Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province
- Autores
- Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet
- Año de publicación
- 2023
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.
Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina
Fil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados Unidos
Fil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados Unidos - Materia
-
expouser
rarity
range size
topographic heterogeneity
land use change
climate change
spatial traits - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/232465
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic ProvinceBrooke Rose, MirandaVelazco, Santiago José ElíasRegan, Helen M.Franklin, Janetexpouserrarityrange sizetopographic heterogeneityland use changeclimate changespatial traitshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments.Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados UnidosFil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; ArgentinaFil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados UnidosFil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados UnidosWiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc2023-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-2321466-822X1466-8238CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.13618info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/geb.13618info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:35:35Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/232465instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:35:36.046CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
title |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
spellingShingle |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province Brooke Rose, Miranda expouser rarity range size topographic heterogeneity land use change climate change spatial traits |
title_short |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
title_full |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
title_fullStr |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
title_full_unstemmed |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
title_sort |
Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Brooke Rose, Miranda Velazco, Santiago José Elías Regan, Helen M. Franklin, Janet |
author |
Brooke Rose, Miranda |
author_facet |
Brooke Rose, Miranda Velazco, Santiago José Elías Regan, Helen M. Franklin, Janet |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Velazco, Santiago José Elías Regan, Helen M. Franklin, Janet |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
expouser rarity range size topographic heterogeneity land use change climate change spatial traits |
topic |
expouser rarity range size topographic heterogeneity land use change climate change spatial traits |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments. Fil: Brooke Rose, Miranda. University of California; Estados Unidos Fil: Velazco, Santiago José Elías. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú | Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Instituto de Biología Subtropical. Instituto de Biología Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazú; Argentina Fil: Regan, Helen M.. University of California; Estados Unidos Fil: Franklin, Janet. University of California; Estados Unidos |
description |
Aim: Rarity and geographic aspects of species’ distributions mediate their vulnerability to global change. We explore the relationships between species’ rarity and geography and their exposure to climate and land use change in a biodiversity hotspot. Location: California, USATaxon: 106 terrestrial plantsMethods: We estimated four rarity traits: range size, niche breadth, number of habitat patches, and patch isolation; and three geographic traits: mean elevation, topographic heterogeneity, and distance to coast. We used species distribution models to measure species exposure – predicted change in continuous habitat suitability within currently occupied habitat –under climate and land use change scenarios. Using regression models, decision-tree models, and variance partitioning, we assessed the relationships between species’ rarity, geography, and exposure to climate and land use change. Results: Rarity, geography, and greenhouse gas emissions scenario explained >35% of variance in climate change exposure and >61% for land use change exposure. While rarity traits (range size and number of habitat patches) were most important for explaining species’ exposure to climate change, geographic traits (elevation and topographic heterogeneity) were more strongly associated with species’ exposure to land use change. Main conclusions: Species with restricted range sizes and low topographic heterogeneity across their distributions were predicted to be the most exposed to climate change, while species at low elevations were the most exposed to habitat loss via land use change. However, even some broadly distributed species were projected to lose >70% of their currently suitable habitat due to climate and land use change if they are in geographically vulnerable areas, emphasizing the need to consider both species’ rarity traits and geography in vulnerability assessments. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-01 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465 Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-232 1466-822X 1466-8238 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/232465 |
identifier_str_mv |
Brooke Rose, Miranda; Velazco, Santiago José Elías; Regan, Helen M.; Franklin, Janet; Rarity, geography, and plant exposure to global change in the California Floristic Province; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Global Ecology and Biogeography; 32; 2; 1-2023; 218-232 1466-822X 1466-8238 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geb.13618 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/geb.13618 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
reponame_str |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
collection |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
instname_str |
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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1844613109939961856 |
score |
13.070432 |