortality. Here we show that growth-lifespan trade-offs are indeed near universal, occurring across almost all species and climates. This trade-off is directly linked to faster growth reducing tree lifespan, and not due to covariance with climate or environment. Thus, current tree growth stimulation will, inevitably, result in a lagged increase in canopy tree mortality, as is indeed widely observed, and eventually neutralise carbon gains due to growth stimulation. Results from a strongly data-based forest simulator confirm these expectations. Extant Earth system model projections of global forest carbon sink persistence are likely too optimistic, increasing the need to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
Fil: Brienen, R.J.W.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
Fil: Caldwell, L.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
Fil: Duchesne, L.. No especifíca;
Fil: Voelker, S.. No especifíca;
Fil: Barichivich, Jonathan. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso; Chile
Fil: Baliva, M.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Ceccantini, G.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Di Filippo, A.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Helama. S.. Natural Resources Institute Finland; Finlandia
Fil: Locosselli, G. M.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Lopez Callejas, Lidio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentina
Fil: Piovesan, G.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Schöngart, J.. Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Da Amazônia; Brasil
Fil: Villalba, Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentina
Fil: Gloor, E.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
Materia
Forest carbon
growth-lifespan
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/144568
Acceder
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network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offsBrienen, R.J.W.Caldwell, L.Duchesne, L.Voelker, S.Barichivich, JonathanBaliva, M.Ceccantini, G.Di Filippo, A.Helama. S.Locosselli, G. M.Lopez Callejas, LidioPiovesan, G.Schöngart, J.Villalba, RicardoGloor, E.Forest carbongrowth-lifespanhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Land vegetation is currently taking up large amounts of atmospheric CO2, possibly due to tree growth stimulation. Extant models predict that this growth stimulation will continue to cause a net carbon uptake this century. However, there are indications that increased growth rates may shorten trees′ lifespan and thus recent increases in forest carbon stocks may be transient due to lagged increases in mortality. Here we show that growth-lifespan trade-offs are indeed near universal, occurring across almost all species and climates. This trade-off is directly linked to faster growth reducing tree lifespan, and not due to covariance with climate or environment. Thus, current tree growth stimulation will, inevitably, result in a lagged increase in canopy tree mortality, as is indeed widely observed, and eventually neutralise carbon gains due to growth stimulation. Results from a strongly data-based forest simulator confirm these expectations. Extant Earth system model projections of global forest carbon sink persistence are likely too optimistic, increasing the need to curb greenhouse gas emissions.Fil: Brienen, R.J.W.. University Of Leeds.; Reino UnidoFil: Caldwell, L.. University Of Leeds.; Reino UnidoFil: Duchesne, L.. No especifíca;Fil: Voelker, S.. No especifíca;Fil: Barichivich, Jonathan. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso; ChileFil: Baliva, M.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; ItaliaFil: Ceccantini, G.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; BrasilFil: Di Filippo, A.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; ItaliaFil: Helama. S.. Natural Resources Institute Finland; FinlandiaFil: Locosselli, G. M.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; BrasilFil: Lopez Callejas, Lidio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Piovesan, G.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; ItaliaFil: Schöngart, J.. Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Da Amazônia; BrasilFil: Villalba, Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Gloor, E.. University Of Leeds.; Reino UnidoSpringer2020-09info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/144568Brienen, R.J.W.; Caldwell, L.; Duchesne, L.; Voelker, S.; Barichivich, Jonathan; et al.; Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs; Springer; Nature Communications; 11; 1; 9-2020; 1-102041-1723CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17966-zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41467-020-17966-zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-10T13:08:39Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/144568instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-10 13:08:39.277CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
title Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
spellingShingle Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
Brienen, R.J.W.
Forest carbon
growth-lifespan
title_short Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
title_full Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
title_fullStr Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
title_full_unstemmed Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
title_sort Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Brienen, R.J.W.
Caldwell, L.
Duchesne, L.
Voelker, S.
Barichivich, Jonathan
Baliva, M.
Ceccantini, G.
Di Filippo, A.
Helama. S.
Locosselli, G. M.
Lopez Callejas, Lidio
Piovesan, G.
Schöngart, J.
Villalba, Ricardo
Gloor, E.
author Brienen, R.J.W.
author_facet Brienen, R.J.W.
Caldwell, L.
Duchesne, L.
Voelker, S.
Barichivich, Jonathan
Baliva, M.
Ceccantini, G.
Di Filippo, A.
Helama. S.
Locosselli, G. M.
Lopez Callejas, Lidio
Piovesan, G.
Schöngart, J.
Villalba, Ricardo
Gloor, E.
author_role author
author2 Caldwell, L.
Duchesne, L.
Voelker, S.
Barichivich, Jonathan
Baliva, M.
Ceccantini, G.
Di Filippo, A.
Helama. S.
Locosselli, G. M.
Lopez Callejas, Lidio
Piovesan, G.
Schöngart, J.
Villalba, Ricardo
Gloor, E.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Forest carbon
growth-lifespan
topic Forest carbon
growth-lifespan
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Land vegetation is currently taking up large amounts of atmospheric CO2, possibly due to tree growth stimulation. Extant models predict that this growth stimulation will continue to cause a net carbon uptake this century. However, there are indications that increased growth rates may shorten trees′ lifespan and thus recent increases in forest carbon stocks may be transient due to lagged increases in mortality. Here we show that growth-lifespan trade-offs are indeed near universal, occurring across almost all species and climates. This trade-off is directly linked to faster growth reducing tree lifespan, and not due to covariance with climate or environment. Thus, current tree growth stimulation will, inevitably, result in a lagged increase in canopy tree mortality, as is indeed widely observed, and eventually neutralise carbon gains due to growth stimulation. Results from a strongly data-based forest simulator confirm these expectations. Extant Earth system model projections of global forest carbon sink persistence are likely too optimistic, increasing the need to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
Fil: Brienen, R.J.W.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
Fil: Caldwell, L.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
Fil: Duchesne, L.. No especifíca;
Fil: Voelker, S.. No especifíca;
Fil: Barichivich, Jonathan. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso; Chile
Fil: Baliva, M.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Ceccantini, G.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Di Filippo, A.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Helama. S.. Natural Resources Institute Finland; Finlandia
Fil: Locosselli, G. M.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Lopez Callejas, Lidio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentina
Fil: Piovesan, G.. Università degli Studi della Tuscia; Italia
Fil: Schöngart, J.. Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Da Amazônia; Brasil
Fil: Villalba, Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentina
Fil: Gloor, E.. University Of Leeds.; Reino Unido
description Land vegetation is currently taking up large amounts of atmospheric CO2, possibly due to tree growth stimulation. Extant models predict that this growth stimulation will continue to cause a net carbon uptake this century. However, there are indications that increased growth rates may shorten trees′ lifespan and thus recent increases in forest carbon stocks may be transient due to lagged increases in mortality. Here we show that growth-lifespan trade-offs are indeed near universal, occurring across almost all species and climates. This trade-off is directly linked to faster growth reducing tree lifespan, and not due to covariance with climate or environment. Thus, current tree growth stimulation will, inevitably, result in a lagged increase in canopy tree mortality, as is indeed widely observed, and eventually neutralise carbon gains due to growth stimulation. Results from a strongly data-based forest simulator confirm these expectations. Extant Earth system model projections of global forest carbon sink persistence are likely too optimistic, increasing the need to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-09
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/144568
Brienen, R.J.W.; Caldwell, L.; Duchesne, L.; Voelker, S.; Barichivich, Jonathan; et al.; Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs; Springer; Nature Communications; 11; 1; 9-2020; 1-10
2041-1723
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/144568
identifier_str_mv Brienen, R.J.W.; Caldwell, L.; Duchesne, L.; Voelker, S.; Barichivich, Jonathan; et al.; Forest carbon sink neutralized by pervasive growth-lifespan trade-offs; Springer; Nature Communications; 11; 1; 9-2020; 1-10
2041-1723
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17966-z
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41467-020-17966-z
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.993085

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