Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
- Autores
- Catelén, Ana Laura
- Año de publicación
- 2020
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- tesis de maestría
- Estado
- versión aceptada
- Colaborador/a o director/a de tesis
- Nicolini, Esteban
- Descripción
- This paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks, auto-regressive vectors are used to characterize the short-run impact of these shocks on GDP, trade balance, and real wages. Results confirm that there is a bottleneck in the trade balance that blocks future growth possibilities, that GDP and wages are highly sensitive to variations in the terms of trade, that the increase in external debt does not produce economic growth or improvements in the purchasing power of the population, and that there is a vicious dynamic between capital flight and foreign debt. At the same time, there is evidence of the increase in external vulnerability since the change in the accumulation model in the 1970s.
Fil: Catelén, Ana Laura. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales; Argentina. - Materia
-
Crecimiento Económico
Balanza de Pagos
Vulnerabilidad Externa - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales
- OAI Identificador
- oai:nulan.mdp.edu.ar:3471
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Growth constraints and external vulnerability in ArgentinaCatelén, Ana LauraCrecimiento EconómicoBalanza de PagosVulnerabilidad ExternaThis paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks, auto-regressive vectors are used to characterize the short-run impact of these shocks on GDP, trade balance, and real wages. Results confirm that there is a bottleneck in the trade balance that blocks future growth possibilities, that GDP and wages are highly sensitive to variations in the terms of trade, that the increase in external debt does not produce economic growth or improvements in the purchasing power of the population, and that there is a vicious dynamic between capital flight and foreign debt. At the same time, there is evidence of the increase in external vulnerability since the change in the accumulation model in the 1970s.Fil: Catelén, Ana Laura. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales; Argentina.Nicolini, Esteban2020info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdccinfo:ar-repo/semantics/tesisDeMaestriaapplication/pdfhttps://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/1/catelen-2020.pdfengArgentina1930-2018info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.esreponame:Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS)instname:Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales2025-09-04T09:44:43Zoai:nulan.mdp.edu.ar:3471instacron:UNMDP-FCEySInstitucionalhttp://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/Universidad públicaNo correspondehttp://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/cgi/oai2cendocu@mdp.edu.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:18452025-09-04 09:44:44.0Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS) - Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Socialesfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
title |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
spellingShingle |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina Catelén, Ana Laura Crecimiento Económico Balanza de Pagos Vulnerabilidad Externa |
title_short |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
title_full |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
title_fullStr |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
title_full_unstemmed |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
title_sort |
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Catelén, Ana Laura |
author |
Catelén, Ana Laura |
author_facet |
Catelén, Ana Laura |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Nicolini, Esteban |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Crecimiento Económico Balanza de Pagos Vulnerabilidad Externa |
topic |
Crecimiento Económico Balanza de Pagos Vulnerabilidad Externa |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
This paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks, auto-regressive vectors are used to characterize the short-run impact of these shocks on GDP, trade balance, and real wages. Results confirm that there is a bottleneck in the trade balance that blocks future growth possibilities, that GDP and wages are highly sensitive to variations in the terms of trade, that the increase in external debt does not produce economic growth or improvements in the purchasing power of the population, and that there is a vicious dynamic between capital flight and foreign debt. At the same time, there is evidence of the increase in external vulnerability since the change in the accumulation model in the 1970s. Fil: Catelén, Ana Laura. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales; Argentina. |
description |
This paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks, auto-regressive vectors are used to characterize the short-run impact of these shocks on GDP, trade balance, and real wages. Results confirm that there is a bottleneck in the trade balance that blocks future growth possibilities, that GDP and wages are highly sensitive to variations in the terms of trade, that the increase in external debt does not produce economic growth or improvements in the purchasing power of the population, and that there is a vicious dynamic between capital flight and foreign debt. At the same time, there is evidence of the increase in external vulnerability since the change in the accumulation model in the 1970s. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc info:ar-repo/semantics/tesisDeMaestria |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
acceptedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/ https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/1/catelen-2020.pdf |
url |
https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/ https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/3471/1/catelen-2020.pdf |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv |
Argentina 1930-2018 |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS) instname:Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales |
reponame_str |
Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS) |
collection |
Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS) |
instname_str |
Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Nülan (UNMDP-FCEyS) - Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
cendocu@mdp.edu.ar |
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1842340816678289408 |
score |
12.623145 |