Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America

Autores
Orte, Facundo; Jønch-Sørensen, Helge; Luccini, Eduardo; Lusi, Anabela; D'Elia, R.; Nollas, Fernando; Wolfram, E.
Año de publicación
2024
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Fil: Orte, Facundo. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; Argentina
Fil: Orte, Facundo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Jønch-Sørensen, Helge. Danish Meteorological Institute; Dinamarca
Fil: Luccini, Eduardo. Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina. Facultad de Química e Ingeniería del Rosario; Argentina
Fil: Luccini, Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico; Argentina
Fil: Lusi, Anabela. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; Argentina
Fil: Lusi, Anabela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: D'Elia, R. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Nollas, Fernando. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; Argentina
Fil: Wolfram, E. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; Argentina
Fil: Wolfram, E. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Abstract: Abstract. Reliable UV Index (UVI) forecast is a relevant tool to inform the population about the potential health risks of sun exposure in a specific temporal horizon. In this work, the 1-day local-noon Near-Real-Time UV index forecast (NUV) for clear sky (NUV/CLEAR) and for all-sky condition (NUV/CLOUD) is evaluated against ground-based measurements in six sites of the Argentine solar radiation network Saver-Net, covering the latitudinal range from ~30ºS to ~52°S. NUV/CLEAR is calculated using GOME-2 assimilated total ozone (ATO) as the only forecasted dynamic input, while all other atmospheric parameters and surface albedo are taken from climatology. NUV/CLOUD incorporates clouds to NUV/CLEAR using the ECMWF cloud cover fraction forecast as input. NUV/CLEAR presents an excellent correspondence with respect to ground-based observations, with low values of RMSE and MAE and high correlation with coefficient of determination above 0.99. As expected, the correspondence decreases when cloudiness is included, although NUV/CLOUD still shows a reasonable agreement.
Fuente
AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010)
Materia
RADIACION ULTRAVIOLETA
ATMOSFERA
CLIMATOLOGIA
INDICE UV
INGENIERIA AMBIENTAL
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
Repositorio
Repositorio Institucional (UCA)
Institución
Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina
OAI Identificador
oai:ucacris:123456789/18356
Acceder
id RIUCA_096af76d2fb26fc036665fe9f404f210
oai_identifier_str oai:ucacris:123456789/18356
network_acronym_str RIUCA
repository_id_str 2585
network_name_str Repositorio Institucional (UCA)
spelling Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South AmericaOrte, FacundoJønch-Sørensen, HelgeLuccini, EduardoLusi, AnabelaD'Elia, R.Nollas, FernandoWolfram, E.RADIACION ULTRAVIOLETAATMOSFERACLIMATOLOGIAINDICE UVINGENIERIA AMBIENTALFil: Orte, Facundo. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; ArgentinaFil: Orte, Facundo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Jønch-Sørensen, Helge. Danish Meteorological Institute; DinamarcaFil: Luccini, Eduardo. Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina. Facultad de Química e Ingeniería del Rosario; ArgentinaFil: Luccini, Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico; ArgentinaFil: Lusi, Anabela. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; ArgentinaFil: Lusi, Anabela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: D'Elia, R. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Nollas, Fernando. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; ArgentinaFil: Wolfram, E. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; ArgentinaFil: Wolfram, E. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaAbstract: Abstract. Reliable UV Index (UVI) forecast is a relevant tool to inform the population about the potential health risks of sun exposure in a specific temporal horizon. In this work, the 1-day local-noon Near-Real-Time UV index forecast (NUV) for clear sky (NUV/CLEAR) and for all-sky condition (NUV/CLOUD) is evaluated against ground-based measurements in six sites of the Argentine solar radiation network Saver-Net, covering the latitudinal range from ~30ºS to ~52°S. NUV/CLEAR is calculated using GOME-2 assimilated total ozone (ATO) as the only forecasted dynamic input, while all other atmospheric parameters and surface albedo are taken from climatology. NUV/CLOUD incorporates clouds to NUV/CLEAR using the ECMWF cloud cover fraction forecast as input. NUV/CLEAR presents an excellent correspondence with respect to ground-based observations, with low values of RMSE and MAE and high correlation with coefficient of determination above 0.99. As expected, the correspondence decreases when cloudiness is included, although NUV/CLOUD still shows a reasonable agreement.AIP Publishing LLC2024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfhttps://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/183561551-7616 (en línea )0094-243X (impreso )10.1063/5.0185364Orte, F. et al. Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America [en línea]. AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010). doi: 10.1063/5.0185364. Disponible en: https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/18356AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010)reponame:Repositorio Institucional (UCA)instname:Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentinaenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/2025-07-03T10:59:51Zoai:ucacris:123456789/18356instacron:UCAInstitucionalhttps://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/Universidad privadaNo correspondehttps://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/oaiclaudia_fernandez@uca.edu.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:25852025-07-03 10:59:51.93Repositorio Institucional (UCA) - Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentinafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
title Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
spellingShingle Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
Orte, Facundo
RADIACION ULTRAVIOLETA
ATMOSFERA
CLIMATOLOGIA
INDICE UV
INGENIERIA AMBIENTAL
title_short Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
title_full Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
title_fullStr Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
title_sort Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Orte, Facundo
Jønch-Sørensen, Helge
Luccini, Eduardo
Lusi, Anabela
D'Elia, R.
Nollas, Fernando
Wolfram, E.
author Orte, Facundo
author_facet Orte, Facundo
Jønch-Sørensen, Helge
Luccini, Eduardo
Lusi, Anabela
D'Elia, R.
Nollas, Fernando
Wolfram, E.
author_role author
author2 Jønch-Sørensen, Helge
Luccini, Eduardo
Lusi, Anabela
D'Elia, R.
Nollas, Fernando
Wolfram, E.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv RADIACION ULTRAVIOLETA
ATMOSFERA
CLIMATOLOGIA
INDICE UV
INGENIERIA AMBIENTAL
topic RADIACION ULTRAVIOLETA
ATMOSFERA
CLIMATOLOGIA
INDICE UV
INGENIERIA AMBIENTAL
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Fil: Orte, Facundo. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; Argentina
Fil: Orte, Facundo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Jønch-Sørensen, Helge. Danish Meteorological Institute; Dinamarca
Fil: Luccini, Eduardo. Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina. Facultad de Química e Ingeniería del Rosario; Argentina
Fil: Luccini, Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico; Argentina
Fil: Lusi, Anabela. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; Argentina
Fil: Lusi, Anabela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: D'Elia, R. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Nollas, Fernando. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; Argentina
Fil: Wolfram, E. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional; Argentina
Fil: Wolfram, E. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Abstract: Abstract. Reliable UV Index (UVI) forecast is a relevant tool to inform the population about the potential health risks of sun exposure in a specific temporal horizon. In this work, the 1-day local-noon Near-Real-Time UV index forecast (NUV) for clear sky (NUV/CLEAR) and for all-sky condition (NUV/CLOUD) is evaluated against ground-based measurements in six sites of the Argentine solar radiation network Saver-Net, covering the latitudinal range from ~30ºS to ~52°S. NUV/CLEAR is calculated using GOME-2 assimilated total ozone (ATO) as the only forecasted dynamic input, while all other atmospheric parameters and surface albedo are taken from climatology. NUV/CLOUD incorporates clouds to NUV/CLEAR using the ECMWF cloud cover fraction forecast as input. NUV/CLEAR presents an excellent correspondence with respect to ground-based observations, with low values of RMSE and MAE and high correlation with coefficient of determination above 0.99. As expected, the correspondence decreases when cloudiness is included, although NUV/CLOUD still shows a reasonable agreement.
description Fil: Orte, Facundo. Instituto de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas para la Defensa. Departamento de Investigaciones en Láseres y sus aplicaciones; Argentina
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/18356
1551-7616 (en línea )
0094-243X (impreso )
10.1063/5.0185364
Orte, F. et al. Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America [en línea]. AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010). doi: 10.1063/5.0185364. Disponible en: https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/18356
url https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/18356
identifier_str_mv 1551-7616 (en línea )
0094-243X (impreso )
10.1063/5.0185364
Orte, F. et al. Evaluation of the NUV forecast performance against ground-based measurements in southern South America [en línea]. AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010). doi: 10.1063/5.0185364. Disponible en: https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/18356
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv AIP Publishing LLC
publisher.none.fl_str_mv AIP Publishing LLC
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, 2988 (090010)
reponame:Repositorio Institucional (UCA)
instname:Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina
reponame_str Repositorio Institucional (UCA)
collection Repositorio Institucional (UCA)
instname_str Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional (UCA) - Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina
repository.mail.fl_str_mv claudia_fernandez@uca.edu.ar
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score 13.13397

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