Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields

Autores
Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés; Balmaceda, Laura Antonia; Deluca, Edward
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth?s upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an effort to develop accurate solar cycle predictions, leading to nearly a hundred widely spread predictions for the amplitude of solar cycle 24. Here we show that cycle predictions can be made more accurate if performed separately for each hemisphere, taking advantage of information about both the dipolar and quadrupolar moments of the solar magnetic field during minimum.
Fil: Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;
Fil: Balmaceda, Laura Antonia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnológico - CONICET - San Juan. Instituto de Ciencias Astronómicas de la Tierra y del Espacio; Argentina;
Fil: Deluca, Edward. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;
Materia
SOLAR CYCLE
PREDICTIONS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/657
Acceder
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic FieldsMuñoz-Jaramillo, AndrésBalmaceda, Laura AntoniaDeluca, EdwardSOLAR CYCLEPREDICTIONShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth?s upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an effort to develop accurate solar cycle predictions, leading to nearly a hundred widely spread predictions for the amplitude of solar cycle 24. Here we show that cycle predictions can be made more accurate if performed separately for each hemisphere, taking advantage of information about both the dipolar and quadrupolar moments of the solar magnetic field during minimum.Fil: Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;Fil: Balmaceda, Laura Antonia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnológico - CONICET - San Juan. Instituto de Ciencias Astronómicas de la Tierra y del Espacio; Argentina;Fil: Deluca, Edward. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;Amer Physical Soc2013-07-26info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/657Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés; Balmaceda, Laura Antonia; Deluca, Edward; Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields; Amer Physical Soc; Physical Review Letters; 111; 26-7-2013; 1-5;0031-9007enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://prl.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v111/i4/e041106/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-11-05T09:58:01Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/657instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-11-05 09:58:01.96CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
title Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
spellingShingle Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés
SOLAR CYCLE
PREDICTIONS
title_short Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
title_full Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
title_fullStr Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
title_full_unstemmed Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
title_sort Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés
Balmaceda, Laura Antonia
Deluca, Edward
author Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés
author_facet Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés
Balmaceda, Laura Antonia
Deluca, Edward
author_role author
author2 Balmaceda, Laura Antonia
Deluca, Edward
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv SOLAR CYCLE
PREDICTIONS
topic SOLAR CYCLE
PREDICTIONS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth?s upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an effort to develop accurate solar cycle predictions, leading to nearly a hundred widely spread predictions for the amplitude of solar cycle 24. Here we show that cycle predictions can be made more accurate if performed separately for each hemisphere, taking advantage of information about both the dipolar and quadrupolar moments of the solar magnetic field during minimum.
Fil: Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;
Fil: Balmaceda, Laura Antonia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnológico - CONICET - San Juan. Instituto de Ciencias Astronómicas de la Tierra y del Espacio; Argentina;
Fil: Deluca, Edward. Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Estados Unidos de América;
description The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth?s upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an effort to develop accurate solar cycle predictions, leading to nearly a hundred widely spread predictions for the amplitude of solar cycle 24. Here we show that cycle predictions can be made more accurate if performed separately for each hemisphere, taking advantage of information about both the dipolar and quadrupolar moments of the solar magnetic field during minimum.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-07-26
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/657
Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés; Balmaceda, Laura Antonia; Deluca, Edward; Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields; Amer Physical Soc; Physical Review Letters; 111; 26-7-2013; 1-5;
0031-9007
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/657
identifier_str_mv Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés; Balmaceda, Laura Antonia; Deluca, Edward; Using the Dipolar and Quadrupolar Moments to Improve Solar-Cycle Predictions Based on the Polar Magnetic Fields; Amer Physical Soc; Physical Review Letters; 111; 26-7-2013; 1-5;
0031-9007
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://prl.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v111/i4/e041106/10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.041106
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Amer Physical Soc
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Amer Physical Soc
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
_version_ 1847977384796487680
score 13.121305

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