Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013)
- Autores
- Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo; Amador Vargas, Sabrina
- Año de publicación
- 2014
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- The only way to test hypotheses is by evaluating their consequences. Since a hypothesis is an explanation of how nature works, it can be tested through the formulation of outcomes expected assuming the proposed hypothesis is true, and contrasting those predictions with the obtained results. Therefore, hypothesis and predictions are intrinsically different concepts. Hypotheses are ideas; predictions are expected results. Predictions are deduced from hypotheses, but it is unlikely to deduce a hypothesis from a prediction. Regardless of these conceptual differences, ecologists often formulate predictions but erroneously state them as hypothesis (Farji-Brener 2003). We believe that this is the case in the work of Heger et al. (2013). Here, we point out the confusion between hypotheses and predictions, highlight the importance of an adequate use of these terms, and propose the hierarchy-of-expected outcomes approach as an alternative to the hierarchy-of-hypotheses approach.
Fil: Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigación en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; Argentina
Fil: Amador Vargas, Sabrina. University of Texas at Austin; Estados Unidos - Materia
-
Hypothesis
Hiothetic-Inductive Method - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/11733
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013)Farji Brener, Alejandro GustavoAmador Vargas, SabrinaHypothesisHiothetic-Inductive Methodhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The only way to test hypotheses is by evaluating their consequences. Since a hypothesis is an explanation of how nature works, it can be tested through the formulation of outcomes expected assuming the proposed hypothesis is true, and contrasting those predictions with the obtained results. Therefore, hypothesis and predictions are intrinsically different concepts. Hypotheses are ideas; predictions are expected results. Predictions are deduced from hypotheses, but it is unlikely to deduce a hypothesis from a prediction. Regardless of these conceptual differences, ecologists often formulate predictions but erroneously state them as hypothesis (Farji-Brener 2003). We believe that this is the case in the work of Heger et al. (2013). Here, we point out the confusion between hypotheses and predictions, highlight the importance of an adequate use of these terms, and propose the hierarchy-of-expected outcomes approach as an alternative to the hierarchy-of-hypotheses approach.Fil: Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigación en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; ArgentinaFil: Amador Vargas, Sabrina. University of Texas at Austin; Estados UnidosRoyal Swedish Acad Sciences2014-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/11733Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo; Amador Vargas, Sabrina; Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 43; 8; 12-2014; 1112-11140044-7447enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4235899/info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-014-0549-0info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s13280-014-0549-0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:47:34Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/11733instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:47:34.443CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
title |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
spellingShingle |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo Hypothesis Hiothetic-Inductive Method |
title_short |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
title_full |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
title_fullStr |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
title_sort |
Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013) |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo Amador Vargas, Sabrina |
author |
Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo |
author_facet |
Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo Amador Vargas, Sabrina |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Amador Vargas, Sabrina |
author2_role |
author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Hypothesis Hiothetic-Inductive Method |
topic |
Hypothesis Hiothetic-Inductive Method |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
The only way to test hypotheses is by evaluating their consequences. Since a hypothesis is an explanation of how nature works, it can be tested through the formulation of outcomes expected assuming the proposed hypothesis is true, and contrasting those predictions with the obtained results. Therefore, hypothesis and predictions are intrinsically different concepts. Hypotheses are ideas; predictions are expected results. Predictions are deduced from hypotheses, but it is unlikely to deduce a hypothesis from a prediction. Regardless of these conceptual differences, ecologists often formulate predictions but erroneously state them as hypothesis (Farji-Brener 2003). We believe that this is the case in the work of Heger et al. (2013). Here, we point out the confusion between hypotheses and predictions, highlight the importance of an adequate use of these terms, and propose the hierarchy-of-expected outcomes approach as an alternative to the hierarchy-of-hypotheses approach. Fil: Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigación en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; Argentina Fil: Amador Vargas, Sabrina. University of Texas at Austin; Estados Unidos |
description |
The only way to test hypotheses is by evaluating their consequences. Since a hypothesis is an explanation of how nature works, it can be tested through the formulation of outcomes expected assuming the proposed hypothesis is true, and contrasting those predictions with the obtained results. Therefore, hypothesis and predictions are intrinsically different concepts. Hypotheses are ideas; predictions are expected results. Predictions are deduced from hypotheses, but it is unlikely to deduce a hypothesis from a prediction. Regardless of these conceptual differences, ecologists often formulate predictions but erroneously state them as hypothesis (Farji-Brener 2003). We believe that this is the case in the work of Heger et al. (2013). Here, we point out the confusion between hypotheses and predictions, highlight the importance of an adequate use of these terms, and propose the hierarchy-of-expected outcomes approach as an alternative to the hierarchy-of-hypotheses approach. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-12 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/11733 Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo; Amador Vargas, Sabrina; Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 43; 8; 12-2014; 1112-1114 0044-7447 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/11733 |
identifier_str_mv |
Farji Brener, Alejandro Gustavo; Amador Vargas, Sabrina; Hierarchy of hypotheses or cascade of predictions? A comment on Heger et al. (2013); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 43; 8; 12-2014; 1112-1114 0044-7447 |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4235899/ info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-014-0549-0 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s13280-014-0549-0 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Royal Swedish Acad Sciences |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Royal Swedish Acad Sciences |
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reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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13.070432 |