Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano

Autores
Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo; Torres, Romina Cecilia; Nori, Javier
Año de publicación
2022
Idioma
español castellano
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Lithraea molleoides (Anacardiaceae) and Schinopsis haenkeana (Anacardiaceae) are native tree species of great importance in the Chaco Serrano, a region poorly studied in relation to the possible effects that climate change (CC) could have on its extension. Species distribution models are one of the most used tools for tree species conservation in the context of the global climate change. These type of models allow to study the potential distribution of species under current and hypothetical future conditions and the effectiveness of protected areas in representing species. Using modeling techniques we studied the potential distribution of both species for current and hypothetical future climatic conditions (period 2041-2060). Also, we used geographic information systems to determine the potential protected area. The models had a high concordance with the known distribution for both species and showed a potential distribution area of 1124737 km2 for L. molleoides, and 158491 km2 for S. haenkeana. Under climate change scenarios, L. molleoides showed a reduction of 18% in the potential distribution, while S. haenkeana showed an increase of 14% in the potential distribution. For both species, the representation in protected areas of categories I to IV of the International Union for Conservation of Nature was less than 10% of the potential distribution area. Thus, we suggest increasing the protected area considering the potential distribution under future climatic warming scenarios, and to implement conservation strategies integrating the sustainable use of the forest.
Fil: Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional Córdoba. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Manfredi. Estación Forestal Villa Dolores; Argentina
Fil: Torres, Romina Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas; Argentina
Fil: Nori, Javier. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Materia
CLIMATIC NICHE
GLOBAL WARMING
PROTECTED AREAS
SDM
SPECIES MODEL DISTRIBUTION
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/201672
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/201672
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco SerranoThe hypothetical effect of climate change on the distribution of two Chaco Serrano woody speciesAlaggia, Francisco GuillermoTorres, Romina CeciliaNori, JavierCLIMATIC NICHEGLOBAL WARMINGPROTECTED AREASSDMSPECIES MODEL DISTRIBUTIONhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Lithraea molleoides (Anacardiaceae) and Schinopsis haenkeana (Anacardiaceae) are native tree species of great importance in the Chaco Serrano, a region poorly studied in relation to the possible effects that climate change (CC) could have on its extension. Species distribution models are one of the most used tools for tree species conservation in the context of the global climate change. These type of models allow to study the potential distribution of species under current and hypothetical future conditions and the effectiveness of protected areas in representing species. Using modeling techniques we studied the potential distribution of both species for current and hypothetical future climatic conditions (period 2041-2060). Also, we used geographic information systems to determine the potential protected area. The models had a high concordance with the known distribution for both species and showed a potential distribution area of 1124737 km2 for L. molleoides, and 158491 km2 for S. haenkeana. Under climate change scenarios, L. molleoides showed a reduction of 18% in the potential distribution, while S. haenkeana showed an increase of 14% in the potential distribution. For both species, the representation in protected areas of categories I to IV of the International Union for Conservation of Nature was less than 10% of the potential distribution area. Thus, we suggest increasing the protected area considering the potential distribution under future climatic warming scenarios, and to implement conservation strategies integrating the sustainable use of the forest.Fil: Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional Córdoba. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Manfredi. Estación Forestal Villa Dolores; ArgentinaFil: Torres, Romina Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas; ArgentinaFil: Nori, Javier. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; ArgentinaAsociación Argentina de Ecología2022-08info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/201672Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo; Torres, Romina Cecilia; Nori, Javier; Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano; Asociación Argentina de Ecología; Ecología Austral; 32; 2; 8-2022; 319-3300327-5477CONICET DigitalCONICETspainfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.25260/ea.22.32.2.0.1828info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T12:01:04Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/201672instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 12:01:05.198CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
The hypothetical effect of climate change on the distribution of two Chaco Serrano woody species
title Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
spellingShingle Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo
CLIMATIC NICHE
GLOBAL WARMING
PROTECTED AREAS
SDM
SPECIES MODEL DISTRIBUTION
title_short Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
title_full Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
title_fullStr Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
title_full_unstemmed Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
title_sort Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo
Torres, Romina Cecilia
Nori, Javier
author Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo
author_facet Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo
Torres, Romina Cecilia
Nori, Javier
author_role author
author2 Torres, Romina Cecilia
Nori, Javier
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv CLIMATIC NICHE
GLOBAL WARMING
PROTECTED AREAS
SDM
SPECIES MODEL DISTRIBUTION
topic CLIMATIC NICHE
GLOBAL WARMING
PROTECTED AREAS
SDM
SPECIES MODEL DISTRIBUTION
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Lithraea molleoides (Anacardiaceae) and Schinopsis haenkeana (Anacardiaceae) are native tree species of great importance in the Chaco Serrano, a region poorly studied in relation to the possible effects that climate change (CC) could have on its extension. Species distribution models are one of the most used tools for tree species conservation in the context of the global climate change. These type of models allow to study the potential distribution of species under current and hypothetical future conditions and the effectiveness of protected areas in representing species. Using modeling techniques we studied the potential distribution of both species for current and hypothetical future climatic conditions (period 2041-2060). Also, we used geographic information systems to determine the potential protected area. The models had a high concordance with the known distribution for both species and showed a potential distribution area of 1124737 km2 for L. molleoides, and 158491 km2 for S. haenkeana. Under climate change scenarios, L. molleoides showed a reduction of 18% in the potential distribution, while S. haenkeana showed an increase of 14% in the potential distribution. For both species, the representation in protected areas of categories I to IV of the International Union for Conservation of Nature was less than 10% of the potential distribution area. Thus, we suggest increasing the protected area considering the potential distribution under future climatic warming scenarios, and to implement conservation strategies integrating the sustainable use of the forest.
Fil: Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional Córdoba. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Manfredi. Estación Forestal Villa Dolores; Argentina
Fil: Torres, Romina Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas y Tecnológicas; Argentina
Fil: Nori, Javier. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
description Lithraea molleoides (Anacardiaceae) and Schinopsis haenkeana (Anacardiaceae) are native tree species of great importance in the Chaco Serrano, a region poorly studied in relation to the possible effects that climate change (CC) could have on its extension. Species distribution models are one of the most used tools for tree species conservation in the context of the global climate change. These type of models allow to study the potential distribution of species under current and hypothetical future conditions and the effectiveness of protected areas in representing species. Using modeling techniques we studied the potential distribution of both species for current and hypothetical future climatic conditions (period 2041-2060). Also, we used geographic information systems to determine the potential protected area. The models had a high concordance with the known distribution for both species and showed a potential distribution area of 1124737 km2 for L. molleoides, and 158491 km2 for S. haenkeana. Under climate change scenarios, L. molleoides showed a reduction of 18% in the potential distribution, while S. haenkeana showed an increase of 14% in the potential distribution. For both species, the representation in protected areas of categories I to IV of the International Union for Conservation of Nature was less than 10% of the potential distribution area. Thus, we suggest increasing the protected area considering the potential distribution under future climatic warming scenarios, and to implement conservation strategies integrating the sustainable use of the forest.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-08
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/201672
Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo; Torres, Romina Cecilia; Nori, Javier; Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano; Asociación Argentina de Ecología; Ecología Austral; 32; 2; 8-2022; 319-330
0327-5477
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/201672
identifier_str_mv Alaggia, Francisco Guillermo; Torres, Romina Cecilia; Nori, Javier; Efecto hipotético del cambio climático sobre la distribución de dos especies leñosas dominantes del Chaco Serrano; Asociación Argentina de Ecología; Ecología Austral; 32; 2; 8-2022; 319-330
0327-5477
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.25260/ea.22.32.2.0.1828
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Asociación Argentina de Ecología
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Asociación Argentina de Ecología
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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