Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds
- Autores
- Perez, Andres M; Ward, Michael P; Charmandarián, Armando; Ritacco, Viviana
- Año de publicación
- 2002
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Fil: Perez, Andres M. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina.
Fil: Ward, Michael P. Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, 1243 Veterinary Pathobiology Building, Purdue University; Estados Unidos.
Fil: Charmandarián, Armando. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina.
Fil: Ritacco, Viviana. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Infecciosas; Argentina.
Transmission of bovine tuberculosis was quantified in three dairy herds located in south Santa Fe Province, Argentina. Using estimates of Mycobacterium bovis transmission (beta) and a Reed-Frost simulation model, the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the study herds over time was investigated. The Reed-Frost model was modified by incorporating randomness in both beta and the incubation period (alpha) of M. bovis. The mean estimated herd beta was 2.2 infective contacts per year and did not differ significantly between the study herds. Modeling alpha as Poisson distributed (mean 24 months) best fit the observed prevalences. Infection was predicted by the model either to spread quickly (<10 years) within a herd and reach a high prevalence (>50%), or to persist at a low prevalence (<5-10%). The model was robust, predictions were realistic and the mean beta estimated was consistent with previous studies of bovine tuberculosis. - Fuente
- Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2002; 54(4):361-72.
- Materia
-
Tuberculosis
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
Santa Fe
Argentina - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- none
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"
- OAI Identificador
- oai:sgc.anlis.gob.ar:Publications/123456789/1907
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herdsPerez, Andres MWard, Michael PCharmandarián, ArmandoRitacco, VivianaTuberculosisMycobacterium tuberculosisSanta FeArgentinaFil: Perez, Andres M. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina.Fil: Ward, Michael P. Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, 1243 Veterinary Pathobiology Building, Purdue University; Estados Unidos.Fil: Charmandarián, Armando. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina.Fil: Ritacco, Viviana. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Infecciosas; Argentina.Transmission of bovine tuberculosis was quantified in three dairy herds located in south Santa Fe Province, Argentina. Using estimates of Mycobacterium bovis transmission (beta) and a Reed-Frost simulation model, the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the study herds over time was investigated. The Reed-Frost model was modified by incorporating randomness in both beta and the incubation period (alpha) of M. bovis. The mean estimated herd beta was 2.2 infective contacts per year and did not differ significantly between the study herds. Modeling alpha as Poisson distributed (mean 24 months) best fit the observed prevalences. Infection was predicted by the model either to spread quickly (<10 years) within a herd and reach a high prevalence (>50%), or to persist at a low prevalence (<5-10%). The model was robust, predictions were realistic and the mean beta estimated was consistent with previous studies of bovine tuberculosis.Elsevier2002-08-30info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdf0167-5877http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/190710.1016/s0167-5877(02)00043-0Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2002; 54(4):361-72.reponame:Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁNinstname:Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"instacron:ANLISPreventive veterinary medicinenoneinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesseng2025-09-29T14:30:30Zoai:sgc.anlis.gob.ar:Publications/123456789/1907Institucionalhttp://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/oai/biblioteca@anlis.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:a2025-09-29 14:30:31.094Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN - Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
title |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
spellingShingle |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds Perez, Andres M Tuberculosis Mycobacterium tuberculosis Santa Fe Argentina |
title_short |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
title_full |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
title_fullStr |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
title_full_unstemmed |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
title_sort |
Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Perez, Andres M Ward, Michael P Charmandarián, Armando Ritacco, Viviana |
author |
Perez, Andres M |
author_facet |
Perez, Andres M Ward, Michael P Charmandarián, Armando Ritacco, Viviana |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Ward, Michael P Charmandarián, Armando Ritacco, Viviana |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Tuberculosis Mycobacterium tuberculosis Santa Fe Argentina |
topic |
Tuberculosis Mycobacterium tuberculosis Santa Fe Argentina |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Fil: Perez, Andres M. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina. Fil: Ward, Michael P. Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, 1243 Veterinary Pathobiology Building, Purdue University; Estados Unidos. Fil: Charmandarián, Armando. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina. Fil: Ritacco, Viviana. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Infecciosas; Argentina. Transmission of bovine tuberculosis was quantified in three dairy herds located in south Santa Fe Province, Argentina. Using estimates of Mycobacterium bovis transmission (beta) and a Reed-Frost simulation model, the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the study herds over time was investigated. The Reed-Frost model was modified by incorporating randomness in both beta and the incubation period (alpha) of M. bovis. The mean estimated herd beta was 2.2 infective contacts per year and did not differ significantly between the study herds. Modeling alpha as Poisson distributed (mean 24 months) best fit the observed prevalences. Infection was predicted by the model either to spread quickly (<10 years) within a herd and reach a high prevalence (>50%), or to persist at a low prevalence (<5-10%). The model was robust, predictions were realistic and the mean beta estimated was consistent with previous studies of bovine tuberculosis. |
description |
Fil: Perez, Andres M. School of Veterinary Medicine, National University of Rosario (UNR); Argentina. |
publishDate |
2002 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2002-08-30 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
0167-5877 http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/1907 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00043-0 |
identifier_str_mv |
0167-5877 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00043-0 |
url |
http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/1907 |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Preventive veterinary medicine |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
none info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
none |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2002; 54(4):361-72. reponame:Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN instname:Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán" instacron:ANLIS |
reponame_str |
Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN |
collection |
Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN |
instname_str |
Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán" |
instacron_str |
ANLIS |
institution |
ANLIS |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN - Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán" |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
biblioteca@anlis.gov.ar |
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1844621857693630464 |
score |
12.559606 |