Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios

Autores
Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.
Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Materia
Climate Change
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Flooding
Future Scenarios
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4453

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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenariosCamilloni, Ines AngelaSaurral, Ramiro IgnacioMontroull, Natalia BlancaClimate ChangeParaná RiverUruguay RiverFloodingFuture Scenarioshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaTaylor & Francis2013-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-3991571-5124enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-15T15:00:42Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4453instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-15 15:00:42.578CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
spellingShingle Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
Camilloni, Ines Angela
Climate Change
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Flooding
Future Scenarios
title_short Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_full Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_fullStr Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_sort Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Camilloni, Ines Angela
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author Camilloni, Ines Angela
author_facet Camilloni, Ines Angela
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author_role author
author2 Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Climate Change
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Flooding
Future Scenarios
topic Climate Change
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Flooding
Future Scenarios
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.
Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
description Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-12
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453
Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-399
1571-5124
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453
identifier_str_mv Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-399
1571-5124
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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