Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
- Autores
- Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca
- Año de publicación
- 2013
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.
Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina - Materia
-
Climate Change
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Flooding
Future Scenarios - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4453
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenariosCamilloni, Ines AngelaSaurral, Ramiro IgnacioMontroull, Natalia BlancaClimate ChangeParaná RiverUruguay RiverFloodingFuture Scenarioshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large.Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaTaylor & Francis2013-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-3991571-5124enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-15T15:00:42Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4453instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-15 15:00:42.578CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
title |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
spellingShingle |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios Camilloni, Ines Angela Climate Change Paraná River Uruguay River Flooding Future Scenarios |
title_short |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
title_full |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
title_fullStr |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
title_sort |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Camilloni, Ines Angela Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca |
author |
Camilloni, Ines Angela |
author_facet |
Camilloni, Ines Angela Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Climate Change Paraná River Uruguay River Flooding Future Scenarios |
topic |
Climate Change Paraná River Uruguay River Flooding Future Scenarios |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. Fil: Camilloni, Ines Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina Fil: Montroull, Natalia Blanca. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina |
description |
Hydrological modeling with climate scenario data is used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay rivers in La Plata Basin for the 21st century. Discharges were simulated with the VIC hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models (RCMs) and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to current conditions temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, it could be expected more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. |
publishDate |
2013 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2013-12 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453 Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-399 1571-5124 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4453 |
identifier_str_mv |
Camilloni, Ines Angela; Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; Montroull, Natalia Blanca; Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios; Taylor & Francis; International Journal of River Basin Management; 11; 4; 12-2013; 389-399 1571-5124 |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Taylor & Francis |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Taylor & Francis |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
collection |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
instname_str |
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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13.22299 |