Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe

Autores
Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, Jonathan; Vogt, Jürgen V.; Barbosa, Paulo
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Drought is a natural hazard triggered by a lack of precipitation that can last for several months or years. Droughts can affect a wide range of socio-economic sectors while the related direct and indirect impacts are often difficult to quantify. In this context, drought damage refers to the total or partial destruction of physical assets in the affected area. The main constraint in constructing a robust relationship between the severity of drought events and related damages is the lack of sufficient quantitative impact data. In this paper we propose the use of power-law damage functions to assess the relationship between drought severity and related damages in two economic sectors, namely cereal crop production and hydropower generation, across 21 European countries. The different shapes of the resulting damage functions can be explained by the specific drought vulnerability or adaptive capacity of each sector and country. Due to the scarcity of impact data linked to extreme climate events a bootstrap resampling was performed to assess the potential uncertainties associated with the sample size. This approach helps communicating potential drought impacts and related uncertainties to end users and policy makers in support to the development of drought management plans and long-term adaptation measures.
Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Spinoni, Jonathan. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
Fil: Vogt, Jürgen V.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
Fil: Barbosa, Paulo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
Materia
CEREAL PRODUCTION
DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
DROUGHT
HYDROPOWER
IMPACTS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/59605
Acceder
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repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in EuropeNaumann, GustavoSpinoni, JonathanVogt, Jürgen V.Barbosa, PauloCEREAL PRODUCTIONDAMAGE FUNCTIONSDROUGHTHYDROPOWERIMPACTShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Drought is a natural hazard triggered by a lack of precipitation that can last for several months or years. Droughts can affect a wide range of socio-economic sectors while the related direct and indirect impacts are often difficult to quantify. In this context, drought damage refers to the total or partial destruction of physical assets in the affected area. The main constraint in constructing a robust relationship between the severity of drought events and related damages is the lack of sufficient quantitative impact data. In this paper we propose the use of power-law damage functions to assess the relationship between drought severity and related damages in two economic sectors, namely cereal crop production and hydropower generation, across 21 European countries. The different shapes of the resulting damage functions can be explained by the specific drought vulnerability or adaptive capacity of each sector and country. Due to the scarcity of impact data linked to extreme climate events a bootstrap resampling was performed to assess the potential uncertainties associated with the sample size. This approach helps communicating potential drought impacts and related uncertainties to end users and policy makers in support to the development of drought management plans and long-term adaptation measures.Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Spinoni, Jonathan. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; ItaliaFil: Vogt, Jürgen V.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; ItaliaFil: Barbosa, Paulo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; ItaliaIOP Publishing2015-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/59605Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, Jonathan; Vogt, Jürgen V.; Barbosa, Paulo; Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 10; 12; 12-2015; 1-14; 1240131748-9326CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124013info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124013/metainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-15T15:42:48Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/59605instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-15 15:42:49.261CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
title Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
spellingShingle Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
Naumann, Gustavo
CEREAL PRODUCTION
DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
DROUGHT
HYDROPOWER
IMPACTS
title_short Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
title_full Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
title_fullStr Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
title_sort Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Naumann, Gustavo
Spinoni, Jonathan
Vogt, Jürgen V.
Barbosa, Paulo
author Naumann, Gustavo
author_facet Naumann, Gustavo
Spinoni, Jonathan
Vogt, Jürgen V.
Barbosa, Paulo
author_role author
author2 Spinoni, Jonathan
Vogt, Jürgen V.
Barbosa, Paulo
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv CEREAL PRODUCTION
DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
DROUGHT
HYDROPOWER
IMPACTS
topic CEREAL PRODUCTION
DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
DROUGHT
HYDROPOWER
IMPACTS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Drought is a natural hazard triggered by a lack of precipitation that can last for several months or years. Droughts can affect a wide range of socio-economic sectors while the related direct and indirect impacts are often difficult to quantify. In this context, drought damage refers to the total or partial destruction of physical assets in the affected area. The main constraint in constructing a robust relationship between the severity of drought events and related damages is the lack of sufficient quantitative impact data. In this paper we propose the use of power-law damage functions to assess the relationship between drought severity and related damages in two economic sectors, namely cereal crop production and hydropower generation, across 21 European countries. The different shapes of the resulting damage functions can be explained by the specific drought vulnerability or adaptive capacity of each sector and country. Due to the scarcity of impact data linked to extreme climate events a bootstrap resampling was performed to assess the potential uncertainties associated with the sample size. This approach helps communicating potential drought impacts and related uncertainties to end users and policy makers in support to the development of drought management plans and long-term adaptation measures.
Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Spinoni, Jonathan. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
Fil: Vogt, Jürgen V.. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
Fil: Barbosa, Paulo. European Commission. Joint Research Centre ; Italia
description Drought is a natural hazard triggered by a lack of precipitation that can last for several months or years. Droughts can affect a wide range of socio-economic sectors while the related direct and indirect impacts are often difficult to quantify. In this context, drought damage refers to the total or partial destruction of physical assets in the affected area. The main constraint in constructing a robust relationship between the severity of drought events and related damages is the lack of sufficient quantitative impact data. In this paper we propose the use of power-law damage functions to assess the relationship between drought severity and related damages in two economic sectors, namely cereal crop production and hydropower generation, across 21 European countries. The different shapes of the resulting damage functions can be explained by the specific drought vulnerability or adaptive capacity of each sector and country. Due to the scarcity of impact data linked to extreme climate events a bootstrap resampling was performed to assess the potential uncertainties associated with the sample size. This approach helps communicating potential drought impacts and related uncertainties to end users and policy makers in support to the development of drought management plans and long-term adaptation measures.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-12
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/59605
Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, Jonathan; Vogt, Jürgen V.; Barbosa, Paulo; Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 10; 12; 12-2015; 1-14; 124013
1748-9326
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/59605
identifier_str_mv Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, Jonathan; Vogt, Jürgen V.; Barbosa, Paulo; Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe; IOP Publishing; Environmental Research Letters; 10; 12; 12-2015; 1-14; 124013
1748-9326
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124013
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124013/meta
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv IOP Publishing
publisher.none.fl_str_mv IOP Publishing
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.22299

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