Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach

Autores
Lambin, E. F.; Gibbs, H. K.; Ferreira, L.; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Mayaux, P.; Meyfroidt, P.; Morton, D. C.; Rudel, T. K.; Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio; Munger, J.
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Previous estimates of the land area available for future cropland expansion relied on global-scale climate, soil and terrain data. They did not include a range of constraints and tradeoffs associated with land conversion. As a result, estimates of the global land reserve have been high. Here we adjust these estimates for the aforementioned constraints and tradeoffs. We define potentially available cropland as the moderately to highly productive land that could be used in the coming years for rainfed farming, with low to moderate capital investments, and that is not under intact mature forests, legally protected, or already intensively managed. This productive land is underutilized rather than unused as it has ecological or social functions. We also define potentially available cropland that accounts for trade-offs between gains in agricultural production and losses in ecosystem and social services from intensified agriculture, to include only the potentially available cropland that would entail low ecological and social costs with conversion to cropland. In contrast to previous studies, we adopt a “bottom-up” approach by analyzing detailed, fine scale observations with expert knowledge for six countries or regions that are often assumed to include most of potentially available cropland. We conclude first that there is substantially less potential additional cropland than is generally assumed once constraints and trade offs are taken into account, and secondly that converting land is always associated with significant social and ecological costs. Future expansion of agricultural production will encounter a complex landscape of competing demands and tradeoffs.
Fil: Lambin, E. F.. Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. University Of Stanford; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gibbs, H. K.. University Of Wisconsin; Estados Unidos
Fil: Ferreira, L.. Universidade Federal de Goias; Brasil
Fil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; Argentina
Fil: Mayaux, P.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Meyfroidt, P. . Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. F.R.S-FNRS; Bélgica
Fil: Morton, D. C.. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Rudel, T. K.. Rutgers University. Departments of Human Ecology and Sociology; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; Argentina
Fil: Munger, J. . University Of Wisconsin; Estados Unidos
Materia
Agro-Ecologycal Zone
Land Reserve
Land Use
Land Change
Agriculture
Food Security
Degraded Land
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/7169
Acceder
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network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approachLambin, E. F.Gibbs, H. K.Ferreira, L.Grau, Hector RicardoMayaux, P.Meyfroidt, P. Morton, D. C.Rudel, T. K.Gasparri, Nestor IgnacioMunger, J. Agro-Ecologycal ZoneLand ReserveLand UseLand ChangeAgricultureFood SecurityDegraded Landhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4Previous estimates of the land area available for future cropland expansion relied on global-scale climate, soil and terrain data. They did not include a range of constraints and tradeoffs associated with land conversion. As a result, estimates of the global land reserve have been high. Here we adjust these estimates for the aforementioned constraints and tradeoffs. We define potentially available cropland as the moderately to highly productive land that could be used in the coming years for rainfed farming, with low to moderate capital investments, and that is not under intact mature forests, legally protected, or already intensively managed. This productive land is underutilized rather than unused as it has ecological or social functions. We also define potentially available cropland that accounts for trade-offs between gains in agricultural production and losses in ecosystem and social services from intensified agriculture, to include only the potentially available cropland that would entail low ecological and social costs with conversion to cropland. In contrast to previous studies, we adopt a “bottom-up” approach by analyzing detailed, fine scale observations with expert knowledge for six countries or regions that are often assumed to include most of potentially available cropland. We conclude first that there is substantially less potential additional cropland than is generally assumed once constraints and trade offs are taken into account, and secondly that converting land is always associated with significant social and ecological costs. Future expansion of agricultural production will encounter a complex landscape of competing demands and tradeoffs.Fil: Lambin, E. F.. Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. University Of Stanford; Estados UnidosFil: Gibbs, H. K.. University Of Wisconsin; Estados UnidosFil: Ferreira, L.. Universidade Federal de Goias; BrasilFil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; ArgentinaFil: Mayaux, P.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; ItaliaFil: Meyfroidt, P. . Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. F.R.S-FNRS; BélgicaFil: Morton, D. C.. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Estados UnidosFil: Rudel, T. K.. Rutgers University. Departments of Human Ecology and Sociology; Estados UnidosFil: Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; ArgentinaFil: Munger, J. . University Of Wisconsin; Estados UnidosElsevier2013-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/7169Lambin, E. F.; Gibbs, H. K.; Ferreira, L.; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Mayaux, P.; et al.; Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach; Elsevier; Global Environmental Change; 23; 5; 10-2013; 892-9010959-3780enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378013000794info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.05.005info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:51:10Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/7169instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:51:11.133CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
title Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
spellingShingle Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
Lambin, E. F.
Agro-Ecologycal Zone
Land Reserve
Land Use
Land Change
Agriculture
Food Security
Degraded Land
title_short Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
title_full Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
title_fullStr Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
title_sort Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Lambin, E. F.
Gibbs, H. K.
Ferreira, L.
Grau, Hector Ricardo
Mayaux, P.
Meyfroidt, P.
Morton, D. C.
Rudel, T. K.
Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio
Munger, J.
author Lambin, E. F.
author_facet Lambin, E. F.
Gibbs, H. K.
Ferreira, L.
Grau, Hector Ricardo
Mayaux, P.
Meyfroidt, P.
Morton, D. C.
Rudel, T. K.
Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio
Munger, J.
author_role author
author2 Gibbs, H. K.
Ferreira, L.
Grau, Hector Ricardo
Mayaux, P.
Meyfroidt, P.
Morton, D. C.
Rudel, T. K.
Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio
Munger, J.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Agro-Ecologycal Zone
Land Reserve
Land Use
Land Change
Agriculture
Food Security
Degraded Land
topic Agro-Ecologycal Zone
Land Reserve
Land Use
Land Change
Agriculture
Food Security
Degraded Land
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Previous estimates of the land area available for future cropland expansion relied on global-scale climate, soil and terrain data. They did not include a range of constraints and tradeoffs associated with land conversion. As a result, estimates of the global land reserve have been high. Here we adjust these estimates for the aforementioned constraints and tradeoffs. We define potentially available cropland as the moderately to highly productive land that could be used in the coming years for rainfed farming, with low to moderate capital investments, and that is not under intact mature forests, legally protected, or already intensively managed. This productive land is underutilized rather than unused as it has ecological or social functions. We also define potentially available cropland that accounts for trade-offs between gains in agricultural production and losses in ecosystem and social services from intensified agriculture, to include only the potentially available cropland that would entail low ecological and social costs with conversion to cropland. In contrast to previous studies, we adopt a “bottom-up” approach by analyzing detailed, fine scale observations with expert knowledge for six countries or regions that are often assumed to include most of potentially available cropland. We conclude first that there is substantially less potential additional cropland than is generally assumed once constraints and trade offs are taken into account, and secondly that converting land is always associated with significant social and ecological costs. Future expansion of agricultural production will encounter a complex landscape of competing demands and tradeoffs.
Fil: Lambin, E. F.. Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. University Of Stanford; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gibbs, H. K.. University Of Wisconsin; Estados Unidos
Fil: Ferreira, L.. Universidade Federal de Goias; Brasil
Fil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; Argentina
Fil: Mayaux, P.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
Fil: Meyfroidt, P. . Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute. Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research; Bélgica. F.R.S-FNRS; Bélgica
Fil: Morton, D. C.. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Rudel, T. K.. Rutgers University. Departments of Human Ecology and Sociology; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gasparri, Nestor Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán; Argentina
Fil: Munger, J. . University Of Wisconsin; Estados Unidos
description Previous estimates of the land area available for future cropland expansion relied on global-scale climate, soil and terrain data. They did not include a range of constraints and tradeoffs associated with land conversion. As a result, estimates of the global land reserve have been high. Here we adjust these estimates for the aforementioned constraints and tradeoffs. We define potentially available cropland as the moderately to highly productive land that could be used in the coming years for rainfed farming, with low to moderate capital investments, and that is not under intact mature forests, legally protected, or already intensively managed. This productive land is underutilized rather than unused as it has ecological or social functions. We also define potentially available cropland that accounts for trade-offs between gains in agricultural production and losses in ecosystem and social services from intensified agriculture, to include only the potentially available cropland that would entail low ecological and social costs with conversion to cropland. In contrast to previous studies, we adopt a “bottom-up” approach by analyzing detailed, fine scale observations with expert knowledge for six countries or regions that are often assumed to include most of potentially available cropland. We conclude first that there is substantially less potential additional cropland than is generally assumed once constraints and trade offs are taken into account, and secondly that converting land is always associated with significant social and ecological costs. Future expansion of agricultural production will encounter a complex landscape of competing demands and tradeoffs.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/7169
Lambin, E. F.; Gibbs, H. K.; Ferreira, L.; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Mayaux, P.; et al.; Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach; Elsevier; Global Environmental Change; 23; 5; 10-2013; 892-901
0959-3780
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/7169
identifier_str_mv Lambin, E. F.; Gibbs, H. K.; Ferreira, L.; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Mayaux, P.; et al.; Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach; Elsevier; Global Environmental Change; 23; 5; 10-2013; 892-901
0959-3780
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378013000794
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.05.005
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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