Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century

Autores
Tosi, L.; Kruse, Eduardo Emilio; Braga, F.; Carol, Eleonora Silvina; Carretero, Silvina Claudia; Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo; Rizzetto, F.; Teatini, P.
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
We report on the hydrologic and morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay, Argentina, which is expected at the end of the 21st century as a consequence of possible scenarios of relative sea level rise (RSLR). The geomorphological analysis of the Samborombón coastland points out only minor changes occurred over the last 40 yr. The modifications are mainly related to the construction of canals to enhance the floodplain drainage. A digital elevation model (DEM) obtained by the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data archive, ad hoc calibrated/validated for the study area, highlights that about 3000 km2 of coastal plain present a morphological setting at high risk of sea flooding. The analysis of sea level and storm surge events recorded from 1905 to 2010 in Buenos Aires provides the RSLR rate and the return period of extreme floods. In addition, vertical land movements (VLM) measured by the permanent GPS stations of Buenos Aires and La Plata allow for the quantification of the eustatic component of the RSLR and estimating a plausible RSLR rate in the Samborombón Bay. Taking into account possible RSLR scenarios at the end of 2100 as resulting from the statistical analysis of (i) tide gauge and GPS time series and (ii) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions, the potential effect of the increased sea level on the Samborombón coastland is simulated. The results show that the combined rise of sea levels, surficial waters and groundwater will lead to a new morpho-hydrologic setting of the coastal area, especially in the low-lying southern sector. Here, a coastline retreat up to 40 km is expected, with temporary submersion up to 4000 km2 during storm surges.
Fil: Tosi, L.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Kruse, Eduardo Emilio. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Braga, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Carol, Eleonora Silvina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Carretero, Silvina Claudia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Rizzetto, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Teatini, P.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia. Universita Di Padova; Italia
Materia
HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGY
SEA LEVEL RISE
COASTAL HAZARD
BAHIA DE SAMBOROMBON
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/13637
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/13637
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st centuryTosi, L.Kruse, Eduardo EmilioBraga, F.Carol, Eleonora SilvinaCarretero, Silvina ClaudiaPousa, Jorge LorenzoRizzetto, F.Teatini, P.HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGYSEA LEVEL RISECOASTAL HAZARDBAHIA DE SAMBOROMBONhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1We report on the hydrologic and morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay, Argentina, which is expected at the end of the 21st century as a consequence of possible scenarios of relative sea level rise (RSLR). The geomorphological analysis of the Samborombón coastland points out only minor changes occurred over the last 40 yr. The modifications are mainly related to the construction of canals to enhance the floodplain drainage. A digital elevation model (DEM) obtained by the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data archive, ad hoc calibrated/validated for the study area, highlights that about 3000 km2 of coastal plain present a morphological setting at high risk of sea flooding. The analysis of sea level and storm surge events recorded from 1905 to 2010 in Buenos Aires provides the RSLR rate and the return period of extreme floods. In addition, vertical land movements (VLM) measured by the permanent GPS stations of Buenos Aires and La Plata allow for the quantification of the eustatic component of the RSLR and estimating a plausible RSLR rate in the Samborombón Bay. Taking into account possible RSLR scenarios at the end of 2100 as resulting from the statistical analysis of (i) tide gauge and GPS time series and (ii) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions, the potential effect of the increased sea level on the Samborombón coastland is simulated. The results show that the combined rise of sea levels, surficial waters and groundwater will lead to a new morpho-hydrologic setting of the coastal area, especially in the low-lying southern sector. Here, a coastline retreat up to 40 km is expected, with temporary submersion up to 4000 km2 during storm surges.Fil: Tosi, L.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; ItaliaFil: Kruse, Eduardo Emilio. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Braga, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; ItaliaFil: Carol, Eleonora Silvina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Carretero, Silvina Claudia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Rizzetto, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; ItaliaFil: Teatini, P.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia. Universita Di Padova; ItaliaCopernicus Publications2013info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/13637Tosi, L.; Kruse, Eduardo Emilio; Braga, F.; Carol, Eleonora Silvina; Carretero, Silvina Claudia; et al.; Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century; Copernicus Publications; Natural Hazards And Earth System Sciences; 13; 3; -1-2013; 523-5341561-86331684-9981enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/nhess-13-523-2013info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/523/2013/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-03T09:59:45Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/13637instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-03 09:59:46.029CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
title Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
spellingShingle Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
Tosi, L.
HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGY
SEA LEVEL RISE
COASTAL HAZARD
BAHIA DE SAMBOROMBON
title_short Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
title_full Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
title_fullStr Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
title_full_unstemmed Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
title_sort Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Tosi, L.
Kruse, Eduardo Emilio
Braga, F.
Carol, Eleonora Silvina
Carretero, Silvina Claudia
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
Rizzetto, F.
Teatini, P.
author Tosi, L.
author_facet Tosi, L.
Kruse, Eduardo Emilio
Braga, F.
Carol, Eleonora Silvina
Carretero, Silvina Claudia
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
Rizzetto, F.
Teatini, P.
author_role author
author2 Kruse, Eduardo Emilio
Braga, F.
Carol, Eleonora Silvina
Carretero, Silvina Claudia
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
Rizzetto, F.
Teatini, P.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGY
SEA LEVEL RISE
COASTAL HAZARD
BAHIA DE SAMBOROMBON
topic HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGY
SEA LEVEL RISE
COASTAL HAZARD
BAHIA DE SAMBOROMBON
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv We report on the hydrologic and morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay, Argentina, which is expected at the end of the 21st century as a consequence of possible scenarios of relative sea level rise (RSLR). The geomorphological analysis of the Samborombón coastland points out only minor changes occurred over the last 40 yr. The modifications are mainly related to the construction of canals to enhance the floodplain drainage. A digital elevation model (DEM) obtained by the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data archive, ad hoc calibrated/validated for the study area, highlights that about 3000 km2 of coastal plain present a morphological setting at high risk of sea flooding. The analysis of sea level and storm surge events recorded from 1905 to 2010 in Buenos Aires provides the RSLR rate and the return period of extreme floods. In addition, vertical land movements (VLM) measured by the permanent GPS stations of Buenos Aires and La Plata allow for the quantification of the eustatic component of the RSLR and estimating a plausible RSLR rate in the Samborombón Bay. Taking into account possible RSLR scenarios at the end of 2100 as resulting from the statistical analysis of (i) tide gauge and GPS time series and (ii) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions, the potential effect of the increased sea level on the Samborombón coastland is simulated. The results show that the combined rise of sea levels, surficial waters and groundwater will lead to a new morpho-hydrologic setting of the coastal area, especially in the low-lying southern sector. Here, a coastline retreat up to 40 km is expected, with temporary submersion up to 4000 km2 during storm surges.
Fil: Tosi, L.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Kruse, Eduardo Emilio. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Braga, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Carol, Eleonora Silvina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Carretero, Silvina Claudia. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
Fil: Rizzetto, F.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia
Fil: Teatini, P.. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche; Italia. Universita Di Padova; Italia
description We report on the hydrologic and morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay, Argentina, which is expected at the end of the 21st century as a consequence of possible scenarios of relative sea level rise (RSLR). The geomorphological analysis of the Samborombón coastland points out only minor changes occurred over the last 40 yr. The modifications are mainly related to the construction of canals to enhance the floodplain drainage. A digital elevation model (DEM) obtained by the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data archive, ad hoc calibrated/validated for the study area, highlights that about 3000 km2 of coastal plain present a morphological setting at high risk of sea flooding. The analysis of sea level and storm surge events recorded from 1905 to 2010 in Buenos Aires provides the RSLR rate and the return period of extreme floods. In addition, vertical land movements (VLM) measured by the permanent GPS stations of Buenos Aires and La Plata allow for the quantification of the eustatic component of the RSLR and estimating a plausible RSLR rate in the Samborombón Bay. Taking into account possible RSLR scenarios at the end of 2100 as resulting from the statistical analysis of (i) tide gauge and GPS time series and (ii) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions, the potential effect of the increased sea level on the Samborombón coastland is simulated. The results show that the combined rise of sea levels, surficial waters and groundwater will lead to a new morpho-hydrologic setting of the coastal area, especially in the low-lying southern sector. Here, a coastline retreat up to 40 km is expected, with temporary submersion up to 4000 km2 during storm surges.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/13637
Tosi, L.; Kruse, Eduardo Emilio; Braga, F.; Carol, Eleonora Silvina; Carretero, Silvina Claudia; et al.; Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century; Copernicus Publications; Natural Hazards And Earth System Sciences; 13; 3; -1-2013; 523-534
1561-8633
1684-9981
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/13637
identifier_str_mv Tosi, L.; Kruse, Eduardo Emilio; Braga, F.; Carol, Eleonora Silvina; Carretero, Silvina Claudia; et al.; Hydro-morphologic setting of the Samborombón Bay (Argentina) at the end of the 21st century; Copernicus Publications; Natural Hazards And Earth System Sciences; 13; 3; -1-2013; 523-534
1561-8633
1684-9981
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/nhess-13-523-2013
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/523/2013/
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Copernicus Publications
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Copernicus Publications
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
_version_ 1842269599587893248
score 13.13397

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