Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province

Autores
Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet
Año de publicación
2023
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.
Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina
Fil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados Unidos
Materia
expouser
rarity
range size
topographic heterogeneity
land use change
climate change
spatial traits
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/232465

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spelling Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic ProvinceBrooke Rose, MirandaVelazco, Santiago José ElíasRegan, Helen M.Franklin, Janetexpouserrarityrange sizetopographic heterogeneityland use changeclimate changespatial traitshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados UnidosFil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; ArgentinaFil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados UnidosFil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados UnidosWiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc2023-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-2321466-822X1466-8238CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.13618info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/geb.13618info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:35:35Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/232465instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:35:36.046CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
title Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
spellingShingle Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
Brooke Rose, Miranda
expouser
rarity
range size
topographic heterogeneity
land use change
climate change
spatial traits
title_short Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
title_full Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
title_fullStr Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
title_full_unstemmed Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
title_sort Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Brooke Rose, Miranda
Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Regan, Helen M.
Franklin, Janet
author Brooke Rose, Miranda
author_facet Brooke Rose, Miranda
Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Regan, Helen M.
Franklin, Janet
author_role author
author2 Velazco, Santiago José Elías
Regan, Helen M.
Franklin, Janet
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv expouser
rarity
range size
topographic heterogeneity
land use change
climate change
spatial traits
topic expouser
rarity
range size
topographic heterogeneity
land use change
climate change
spatial traits
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.
Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina
Fil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados Unidos
description Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465
Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-232
1466-822X
1466-8238
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465
identifier_str_mv Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-232
1466-822X
1466-8238
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.13618
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/geb.13618
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
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