Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century

Autores
Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Camilloni, Ines Angela; Grimson, Rafael; Vasquez, Pablo
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The Iberá wetlands, located in La Plata Basin, is a fragile ecosystem habitat of several species of flora and fauna and it also constitutes one of the largest inland freshwater of the world. In this study the hydroclimatologic response to projected climatic changes in the Iberá wetlands is assessed. Bias corrected temperature and precipitation data from four Regional Climate Models (RCMs) developed for the CLARIS-LPB project were used to drive the calibrated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model for different time slices. Derived future scenarios consist on changes in temperature, precipitation and water level of the Iberá Lake for the periods 2021-2040 and 2071-2090 with respect to present. All RCMs are consistent in predicting a warming for the near future (0-2°C) and also to the end of the century (1.5-4.5°C) in the study region, but differ in the sign and percentage of precipitation changes. VIC modeling results suggest that the Iberá Lake level could increase in the 21st century and that this increment would be higher in the summer months. Nevertheless, the projected 10 cm of water level increase could be not so relevant as it is of the same order of magnitude than the observed interdecadal variability of the system.
Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Grimson, Rafael. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Investigaciones Matemáticas "Luis A. Santaló"; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; Argentina
Fil: Vasquez, Pablo. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; Argentina
Materia
WETLAND HYDROLOGY SIMULATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
IBERÁ WETLAND
VIC HYDROLOGY MODEL
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4470
Acceder
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repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first centuryMontroull, Natalia BlancaSaurral, Ramiro IgnacioCamilloni, Ines AngelaGrimson, RafaelVasquez, PabloWETLAND HYDROLOGY SIMULATIONCLIMATE CHANGEIBERÁ WETLANDVIC HYDROLOGY MODELhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The Iberá wetlands, located in La Plata Basin, is a fragile ecosystem habitat of several species of flora and fauna and it also constitutes one of the largest inland freshwater of the world. In this study the hydroclimatologic response to projected climatic changes in the Iberá wetlands is assessed. Bias corrected temperature and precipitation data from four Regional Climate Models (RCMs) developed for the CLARIS-LPB project were used to drive the calibrated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model for different time slices. Derived future scenarios consist on changes in temperature, precipitation and water level of the Iberá Lake for the periods 2021-2040 and 2071-2090 with respect to present. All RCMs are consistent in predicting a warming for the near future (0-2°C) and also to the end of the century (1.5-4.5°C) in the study region, but differ in the sign and percentage of precipitation changes. VIC modeling results suggest that the Iberá Lake level could increase in the 21st century and that this increment would be higher in the summer months. Nevertheless, the projected 10 cm of water level increase could be not so relevant as it is of the same order of magnitude than the observed interdecadal variability of the system.Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; ArgentinaFil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; ArgentinaFil: Grimson, Rafael. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Investigaciones Matemáticas "Luis A. Santaló"; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; ArgentinaFil: Vasquez, Pablo. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; ArgentinaTaylor & Francis2013-06info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/4470Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Camilloni, Ines Angela; Grimson, Rafael; Vasquez, Pablo; Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 6-2013; 401-4101814-2060enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819807info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/15715124.2013.819807info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1814-2060info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:24:45Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4470instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:24:45.306CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
title Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
spellingShingle Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
WETLAND HYDROLOGY SIMULATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
IBERÁ WETLAND
VIC HYDROLOGY MODEL
title_short Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
title_full Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
title_fullStr Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
title_sort Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Montroull, Natalia Blanca
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Camilloni, Ines Angela
Grimson, Rafael
Vasquez, Pablo
author Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author_facet Montroull, Natalia Blanca
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Camilloni, Ines Angela
Grimson, Rafael
Vasquez, Pablo
author_role author
author2 Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Camilloni, Ines Angela
Grimson, Rafael
Vasquez, Pablo
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv WETLAND HYDROLOGY SIMULATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
IBERÁ WETLAND
VIC HYDROLOGY MODEL
topic WETLAND HYDROLOGY SIMULATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
IBERÁ WETLAND
VIC HYDROLOGY MODEL
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The Iberá wetlands, located in La Plata Basin, is a fragile ecosystem habitat of several species of flora and fauna and it also constitutes one of the largest inland freshwater of the world. In this study the hydroclimatologic response to projected climatic changes in the Iberá wetlands is assessed. Bias corrected temperature and precipitation data from four Regional Climate Models (RCMs) developed for the CLARIS-LPB project were used to drive the calibrated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model for different time slices. Derived future scenarios consist on changes in temperature, precipitation and water level of the Iberá Lake for the periods 2021-2040 and 2071-2090 with respect to present. All RCMs are consistent in predicting a warming for the near future (0-2°C) and also to the end of the century (1.5-4.5°C) in the study region, but differ in the sign and percentage of precipitation changes. VIC modeling results suggest that the Iberá Lake level could increase in the 21st century and that this increment would be higher in the summer months. Nevertheless, the projected 10 cm of water level increase could be not so relevant as it is of the same order of magnitude than the observed interdecadal variability of the system.
Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Grimson, Rafael. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Investigaciones Matemáticas "Luis A. Santaló"; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; Argentina
Fil: Vasquez, Pablo. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Matemática; Argentina
description The Iberá wetlands, located in La Plata Basin, is a fragile ecosystem habitat of several species of flora and fauna and it also constitutes one of the largest inland freshwater of the world. In this study the hydroclimatologic response to projected climatic changes in the Iberá wetlands is assessed. Bias corrected temperature and precipitation data from four Regional Climate Models (RCMs) developed for the CLARIS-LPB project were used to drive the calibrated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model for different time slices. Derived future scenarios consist on changes in temperature, precipitation and water level of the Iberá Lake for the periods 2021-2040 and 2071-2090 with respect to present. All RCMs are consistent in predicting a warming for the near future (0-2°C) and also to the end of the century (1.5-4.5°C) in the study region, but differ in the sign and percentage of precipitation changes. VIC modeling results suggest that the Iberá Lake level could increase in the 21st century and that this increment would be higher in the summer months. Nevertheless, the projected 10 cm of water level increase could be not so relevant as it is of the same order of magnitude than the observed interdecadal variability of the system.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-06
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4470
Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Camilloni, Ines Angela; Grimson, Rafael; Vasquez, Pablo; Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 6-2013; 401-410
1814-2060
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4470
identifier_str_mv Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Camilloni, Ines Angela; Grimson, Rafael; Vasquez, Pablo; Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the twenty-first century; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 6-2013; 401-410
1814-2060
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819807
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/15715124.2013.819807
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1814-2060
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.070432

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