An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation
- Autores
- Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio; Medici, Florencia
- Año de publicación
- 2024
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- This article interprets Argentina’s recent inflation process following the Classical-Structuralist approach. In this theoretical framework, the price dynamic is understood as the result of conflict between wage increases and devaluations in a price-taker economy open to trade and financial flows. We argue that inflationary processes in Argentina during the new century, especially in the last decade, can be explained by devaluations triggered by dynamics linked to the external sector, resulting from financial deregulation processes and inflows of external liabilities. In this scenario, conflict inflation manifests through a persistent exchange rate-wage spiral. Thus, national currency devaluations raise profit margins and price levels in a society with strong labor unions, which react by claiming wage increases. High inflation regimes lead to changes in income distribution that are incompatible with habits, history, and labor institutions, resulting in intense distributive conflict under “pendulum” governments that reflect a situation of political stalemate. Moreover, the State’s capability to implement anti-inflationary policies based on an exchange rate anchor depends on the amount of the monetary authority’s foreign currency reserves. The ability to intervene in the foreign exchange market aims to deal with conflicting social groups and external pressures pushing to generate devaluation.
Fil: Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Moreno. Departamento de Economia y Administracion. Centro de Estudios de Economia Politica y Desarrollo.; Argentina
Fil: Medici, Florencia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Río Negro. Sede Andina. Centro de Estudios en Ciencia, Tecnología, Cultura y Desarrollo; Argentina - Materia
-
ARGENTINA
DISTRIBUTIVE CONFLICT
EXCHANGE RATE
POLITICAL STALEMATE - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/240400
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An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current SituationÁlvarez, Ramiro EugenioMedici, FlorenciaARGENTINADISTRIBUTIVE CONFLICTEXCHANGE RATEPOLITICAL STALEMATEhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.2https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5This article interprets Argentina’s recent inflation process following the Classical-Structuralist approach. In this theoretical framework, the price dynamic is understood as the result of conflict between wage increases and devaluations in a price-taker economy open to trade and financial flows. We argue that inflationary processes in Argentina during the new century, especially in the last decade, can be explained by devaluations triggered by dynamics linked to the external sector, resulting from financial deregulation processes and inflows of external liabilities. In this scenario, conflict inflation manifests through a persistent exchange rate-wage spiral. Thus, national currency devaluations raise profit margins and price levels in a society with strong labor unions, which react by claiming wage increases. High inflation regimes lead to changes in income distribution that are incompatible with habits, history, and labor institutions, resulting in intense distributive conflict under “pendulum” governments that reflect a situation of political stalemate. Moreover, the State’s capability to implement anti-inflationary policies based on an exchange rate anchor depends on the amount of the monetary authority’s foreign currency reserves. The ability to intervene in the foreign exchange market aims to deal with conflicting social groups and external pressures pushing to generate devaluation.Fil: Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Moreno. Departamento de Economia y Administracion. Centro de Estudios de Economia Politica y Desarrollo.; ArgentinaFil: Medici, Florencia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Río Negro. Sede Andina. Centro de Estudios en Ciencia, Tecnología, Cultura y Desarrollo; ArgentinaIstituto di Economia Internazionale2024-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/240400Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio; Medici, Florencia; An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation; Istituto di Economia Internazionale; Economia Internazionale; 77; 1-2024; 117-1502499-8265CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.iei1946.it/article/1093/an-alternative-view-on-inflation-in-argentina-in-the-millennium-the-challenges-of-the-current-situationinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:41:10Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/240400instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:41:10.774CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
title |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
spellingShingle |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio ARGENTINA DISTRIBUTIVE CONFLICT EXCHANGE RATE POLITICAL STALEMATE |
title_short |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
title_full |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
title_fullStr |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
title_full_unstemmed |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
title_sort |
An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio Medici, Florencia |
author |
Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio |
author_facet |
Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio Medici, Florencia |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Medici, Florencia |
author2_role |
author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
ARGENTINA DISTRIBUTIVE CONFLICT EXCHANGE RATE POLITICAL STALEMATE |
topic |
ARGENTINA DISTRIBUTIVE CONFLICT EXCHANGE RATE POLITICAL STALEMATE |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.2 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
This article interprets Argentina’s recent inflation process following the Classical-Structuralist approach. In this theoretical framework, the price dynamic is understood as the result of conflict between wage increases and devaluations in a price-taker economy open to trade and financial flows. We argue that inflationary processes in Argentina during the new century, especially in the last decade, can be explained by devaluations triggered by dynamics linked to the external sector, resulting from financial deregulation processes and inflows of external liabilities. In this scenario, conflict inflation manifests through a persistent exchange rate-wage spiral. Thus, national currency devaluations raise profit margins and price levels in a society with strong labor unions, which react by claiming wage increases. High inflation regimes lead to changes in income distribution that are incompatible with habits, history, and labor institutions, resulting in intense distributive conflict under “pendulum” governments that reflect a situation of political stalemate. Moreover, the State’s capability to implement anti-inflationary policies based on an exchange rate anchor depends on the amount of the monetary authority’s foreign currency reserves. The ability to intervene in the foreign exchange market aims to deal with conflicting social groups and external pressures pushing to generate devaluation. Fil: Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Moreno. Departamento de Economia y Administracion. Centro de Estudios de Economia Politica y Desarrollo.; Argentina Fil: Medici, Florencia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Río Negro. Sede Andina. Centro de Estudios en Ciencia, Tecnología, Cultura y Desarrollo; Argentina |
description |
This article interprets Argentina’s recent inflation process following the Classical-Structuralist approach. In this theoretical framework, the price dynamic is understood as the result of conflict between wage increases and devaluations in a price-taker economy open to trade and financial flows. We argue that inflationary processes in Argentina during the new century, especially in the last decade, can be explained by devaluations triggered by dynamics linked to the external sector, resulting from financial deregulation processes and inflows of external liabilities. In this scenario, conflict inflation manifests through a persistent exchange rate-wage spiral. Thus, national currency devaluations raise profit margins and price levels in a society with strong labor unions, which react by claiming wage increases. High inflation regimes lead to changes in income distribution that are incompatible with habits, history, and labor institutions, resulting in intense distributive conflict under “pendulum” governments that reflect a situation of political stalemate. Moreover, the State’s capability to implement anti-inflationary policies based on an exchange rate anchor depends on the amount of the monetary authority’s foreign currency reserves. The ability to intervene in the foreign exchange market aims to deal with conflicting social groups and external pressures pushing to generate devaluation. |
publishDate |
2024 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024-01 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/240400 Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio; Medici, Florencia; An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation; Istituto di Economia Internazionale; Economia Internazionale; 77; 1-2024; 117-150 2499-8265 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/240400 |
identifier_str_mv |
Álvarez, Ramiro Eugenio; Medici, Florencia; An Alternative View on Inflation in Argentina in the New Millennium: The Challenges of the Current Situation; Istituto di Economia Internazionale; Economia Internazionale; 77; 1-2024; 117-150 2499-8265 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.iei1946.it/article/1093/an-alternative-view-on-inflation-in-argentina-in-the-millennium-the-challenges-of-the-current-situation |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Istituto di Economia Internazionale |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Istituto di Economia Internazionale |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
collection |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
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Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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