Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics

Autores
Moreno, Eduardo S; Agostini, Ilaria; Holzmann, Ingrid; Di Bitetti, Mario S; Oklander, Luciana I; Kowalewski, Martín M; Beldoménico, Pablo M.; Goenaga, Silvina; Martínez, Mariela; Lestani, Eduardo; Desbiez, Arnaud L J; Miller, Philip
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Fil: Moreno, Eduardo S. Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará, Santarém, PA; Brasil.
Fil: Agostini, Ilaria. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Holzmann, Ingrid. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Di Bitetti, Mario S. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Oklander, Luciana I. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Kowalewski, Marín M. Estación Biológica de Corrientes, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales Bernardino Rivadavia; Argentina.
Fil: Beldomenico, Pablo M. Instituto de Ciencias Veterinarias del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional del Litoral;, Argentina.
Fil: Goenaga, Silvina. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Virales Humanas; Argentina.
Fil: Martinez, Mariela.Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Lestani, Eduardo.Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical, Puerto Iguazú, Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Desbiez, Arnaud L J. Royal Zoological Society of Scotland; Reino Unido.
Fil: Miller, Philip. International Union for Conservation of Nature; Estados Unidos.
In South America, yellow fever (YF) is an established infectious disease that has been identified outside of its traditional endemic areas, affecting human and nonhuman primate (NHP) populations. In the epidemics that occurred in Argentina between 2007-2009, several outbreaks affecting humans and howler monkeys (Alouatta spp) were reported, highlighting the importance of this disease in the context of conservation medicine and public health policies. Considering the lack of information about YF dynamics in New World NHP, our main goal was to apply modelling tools to better understand YF transmission dynamics among endangered brown howler monkey (Alouatta guariba clamitans) populations in northeastern Argentina. Two complementary modelling tools were used to evaluate brown howler population dynamics in the presence of the disease: Vortex, a stochastic demographic simulation model, and Outbreak, a stochastic disease epidemiology simulation. The baseline model of YF disease epidemiology predicted a very high probability of population decline over the next 100 years. We believe the modelling approach discussed here is a reasonable description of the disease and its effects on the howler monkey population and can be useful to support evidence-based decision-making to guide actions at a regional level.
Fuente
Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 2015; 110(7):865-876
Materia
Fiebre Amarilla
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
Repositorio
Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN
Institución
Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"
OAI Identificador
oai:sgc.anlis.gob.ar:123456789/1731

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oai_identifier_str oai:sgc.anlis.gob.ar:123456789/1731
network_acronym_str SGCANLIS
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network_name_str Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN
spelling Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamicsMoreno, Eduardo SAgostini, IlariaHolzmann, IngridDi Bitetti, Mario SOklander, Luciana IKowalewski, Martín MBeldoménico, Pablo M.Goenaga, SilvinaMartínez, MarielaLestani, EduardoDesbiez, Arnaud L JMiller, PhilipFiebre AmarillaFil: Moreno, Eduardo S. Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará, Santarém, PA; Brasil.Fil: Agostini, Ilaria. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Holzmann, Ingrid. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Di Bitetti, Mario S. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Oklander, Luciana I. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Kowalewski, Marín M. Estación Biológica de Corrientes, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales Bernardino Rivadavia; Argentina.Fil: Beldomenico, Pablo M. Instituto de Ciencias Veterinarias del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional del Litoral;, Argentina.Fil: Goenaga, Silvina. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Virales Humanas; Argentina.Fil: Martinez, Mariela.Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Lestani, Eduardo.Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical, Puerto Iguazú, Misiones; Argentina.Fil: Desbiez, Arnaud L J. Royal Zoological Society of Scotland; Reino Unido.Fil: Miller, Philip. International Union for Conservation of Nature; Estados Unidos.In South America, yellow fever (YF) is an established infectious disease that has been identified outside of its traditional endemic areas, affecting human and nonhuman primate (NHP) populations. In the epidemics that occurred in Argentina between 2007-2009, several outbreaks affecting humans and howler monkeys (Alouatta spp) were reported, highlighting the importance of this disease in the context of conservation medicine and public health policies. Considering the lack of information about YF dynamics in New World NHP, our main goal was to apply modelling tools to better understand YF transmission dynamics among endangered brown howler monkey (Alouatta guariba clamitans) populations in northeastern Argentina. Two complementary modelling tools were used to evaluate brown howler population dynamics in the presence of the disease: Vortex, a stochastic demographic simulation model, and Outbreak, a stochastic disease epidemiology simulation. The baseline model of YF disease epidemiology predicted a very high probability of population decline over the next 100 years. We believe the modelling approach discussed here is a reasonable description of the disease and its effects on the howler monkey population and can be useful to support evidence-based decision-making to guide actions at a regional level.2015-11info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdf1678-8060http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/173110.1590/0074-02760150075Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 2015; 110(7):865-876reponame:Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁNinstname:Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"instacron:ANLISMemorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruzenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2025-09-29T14:30:25Zoai:sgc.anlis.gob.ar:123456789/1731Institucionalhttp://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/oai/biblioteca@anlis.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:a2025-09-29 14:30:25.867Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN - Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
title Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
spellingShingle Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
Moreno, Eduardo S
Fiebre Amarilla
title_short Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
title_full Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
title_fullStr Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
title_sort Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Moreno, Eduardo S
Agostini, Ilaria
Holzmann, Ingrid
Di Bitetti, Mario S
Oklander, Luciana I
Kowalewski, Martín M
Beldoménico, Pablo M.
Goenaga, Silvina
Martínez, Mariela
Lestani, Eduardo
Desbiez, Arnaud L J
Miller, Philip
author Moreno, Eduardo S
author_facet Moreno, Eduardo S
Agostini, Ilaria
Holzmann, Ingrid
Di Bitetti, Mario S
Oklander, Luciana I
Kowalewski, Martín M
Beldoménico, Pablo M.
Goenaga, Silvina
Martínez, Mariela
Lestani, Eduardo
Desbiez, Arnaud L J
Miller, Philip
author_role author
author2 Agostini, Ilaria
Holzmann, Ingrid
Di Bitetti, Mario S
Oklander, Luciana I
Kowalewski, Martín M
Beldoménico, Pablo M.
Goenaga, Silvina
Martínez, Mariela
Lestani, Eduardo
Desbiez, Arnaud L J
Miller, Philip
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Fiebre Amarilla
topic Fiebre Amarilla
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Fil: Moreno, Eduardo S. Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará, Santarém, PA; Brasil.
Fil: Agostini, Ilaria. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Holzmann, Ingrid. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Di Bitetti, Mario S. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Oklander, Luciana I. Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Kowalewski, Marín M. Estación Biológica de Corrientes, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales Bernardino Rivadavia; Argentina.
Fil: Beldomenico, Pablo M. Instituto de Ciencias Veterinarias del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional del Litoral;, Argentina.
Fil: Goenaga, Silvina. ANLIS Dr.C.G.Malbrán. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Virales Humanas; Argentina.
Fil: Martinez, Mariela.Instituto de Biología Subtropical, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Lestani, Eduardo.Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical, Puerto Iguazú, Misiones; Argentina.
Fil: Desbiez, Arnaud L J. Royal Zoological Society of Scotland; Reino Unido.
Fil: Miller, Philip. International Union for Conservation of Nature; Estados Unidos.
In South America, yellow fever (YF) is an established infectious disease that has been identified outside of its traditional endemic areas, affecting human and nonhuman primate (NHP) populations. In the epidemics that occurred in Argentina between 2007-2009, several outbreaks affecting humans and howler monkeys (Alouatta spp) were reported, highlighting the importance of this disease in the context of conservation medicine and public health policies. Considering the lack of information about YF dynamics in New World NHP, our main goal was to apply modelling tools to better understand YF transmission dynamics among endangered brown howler monkey (Alouatta guariba clamitans) populations in northeastern Argentina. Two complementary modelling tools were used to evaluate brown howler population dynamics in the presence of the disease: Vortex, a stochastic demographic simulation model, and Outbreak, a stochastic disease epidemiology simulation. The baseline model of YF disease epidemiology predicted a very high probability of population decline over the next 100 years. We believe the modelling approach discussed here is a reasonable description of the disease and its effects on the howler monkey population and can be useful to support evidence-based decision-making to guide actions at a regional level.
description Fil: Moreno, Eduardo S. Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará, Santarém, PA; Brasil.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-11
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 1678-8060
http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/1731
10.1590/0074-02760150075
identifier_str_mv 1678-8060
10.1590/0074-02760150075
url http://sgc.anlis.gob.ar/handle/123456789/1731
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 2015; 110(7):865-876
reponame:Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN
instname:Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"
instacron:ANLIS
reponame_str Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN
collection Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN
instname_str Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"
instacron_str ANLIS
institution ANLIS
repository.name.fl_str_mv Sistema de Gestión del Conocimiento ANLIS MALBRÁN - Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"
repository.mail.fl_str_mv biblioteca@anlis.gov.ar
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