Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna

Autores
Cuyckens, Griet An Erica; Morales, Miriam Mariana; Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio
Año de publicación
2014
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Climate change and habitat fragmentation are considered key pressures on biodiversity, and mammalian carnivores with a limited geographical distribution are particularly vulnerable. The kodkod Leopardus guigna, a small felid endemic to the temperate forests of southern Chile and Argentina, has the smallest geographical range of any New World felid. Although the species occurs in protected areas in both countries, it is not known how well these areas protect the kodkod either currently or under climate change scenarios. We used species distribution models and spatial analyses to assess the distribution of the kodkod, examining the effects of changes in human land use and future climate change. We also assessed the species’ present representation in protected areas and in light of climate change scenarios. We found that the kodkod has already lost 5.5% of its range as a result of human land use, particularly in central areas of its distribution with intermediate habitat suitability. Climate change, together with human land use, will affect 40% of the kodkod's present potential distribution by the year 2050. Currently, 12.5% of the species’ potential distribution lies in protected areas and this will increase to 14% in the future. This increase does not, however, mean an increase in protected habitat but rather a reduction of the species' total potential range; a relatively larger percentage will be protected in Argentina than in Chile but the species is more susceptible to extinction in Argentina and the Chilean Matorral.
Fil: Cuyckens, Griet An Erica. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Morales, Miriam Mariana. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas; Argentina
Materia
Maxent
Species Distribution Modelling
Worldclim
Protected Areas
Temperate Forests
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/36394
Acceder
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guignaCuyckens, Griet An EricaMorales, Miriam MarianaTognelli, Marcelo FabioMaxentSpecies Distribution ModellingWorldclimProtected AreasTemperate Forestshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Climate change and habitat fragmentation are considered key pressures on biodiversity, and mammalian carnivores with a limited geographical distribution are particularly vulnerable. The kodkod Leopardus guigna, a small felid endemic to the temperate forests of southern Chile and Argentina, has the smallest geographical range of any New World felid. Although the species occurs in protected areas in both countries, it is not known how well these areas protect the kodkod either currently or under climate change scenarios. We used species distribution models and spatial analyses to assess the distribution of the kodkod, examining the effects of changes in human land use and future climate change. We also assessed the species’ present representation in protected areas and in light of climate change scenarios. We found that the kodkod has already lost 5.5% of its range as a result of human land use, particularly in central areas of its distribution with intermediate habitat suitability. Climate change, together with human land use, will affect 40% of the kodkod's present potential distribution by the year 2050. Currently, 12.5% of the species’ potential distribution lies in protected areas and this will increase to 14% in the future. This increase does not, however, mean an increase in protected habitat but rather a reduction of the species' total potential range; a relatively larger percentage will be protected in Argentina than in Chile but the species is more susceptible to extinction in Argentina and the Chilean Matorral.Fil: Cuyckens, Griet An Erica. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Morales, Miriam Mariana. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas; ArgentinaCambridge University Press2014-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/36394Cuyckens, Griet An Erica; Morales, Miriam Mariana; Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio; Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna; Cambridge University Press; Oryx; 49; 4; 10-2014; 611-6180030-6053CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1017/S003060531300135Xinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/oryx/article/assessing-the-distribution-of-a-vulnerable-felid-species-threats-from-human-land-use-and-climate-change-to-the-kodkod-leopardus-guigna/F2A6A472857233B037D9CC834C3B8299info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:28:56Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/36394instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:28:56.972CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
title Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
spellingShingle Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
Cuyckens, Griet An Erica
Maxent
Species Distribution Modelling
Worldclim
Protected Areas
Temperate Forests
title_short Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
title_full Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
title_fullStr Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
title_sort Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Cuyckens, Griet An Erica
Morales, Miriam Mariana
Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio
author Cuyckens, Griet An Erica
author_facet Cuyckens, Griet An Erica
Morales, Miriam Mariana
Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio
author_role author
author2 Morales, Miriam Mariana
Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Maxent
Species Distribution Modelling
Worldclim
Protected Areas
Temperate Forests
topic Maxent
Species Distribution Modelling
Worldclim
Protected Areas
Temperate Forests
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Climate change and habitat fragmentation are considered key pressures on biodiversity, and mammalian carnivores with a limited geographical distribution are particularly vulnerable. The kodkod Leopardus guigna, a small felid endemic to the temperate forests of southern Chile and Argentina, has the smallest geographical range of any New World felid. Although the species occurs in protected areas in both countries, it is not known how well these areas protect the kodkod either currently or under climate change scenarios. We used species distribution models and spatial analyses to assess the distribution of the kodkod, examining the effects of changes in human land use and future climate change. We also assessed the species’ present representation in protected areas and in light of climate change scenarios. We found that the kodkod has already lost 5.5% of its range as a result of human land use, particularly in central areas of its distribution with intermediate habitat suitability. Climate change, together with human land use, will affect 40% of the kodkod's present potential distribution by the year 2050. Currently, 12.5% of the species’ potential distribution lies in protected areas and this will increase to 14% in the future. This increase does not, however, mean an increase in protected habitat but rather a reduction of the species' total potential range; a relatively larger percentage will be protected in Argentina than in Chile but the species is more susceptible to extinction in Argentina and the Chilean Matorral.
Fil: Cuyckens, Griet An Erica. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Morales, Miriam Mariana. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Áridas; Argentina
description Climate change and habitat fragmentation are considered key pressures on biodiversity, and mammalian carnivores with a limited geographical distribution are particularly vulnerable. The kodkod Leopardus guigna, a small felid endemic to the temperate forests of southern Chile and Argentina, has the smallest geographical range of any New World felid. Although the species occurs in protected areas in both countries, it is not known how well these areas protect the kodkod either currently or under climate change scenarios. We used species distribution models and spatial analyses to assess the distribution of the kodkod, examining the effects of changes in human land use and future climate change. We also assessed the species’ present representation in protected areas and in light of climate change scenarios. We found that the kodkod has already lost 5.5% of its range as a result of human land use, particularly in central areas of its distribution with intermediate habitat suitability. Climate change, together with human land use, will affect 40% of the kodkod's present potential distribution by the year 2050. Currently, 12.5% of the species’ potential distribution lies in protected areas and this will increase to 14% in the future. This increase does not, however, mean an increase in protected habitat but rather a reduction of the species' total potential range; a relatively larger percentage will be protected in Argentina than in Chile but the species is more susceptible to extinction in Argentina and the Chilean Matorral.
publishDate 2014
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2014-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/36394
Cuyckens, Griet An Erica; Morales, Miriam Mariana; Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio; Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna; Cambridge University Press; Oryx; 49; 4; 10-2014; 611-618
0030-6053
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/36394
identifier_str_mv Cuyckens, Griet An Erica; Morales, Miriam Mariana; Tognelli, Marcelo Fabio; Assessing the distribution of a Vulnerable felid species: threats from human land use and climate change to the kodkod Leopardus guigna; Cambridge University Press; Oryx; 49; 4; 10-2014; 611-618
0030-6053
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1017/S003060531300135X
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/oryx/article/assessing-the-distribution-of-a-vulnerable-felid-species-threats-from-human-land-use-and-climate-change-to-the-kodkod-leopardus-guigna/F2A6A472857233B037D9CC834C3B8299
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Cambridge University Press
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Cambridge University Press
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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