Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests

Autores
Silvetti, Luna Emilce; Arcamone, Julieta Rocio; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio; Landi, Marcos A.; Bellis, Laura Marisa
Año de publicación
2025
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
(1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Unidad de Estudios Agropecuarios (UDEA); Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina.
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales; Argentina
Fuente
Forests 16 (6) : 1001. (June 2025)
Materia
Bosques
Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Forests
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
Repositorio
INTA Digital (INTA)
Institución
Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria
OAI Identificador
oai:localhost:20.500.12123/24822
Acceder
id INTADig_115e764ef81a8759e549da8d80a85965
oai_identifier_str oai:localhost:20.500.12123/24822
network_acronym_str INTADig
repository_id_str l
network_name_str INTA Digital (INTA)
spelling Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical ForestsSilvetti, Luna EmilceArcamone, Julieta RocioGavier Pizarro, Gregorio IgnacioLandi, Marcos A.Bellis, Laura MarisaBosquesCambio de Uso de la TierraConservación de la Diversidad BiológicaPájarosForestsLand Use ChangeBiodiversity ConservationBirdsRegión Chaqueña, Argentina(1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos VegetalesFil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; ArgentinaFil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; ArgentinaFil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; ArgentinaFil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Unidad de Estudios Agropecuarios (UDEA); ArgentinaFil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; ArgentinaFil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina.Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales; ArgentinaMDPI2025-12-30T14:38:06Z2025-12-30T14:38:06Z2025-06info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/10011999-4907https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001Forests 16 (6) : 1001. (June 2025)reponame:INTA Digital (INTA)instname:Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuariaenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)2026-01-08T10:41:01Zoai:localhost:20.500.12123/24822instacron:INTAInstitucionalhttp://repositorio.inta.gob.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://repositorio.inta.gob.ar/oai/requesttripaldi.nicolas@inta.gob.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:l2026-01-08 10:41:01.749INTA Digital (INTA) - Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuariafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
spellingShingle Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Bosques
Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Forests
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
title_short Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_full Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_fullStr Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_full_unstemmed Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
title_sort Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Landi, Marcos A.
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author Silvetti, Luna Emilce
author_facet Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Landi, Marcos A.
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author_role author
author2 Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Landi, Marcos A.
Bellis, Laura Marisa
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Bosques
Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Forests
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
topic Bosques
Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Forests
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv (1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Unidad de Estudios Agropecuarios (UDEA); Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina.
Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales; Argentina
description (1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-12-30T14:38:06Z
2025-12-30T14:38:06Z
2025-06
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001
1999-4907
https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001
https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001
identifier_str_mv 1999-4907
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Forests 16 (6) : 1001. (June 2025)
reponame:INTA Digital (INTA)
instname:Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria
reponame_str INTA Digital (INTA)
collection INTA Digital (INTA)
instname_str Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria
repository.name.fl_str_mv INTA Digital (INTA) - Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria
repository.mail.fl_str_mv tripaldi.nicolas@inta.gob.ar
_version_ 1853758529094025216
score 13.25844

Publicaciones similares