Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis

Autores
Bergero, Paula Elena; Fabricius, Gabriel; Hozbor, Daniela Flavia; Theeten, Heidi; Hens, Niel
Año de publicación
2018
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Background: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable respiratory disease that may cause death mainly in infants. The schedules for primary pertussis vaccination are set in each country by the local health authorities. Several different schedules meet World Health Organization recommendations, 2–4–6 months, 6–10–14 weeks, 2–3–4 months and 3–4–5 months being the most commonly used worldwide. In this work, we analyze the benefits of changing the vaccination schedule to control the disease. Methods: We used an age-structured deterministic mathematical model for pertussis transmission to compute the incidences for the 4 above-mentioned schedules. Different vaccination coverages and vaccine effectiveness levels were considered. Immunization data from Argentina and Belgium were used. Results: The highest reduction in incidence was obtained by adopting the 6–10–14 weeks schedule, reaching about a 36% reduction of 0–1-year incidence with respect to the 2–4–6 months schedule. We show the dependence of this reduction on both vaccine effectiveness and coverage. The severe pertussis incidence decreased significantly when the first dose of the 2–4–6 months schedule was accelerated to 6 weeks. Finally, we estimated that the communication campaign adopted in Flanders (Belgium) to improve compliance with the vaccine schedule could lead to a reduction of 16% in severe pertussis incidence and about 7% in total incidence in infants. Conclusions: Our work highlights the use of mathematical modeling to quantify the benefits of the existing vaccination schedules and the strategies that could be implemented to improve their compliance. Our results indicated that the 6–10–14 weeks is the best schedule option and that the Belgium vaccination campaign significantly reduced the incidence of severe cases.
Fil: Bergero, Paula Elena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; Argentina
Fil: Fabricius, Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; Argentina
Fil: Hozbor, Daniela Flavia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular; Argentina
Fil: Theeten, Heidi. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica
Fil: Hens, Niel. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica. Hasselt University; Bélgica
Materia
Pertussis
Schedules
Mathematical Model
Epidemiology
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/47928

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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for PertussisBergero, Paula ElenaFabricius, GabrielHozbor, Daniela FlaviaTheeten, HeidiHens, NielPertussisSchedulesMathematical ModelEpidemiologyhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Background: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable respiratory disease that may cause death mainly in infants. The schedules for primary pertussis vaccination are set in each country by the local health authorities. Several different schedules meet World Health Organization recommendations, 2–4–6 months, 6–10–14 weeks, 2–3–4 months and 3–4–5 months being the most commonly used worldwide. In this work, we analyze the benefits of changing the vaccination schedule to control the disease. Methods: We used an age-structured deterministic mathematical model for pertussis transmission to compute the incidences for the 4 above-mentioned schedules. Different vaccination coverages and vaccine effectiveness levels were considered. Immunization data from Argentina and Belgium were used. Results: The highest reduction in incidence was obtained by adopting the 6–10–14 weeks schedule, reaching about a 36% reduction of 0–1-year incidence with respect to the 2–4–6 months schedule. We show the dependence of this reduction on both vaccine effectiveness and coverage. The severe pertussis incidence decreased significantly when the first dose of the 2–4–6 months schedule was accelerated to 6 weeks. Finally, we estimated that the communication campaign adopted in Flanders (Belgium) to improve compliance with the vaccine schedule could lead to a reduction of 16% in severe pertussis incidence and about 7% in total incidence in infants. Conclusions: Our work highlights the use of mathematical modeling to quantify the benefits of the existing vaccination schedules and the strategies that could be implemented to improve their compliance. Our results indicated that the 6–10–14 weeks is the best schedule option and that the Belgium vaccination campaign significantly reduced the incidence of severe cases.Fil: Bergero, Paula Elena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; ArgentinaFil: Fabricius, Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; ArgentinaFil: Hozbor, Daniela Flavia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular; ArgentinaFil: Theeten, Heidi. Universiteit Antwerp; BélgicaFil: Hens, Niel. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica. Hasselt University; BélgicaLippincott Williams2018-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/47928Bergero, Paula Elena; Fabricius, Gabriel; Hozbor, Daniela Flavia; Theeten, Heidi; Hens, Niel; Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis; Lippincott Williams; Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal; 37; 2; 2-2018; e36-e420891-3668CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1097/INF.0000000000001752info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://insights.ovid.com/crossref?an=00006454-201802000-00018info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:46:30Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/47928instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:46:30.505CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
title Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
spellingShingle Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
Bergero, Paula Elena
Pertussis
Schedules
Mathematical Model
Epidemiology
title_short Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
title_full Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
title_fullStr Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
title_full_unstemmed Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
title_sort Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Bergero, Paula Elena
Fabricius, Gabriel
Hozbor, Daniela Flavia
Theeten, Heidi
Hens, Niel
author Bergero, Paula Elena
author_facet Bergero, Paula Elena
Fabricius, Gabriel
Hozbor, Daniela Flavia
Theeten, Heidi
Hens, Niel
author_role author
author2 Fabricius, Gabriel
Hozbor, Daniela Flavia
Theeten, Heidi
Hens, Niel
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Pertussis
Schedules
Mathematical Model
Epidemiology
topic Pertussis
Schedules
Mathematical Model
Epidemiology
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Background: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable respiratory disease that may cause death mainly in infants. The schedules for primary pertussis vaccination are set in each country by the local health authorities. Several different schedules meet World Health Organization recommendations, 2–4–6 months, 6–10–14 weeks, 2–3–4 months and 3–4–5 months being the most commonly used worldwide. In this work, we analyze the benefits of changing the vaccination schedule to control the disease. Methods: We used an age-structured deterministic mathematical model for pertussis transmission to compute the incidences for the 4 above-mentioned schedules. Different vaccination coverages and vaccine effectiveness levels were considered. Immunization data from Argentina and Belgium were used. Results: The highest reduction in incidence was obtained by adopting the 6–10–14 weeks schedule, reaching about a 36% reduction of 0–1-year incidence with respect to the 2–4–6 months schedule. We show the dependence of this reduction on both vaccine effectiveness and coverage. The severe pertussis incidence decreased significantly when the first dose of the 2–4–6 months schedule was accelerated to 6 weeks. Finally, we estimated that the communication campaign adopted in Flanders (Belgium) to improve compliance with the vaccine schedule could lead to a reduction of 16% in severe pertussis incidence and about 7% in total incidence in infants. Conclusions: Our work highlights the use of mathematical modeling to quantify the benefits of the existing vaccination schedules and the strategies that could be implemented to improve their compliance. Our results indicated that the 6–10–14 weeks is the best schedule option and that the Belgium vaccination campaign significantly reduced the incidence of severe cases.
Fil: Bergero, Paula Elena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; Argentina
Fil: Fabricius, Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisicoquímicas Teóricas y Aplicadas; Argentina
Fil: Hozbor, Daniela Flavia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto de Biotecnología y Biología Molecular; Argentina
Fil: Theeten, Heidi. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica
Fil: Hens, Niel. Universiteit Antwerp; Bélgica. Hasselt University; Bélgica
description Background: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable respiratory disease that may cause death mainly in infants. The schedules for primary pertussis vaccination are set in each country by the local health authorities. Several different schedules meet World Health Organization recommendations, 2–4–6 months, 6–10–14 weeks, 2–3–4 months and 3–4–5 months being the most commonly used worldwide. In this work, we analyze the benefits of changing the vaccination schedule to control the disease. Methods: We used an age-structured deterministic mathematical model for pertussis transmission to compute the incidences for the 4 above-mentioned schedules. Different vaccination coverages and vaccine effectiveness levels were considered. Immunization data from Argentina and Belgium were used. Results: The highest reduction in incidence was obtained by adopting the 6–10–14 weeks schedule, reaching about a 36% reduction of 0–1-year incidence with respect to the 2–4–6 months schedule. We show the dependence of this reduction on both vaccine effectiveness and coverage. The severe pertussis incidence decreased significantly when the first dose of the 2–4–6 months schedule was accelerated to 6 weeks. Finally, we estimated that the communication campaign adopted in Flanders (Belgium) to improve compliance with the vaccine schedule could lead to a reduction of 16% in severe pertussis incidence and about 7% in total incidence in infants. Conclusions: Our work highlights the use of mathematical modeling to quantify the benefits of the existing vaccination schedules and the strategies that could be implemented to improve their compliance. Our results indicated that the 6–10–14 weeks is the best schedule option and that the Belgium vaccination campaign significantly reduced the incidence of severe cases.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2018-02
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/47928
Bergero, Paula Elena; Fabricius, Gabriel; Hozbor, Daniela Flavia; Theeten, Heidi; Hens, Niel; Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis; Lippincott Williams; Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal; 37; 2; 2-2018; e36-e42
0891-3668
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/47928
identifier_str_mv Bergero, Paula Elena; Fabricius, Gabriel; Hozbor, Daniela Flavia; Theeten, Heidi; Hens, Niel; Potential Impact of Changes in the Schedule for Primary Diphtheria-Tetanus Toxoids-Pertussis Immunization as Control Strategy for Pertussis; Lippincott Williams; Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal; 37; 2; 2-2018; e36-e42
0891-3668
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1097/INF.0000000000001752
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://insights.ovid.com/crossref?an=00006454-201802000-00018
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Lippincott Williams
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Lippincott Williams
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
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instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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