Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region

Autores
Antofie, T.; Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, J.; Vogt, J.
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
A drought severity climatology for the Carpathian region has been produced using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (Sc-PDSI) for the period 1961-2010. Using the Sc-PDSI and the assumptions of the Palmer drought model (PDM) the precipitation required for drought termination (when Sc-PDSI reaches -0.5) and amelioration (when Sc-PDSI reaches -2.0) are computed for periods of 1, 3, and 6 months. We discuss the reduction of the uncertainty in the determination of the beginning and ending of drought conditions, and provide a quantitative measure of the probability that any drought could be ameliorated or terminated. We present how the spatial variability of the amount of water needed for drought recovery and the climatological probability of receiving that amount of water is determined by the local conditions against the general climate characteristics of a small area such as the Carpathian region. Regionally, the Pannonian Basin, the Transylvanian Plateau and the external Carpathian foothills and plains in the southern and eastern part of the region require the highest quantity of precipitation to recover from a drought while having the lowest climatological probabilities for such amounts of rainfall. High precipitation amounts over the northern and northwest part of the region result in higher soil moisture supplies and higher climatological probabilities to end a given drought event. Moreover, the succession and/or predominance of particular types of general atmospheric circulation patterns produce a seasonal cycle and inter-annual variability of precipitation that is quantitatively reflected in the excess of precipitation that is above normal required for drought recovery. Overall, the results of this study provide an overview on the chances of recovery from a drought period with moderate or severe drought and present information useful in decision making in water and drought management.
Fil: Antofie, T.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Spinoni, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Vogt, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Materia
DROUGHT
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/37339
Acceder
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network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian regionAntofie, T.Naumann, GustavoSpinoni, J.Vogt, J.DROUGHThttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1A drought severity climatology for the Carpathian region has been produced using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (Sc-PDSI) for the period 1961-2010. Using the Sc-PDSI and the assumptions of the Palmer drought model (PDM) the precipitation required for drought termination (when Sc-PDSI reaches -0.5) and amelioration (when Sc-PDSI reaches -2.0) are computed for periods of 1, 3, and 6 months. We discuss the reduction of the uncertainty in the determination of the beginning and ending of drought conditions, and provide a quantitative measure of the probability that any drought could be ameliorated or terminated. We present how the spatial variability of the amount of water needed for drought recovery and the climatological probability of receiving that amount of water is determined by the local conditions against the general climate characteristics of a small area such as the Carpathian region. Regionally, the Pannonian Basin, the Transylvanian Plateau and the external Carpathian foothills and plains in the southern and eastern part of the region require the highest quantity of precipitation to recover from a drought while having the lowest climatological probabilities for such amounts of rainfall. High precipitation amounts over the northern and northwest part of the region result in higher soil moisture supplies and higher climatological probabilities to end a given drought event. Moreover, the succession and/or predominance of particular types of general atmospheric circulation patterns produce a seasonal cycle and inter-annual variability of precipitation that is quantitatively reflected in the excess of precipitation that is above normal required for drought recovery. Overall, the results of this study provide an overview on the chances of recovery from a drought period with moderate or severe drought and present information useful in decision making in water and drought management.Fil: Antofie, T.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; ItaliaFil: Naumann, Gustavo. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Spinoni, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; ItaliaFil: Vogt, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; ItaliaCopernicus Publications2015-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/37339Antofie, T.; Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, J.; Vogt, J.; Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region; Copernicus Publications; Hydrology And Earth System Sciences; 19; 1; 1-2015; 177-1931027-56061607-7938CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/hessd-11-1493-2014info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/177/2015/hess-19-177-2015-discussion.htmlinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:01:11Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/37339instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:01:11.883CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
title Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
spellingShingle Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
Antofie, T.
DROUGHT
title_short Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
title_full Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
title_fullStr Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
title_sort Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Antofie, T.
Naumann, Gustavo
Spinoni, J.
Vogt, J.
author Antofie, T.
author_facet Antofie, T.
Naumann, Gustavo
Spinoni, J.
Vogt, J.
author_role author
author2 Naumann, Gustavo
Spinoni, J.
Vogt, J.
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv DROUGHT
topic DROUGHT
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv A drought severity climatology for the Carpathian region has been produced using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (Sc-PDSI) for the period 1961-2010. Using the Sc-PDSI and the assumptions of the Palmer drought model (PDM) the precipitation required for drought termination (when Sc-PDSI reaches -0.5) and amelioration (when Sc-PDSI reaches -2.0) are computed for periods of 1, 3, and 6 months. We discuss the reduction of the uncertainty in the determination of the beginning and ending of drought conditions, and provide a quantitative measure of the probability that any drought could be ameliorated or terminated. We present how the spatial variability of the amount of water needed for drought recovery and the climatological probability of receiving that amount of water is determined by the local conditions against the general climate characteristics of a small area such as the Carpathian region. Regionally, the Pannonian Basin, the Transylvanian Plateau and the external Carpathian foothills and plains in the southern and eastern part of the region require the highest quantity of precipitation to recover from a drought while having the lowest climatological probabilities for such amounts of rainfall. High precipitation amounts over the northern and northwest part of the region result in higher soil moisture supplies and higher climatological probabilities to end a given drought event. Moreover, the succession and/or predominance of particular types of general atmospheric circulation patterns produce a seasonal cycle and inter-annual variability of precipitation that is quantitatively reflected in the excess of precipitation that is above normal required for drought recovery. Overall, the results of this study provide an overview on the chances of recovery from a drought period with moderate or severe drought and present information useful in decision making in water and drought management.
Fil: Antofie, T.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Spinoni, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Vogt, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
description A drought severity climatology for the Carpathian region has been produced using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (Sc-PDSI) for the period 1961-2010. Using the Sc-PDSI and the assumptions of the Palmer drought model (PDM) the precipitation required for drought termination (when Sc-PDSI reaches -0.5) and amelioration (when Sc-PDSI reaches -2.0) are computed for periods of 1, 3, and 6 months. We discuss the reduction of the uncertainty in the determination of the beginning and ending of drought conditions, and provide a quantitative measure of the probability that any drought could be ameliorated or terminated. We present how the spatial variability of the amount of water needed for drought recovery and the climatological probability of receiving that amount of water is determined by the local conditions against the general climate characteristics of a small area such as the Carpathian region. Regionally, the Pannonian Basin, the Transylvanian Plateau and the external Carpathian foothills and plains in the southern and eastern part of the region require the highest quantity of precipitation to recover from a drought while having the lowest climatological probabilities for such amounts of rainfall. High precipitation amounts over the northern and northwest part of the region result in higher soil moisture supplies and higher climatological probabilities to end a given drought event. Moreover, the succession and/or predominance of particular types of general atmospheric circulation patterns produce a seasonal cycle and inter-annual variability of precipitation that is quantitatively reflected in the excess of precipitation that is above normal required for drought recovery. Overall, the results of this study provide an overview on the chances of recovery from a drought period with moderate or severe drought and present information useful in decision making in water and drought management.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/37339
Antofie, T.; Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, J.; Vogt, J.; Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region; Copernicus Publications; Hydrology And Earth System Sciences; 19; 1; 1-2015; 177-193
1027-5606
1607-7938
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/37339
identifier_str_mv Antofie, T.; Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, J.; Vogt, J.; Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region; Copernicus Publications; Hydrology And Earth System Sciences; 19; 1; 1-2015; 177-193
1027-5606
1607-7938
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/hessd-11-1493-2014
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/177/2015/hess-19-177-2015-discussion.html
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Copernicus Publications
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Copernicus Publications
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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