Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment

Autores
Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed; Al-Hawri, Mohamed; Pournik, Mohammad; Lofgren, Hans; Cicowiez, Martín
Año de publicación
2012
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
documento de trabajo
Estado
versión enviada
Descripción
Once the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis, and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the required expansion of MDG-related services, on-time achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been a realistic objective even if the government, hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability, government efficiency, and the production of tradables would all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of relying on international targets, should set MDG targets grounded in their own reality. In light of these results, the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or government allocative efficiency. The government uses the resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in infrastructure and human development without losses in productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved.
Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS)
Materia
Ciencias Económicas
Millennium Development Goals; computable general equilibrium; MAMS
política fiscal
Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio
Yemen
Recursos Humanos
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Repositorio
SEDICI (UNLP)
Institución
Universidad Nacional de La Plata
OAI Identificador
oai:sedici.unlp.edu.ar:10915/3714

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spelling Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessmentAl-Batuly, AbdulmajeedAl-Hawri, MohamedPournik, MohammadLofgren, HansCicowiez, MartínCiencias EconómicasMillennium Development Goals; computable general equilibrium; MAMSpolítica fiscalObjetivos de Desarrollo del MilenioYemenRecursos HumanosOnce the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis, and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the required expansion of MDG-related services, on-time achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been a realistic objective even if the government, hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability, government efficiency, and the production of tradables would all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of relying on international targets, should set MDG targets grounded in their own reality. In light of these results, the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or government allocative efficiency. The government uses the resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in infrastructure and human development without losses in productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved.Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS)2012info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersionDocumento de trabajohttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042info:ar-repo/semantics/documentoDeTrabajoapplication/pdfhttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/3714enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://cedlas.econo.unlp.edu.ar/download.php?file=archivos_upload/doc_cedlas131.pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1853-0168info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)reponame:SEDICI (UNLP)instname:Universidad Nacional de La Platainstacron:UNLP2025-09-29T10:49:17Zoai:sedici.unlp.edu.ar:10915/3714Institucionalhttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/Universidad públicaNo correspondehttp://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/oai/snrdalira@sedici.unlp.edu.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:13292025-09-29 10:49:17.776SEDICI (UNLP) - Universidad Nacional de La Platafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
title Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
spellingShingle Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed
Ciencias Económicas
Millennium Development Goals; computable general equilibrium; MAMS
política fiscal
Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio
Yemen
Recursos Humanos
title_short Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
title_full Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
title_fullStr Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
title_full_unstemmed Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
title_sort Achieving the MDGs in Yemen: an assessment
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed
Al-Hawri, Mohamed
Pournik, Mohammad
Lofgren, Hans
Cicowiez, Martín
author Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed
author_facet Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed
Al-Hawri, Mohamed
Pournik, Mohammad
Lofgren, Hans
Cicowiez, Martín
author_role author
author2 Al-Hawri, Mohamed
Pournik, Mohammad
Lofgren, Hans
Cicowiez, Martín
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Ciencias Económicas
Millennium Development Goals; computable general equilibrium; MAMS
política fiscal
Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio
Yemen
Recursos Humanos
topic Ciencias Económicas
Millennium Development Goals; computable general equilibrium; MAMS
política fiscal
Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio
Yemen
Recursos Humanos
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Once the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis, and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the required expansion of MDG-related services, on-time achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been a realistic objective even if the government, hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability, government efficiency, and the production of tradables would all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of relying on international targets, should set MDG targets grounded in their own reality. In light of these results, the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or government allocative efficiency. The government uses the resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in infrastructure and human development without losses in productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved.
Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS)
description Once the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis, and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the required expansion of MDG-related services, on-time achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been a realistic objective even if the government, hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability, government efficiency, and the production of tradables would all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of relying on international targets, should set MDG targets grounded in their own reality. In light of these results, the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or government allocative efficiency. The government uses the resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in infrastructure and human development without losses in productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved.
publishDate 2012
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2012
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