Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control

Autores
Valdez, Lucas Daniel; Macri, Pablo Alejandro; Braunstein, Lidia Adriana
Año de publicación
2012
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptibleinfected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time tb. We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σc beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a “susceptible herd behavior” that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.
Fil: Valdez, Lucas Daniel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
Fil: Macri, Pablo Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
Fil: Braunstein, Lidia Adriana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
Materia
Complex networks
Percolation
Epidemics
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/269442

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spelling Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic controlValdez, Lucas DanielMacri, Pablo AlejandroBraunstein, Lidia AdrianaComplex networksPercolationEpidemicshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.3https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptibleinfected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time tb. We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σc beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a “susceptible herd behavior” that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.Fil: Valdez, Lucas Daniel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; ArgentinaFil: Macri, Pablo Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; ArgentinaFil: Braunstein, Lidia Adriana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; ArgentinaAmerican Physical Society2012-03info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/269442Valdez, Lucas Daniel; Macri, Pablo Alejandro; Braunstein, Lidia Adriana; Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control; American Physical Society; Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear and Soft Matter Physics; 85; 3; 3-2012; 361081-3610871539-3755CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.036108info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.036108info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-15T15:36:27Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/269442instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-15 15:36:28.157CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
title Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
spellingShingle Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
Valdez, Lucas Daniel
Complex networks
Percolation
Epidemics
title_short Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
title_full Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
title_fullStr Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
title_full_unstemmed Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
title_sort Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Valdez, Lucas Daniel
Macri, Pablo Alejandro
Braunstein, Lidia Adriana
author Valdez, Lucas Daniel
author_facet Valdez, Lucas Daniel
Macri, Pablo Alejandro
Braunstein, Lidia Adriana
author_role author
author2 Macri, Pablo Alejandro
Braunstein, Lidia Adriana
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Complex networks
Percolation
Epidemics
topic Complex networks
Percolation
Epidemics
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.3
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptibleinfected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time tb. We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σc beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a “susceptible herd behavior” that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.
Fil: Valdez, Lucas Daniel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
Fil: Macri, Pablo Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
Fil: Braunstein, Lidia Adriana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata; Argentina
description We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptibleinfected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time tb. We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σc beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a “susceptible herd behavior” that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.
publishDate 2012
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2012-03
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/269442
Valdez, Lucas Daniel; Macri, Pablo Alejandro; Braunstein, Lidia Adriana; Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control; American Physical Society; Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear and Soft Matter Physics; 85; 3; 3-2012; 361081-361087
1539-3755
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/269442
identifier_str_mv Valdez, Lucas Daniel; Macri, Pablo Alejandro; Braunstein, Lidia Adriana; Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control; American Physical Society; Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear and Soft Matter Physics; 85; 3; 3-2012; 361081-361087
1539-3755
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.036108
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.036108
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Physical Society
publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Physical Society
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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