Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests

Autores
Silvetti, Luna Emilce; Arcamone, Julieta Rocío; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; Landi, Marcos Alejandro; Bellis, Laura Marisa
Año de publicación
2025
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocío. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigaciones Agropecuarias. Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina
Materia
BIRDS
LAND USE CHANGE
FUTURE SCENARIOS
CHACO FOREST
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/273613
Acceder
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network_acronym_str CONICETDig
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical ForestsSilvetti, Luna EmilceArcamone, Julieta RocíoGavier Pizarro, GregorioLandi, Marcos AlejandroBellis, Laura MarisaBIRDSLAND USE CHANGEFUTURE SCENARIOSCHACO FORESThttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; ArgentinaFil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocío. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; ArgentinaFil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigaciones Agropecuarias. Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; ArgentinaFil: Landi, Marcos Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; ArgentinaFil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; ArgentinaMDPI2025-06info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/273613Silvetti, Luna Emilce; Arcamone, Julieta Rocío; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; Landi, Marcos Alejandro; Bellis, Laura Marisa; Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests; MDPI; Forests; 16; 6; 6-2025; 1-271999-4907CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/f16061001info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T12:01:25Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/273613instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 12:01:25.904CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
spellingShingle Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
BIRDS
LAND USE CHANGE
FUTURE SCENARIOS
CHACO FOREST
title_short Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_full Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_fullStr Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_full_unstemmed Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_sort Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Arcamone, Julieta Rocío
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Landi, Marcos Alejandro
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author Silvetti, Luna Emilce
author_facet Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Arcamone, Julieta Rocío
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Landi, Marcos Alejandro
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author_role author
author2 Arcamone, Julieta Rocío
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Landi, Marcos Alejandro
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv BIRDS
LAND USE CHANGE
FUTURE SCENARIOS
CHACO FOREST
topic BIRDS
LAND USE CHANGE
FUTURE SCENARIOS
CHACO FOREST
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocío. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigaciones Agropecuarias. Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba; Argentina. Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales "Mario Gulich"; Argentina
description Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/273613
Silvetti, Luna Emilce; Arcamone, Julieta Rocío; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; Landi, Marcos Alejandro; Bellis, Laura Marisa; Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests; MDPI; Forests; 16; 6; 6-2025; 1-27
1999-4907
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/273613
identifier_str_mv Silvetti, Luna Emilce; Arcamone, Julieta Rocío; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; Landi, Marcos Alejandro; Bellis, Laura Marisa; Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests; MDPI; Forests; 16; 6; 6-2025; 1-27
1999-4907
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/f16061001
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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