Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus

Autores
Flombaum, Pedro; Gallegos, José L.; Gordillo, Rodolfo A.; Rincon, José; Zabala, Lina L.; Jiao, Nianzhi; Karl, David M.; Li, William K. W.; Lomas, Michael W.; Veneziano, Daniele; Vera, Carolina Susana; Vrugt, Jasper A.; Martiny, Adam C.
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus account for a substantial fraction of marine primary production. Here, we present quantitative niche models for these lineages that assess present and future global abundances and distributions. These niche models are the result of neural network, non-parametric, and parametric analyses, and rely on >35,000 discrete observations from all major ocean regions. The models assess cell abundance based on temperature and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR); but the individual responses of each lineage differ to these environmental variables. The models estimate global biogeographic patterns and seasonal variability of cell abundance with maxima in the warm oligotrophic gyres of the Indian and the western Pacific Oceans, and minima at higher latitudes. The annual mean global abundances of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus are 2.9±0.1 x1027 and 7.0±0.3 x1026 cells, respectively. Using projections of sea-surface temperature as a result of increased concentration of greenhouse gases at the end of the 21st century, our niche models projected increases in cell numbers of 28 and 14% for Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, respectively. The changes are geographically uneven but include an increase in areas, where both lineages are currently abundant, an expansion towards higher latitudes, and for Synechococcus, mid-latitude regions with declining abundances. Thus, our global niche models suggest that oceanic microbial communities will experience complex changes even just considering projected future climate conditions. Due to the high abundances and contributions to primary production of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, these changes may have large impacts on ocean ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles.
Fil: Flombaum, Pedro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Gallegos, José L.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gordillo, Rodolfo A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Rincon, José. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Zabala, Lina L.. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Jiao, Nianzhi. Xiamen University. State Key Lab for Marine Environmental Sciences. Institute of Microbes and Ecosphere; República de China
Fil: Karl, David M.. University of Hawaii. Center for Microbial Oceanography: Research and Education; Estados Unidos
Fil: Li, William K. W.. Bedford Institute of Oceanography. Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Canadá
Fil: Lomas, Michael W.. Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences; Estados Unidos
Fil: Veneziano, Daniele. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering; Estados Unidos
Fil: Vera, Carolina Susana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Vrugt, Jasper A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Departament of Civil Engineering; Estados Unidos
Fil: Martiny, Adam C.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; Estados Unidos
Materia
Cianobacterias
Modelo de Nicho
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4559
Acceder
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and SynechococcusFlombaum, PedroGallegos, José L.Gordillo, Rodolfo A.Rincon, JoséZabala, Lina L.Jiao, NianzhiKarl, David M.Li, William K. W.Lomas, Michael W.Veneziano, DanieleVera, Carolina SusanaVrugt, Jasper A.Martiny, Adam C.CianobacteriasModelo de Nichohttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus account for a substantial fraction of marine primary production. Here, we present quantitative niche models for these lineages that assess present and future global abundances and distributions. These niche models are the result of neural network, non-parametric, and parametric analyses, and rely on >35,000 discrete observations from all major ocean regions. The models assess cell abundance based on temperature and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR); but the individual responses of each lineage differ to these environmental variables. The models estimate global biogeographic patterns and seasonal variability of cell abundance with maxima in the warm oligotrophic gyres of the Indian and the western Pacific Oceans, and minima at higher latitudes. The annual mean global abundances of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus are 2.9±0.1 x1027 and 7.0±0.3 x1026 cells, respectively. Using projections of sea-surface temperature as a result of increased concentration of greenhouse gases at the end of the 21st century, our niche models projected increases in cell numbers of 28 and 14% for Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, respectively. The changes are geographically uneven but include an increase in areas, where both lineages are currently abundant, an expansion towards higher latitudes, and for Synechococcus, mid-latitude regions with declining abundances. Thus, our global niche models suggest that oceanic microbial communities will experience complex changes even just considering projected future climate conditions. Due to the high abundances and contributions to primary production of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, these changes may have large impacts on ocean ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles.Fil: Flombaum, Pedro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; ArgentinaFil: Gallegos, José L.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados UnidosFil: Gordillo, Rodolfo A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados UnidosFil: Rincon, José. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados UnidosFil: Zabala, Lina L.. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; ArgentinaFil: Jiao, Nianzhi. Xiamen University. State Key Lab for Marine Environmental Sciences. Institute of Microbes and Ecosphere; República de ChinaFil: Karl, David M.. University of Hawaii. Center for Microbial Oceanography: Research and Education; Estados UnidosFil: Li, William K. W.. Bedford Institute of Oceanography. Fisheries and Oceans Canada; CanadáFil: Lomas, Michael W.. Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences; Estados UnidosFil: Veneziano, Daniele. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering; Estados UnidosFil: Vera, Carolina Susana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; ArgentinaFil: Vrugt, Jasper A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Departament of Civil Engineering; Estados UnidosFil: Martiny, Adam C.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; Estados UnidosNational Academy of Sciences2013-04info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/4559Flombaum, Pedro; Gallegos, José L.; Gordillo, Rodolfo A.; Rincon, José; Zabala, Lina L.; et al.; Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 24; 4-2013; 9824-98290027-8424enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.pnas.org/content/110/24/9824.abstractinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1307701110info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0027-8424info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:23:43Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4559instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:23:44.26CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
title Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
spellingShingle Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
Flombaum, Pedro
Cianobacterias
Modelo de Nicho
title_short Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
title_full Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
title_fullStr Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
title_full_unstemmed Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
title_sort Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Flombaum, Pedro
Gallegos, José L.
Gordillo, Rodolfo A.
Rincon, José
Zabala, Lina L.
Jiao, Nianzhi
Karl, David M.
Li, William K. W.
Lomas, Michael W.
Veneziano, Daniele
Vera, Carolina Susana
Vrugt, Jasper A.
Martiny, Adam C.
author Flombaum, Pedro
author_facet Flombaum, Pedro
Gallegos, José L.
Gordillo, Rodolfo A.
Rincon, José
Zabala, Lina L.
Jiao, Nianzhi
Karl, David M.
Li, William K. W.
Lomas, Michael W.
Veneziano, Daniele
Vera, Carolina Susana
Vrugt, Jasper A.
Martiny, Adam C.
author_role author
author2 Gallegos, José L.
Gordillo, Rodolfo A.
Rincon, José
Zabala, Lina L.
Jiao, Nianzhi
Karl, David M.
Li, William K. W.
Lomas, Michael W.
Veneziano, Daniele
Vera, Carolina Susana
Vrugt, Jasper A.
Martiny, Adam C.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Cianobacterias
Modelo de Nicho
topic Cianobacterias
Modelo de Nicho
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus account for a substantial fraction of marine primary production. Here, we present quantitative niche models for these lineages that assess present and future global abundances and distributions. These niche models are the result of neural network, non-parametric, and parametric analyses, and rely on >35,000 discrete observations from all major ocean regions. The models assess cell abundance based on temperature and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR); but the individual responses of each lineage differ to these environmental variables. The models estimate global biogeographic patterns and seasonal variability of cell abundance with maxima in the warm oligotrophic gyres of the Indian and the western Pacific Oceans, and minima at higher latitudes. The annual mean global abundances of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus are 2.9±0.1 x1027 and 7.0±0.3 x1026 cells, respectively. Using projections of sea-surface temperature as a result of increased concentration of greenhouse gases at the end of the 21st century, our niche models projected increases in cell numbers of 28 and 14% for Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, respectively. The changes are geographically uneven but include an increase in areas, where both lineages are currently abundant, an expansion towards higher latitudes, and for Synechococcus, mid-latitude regions with declining abundances. Thus, our global niche models suggest that oceanic microbial communities will experience complex changes even just considering projected future climate conditions. Due to the high abundances and contributions to primary production of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, these changes may have large impacts on ocean ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles.
Fil: Flombaum, Pedro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Gallegos, José L.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Gordillo, Rodolfo A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Rincon, José. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos
Fil: Zabala, Lina L.. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Jiao, Nianzhi. Xiamen University. State Key Lab for Marine Environmental Sciences. Institute of Microbes and Ecosphere; República de China
Fil: Karl, David M.. University of Hawaii. Center for Microbial Oceanography: Research and Education; Estados Unidos
Fil: Li, William K. W.. Bedford Institute of Oceanography. Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Canadá
Fil: Lomas, Michael W.. Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences; Estados Unidos
Fil: Veneziano, Daniele. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering; Estados Unidos
Fil: Vera, Carolina Susana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Vrugt, Jasper A.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Departament of Civil Engineering; Estados Unidos
Fil: Martiny, Adam C.. University of California. Department of a Earth System Science; Estados Unidos. University of California. Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; Estados Unidos
description The Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus account for a substantial fraction of marine primary production. Here, we present quantitative niche models for these lineages that assess present and future global abundances and distributions. These niche models are the result of neural network, non-parametric, and parametric analyses, and rely on >35,000 discrete observations from all major ocean regions. The models assess cell abundance based on temperature and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR); but the individual responses of each lineage differ to these environmental variables. The models estimate global biogeographic patterns and seasonal variability of cell abundance with maxima in the warm oligotrophic gyres of the Indian and the western Pacific Oceans, and minima at higher latitudes. The annual mean global abundances of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus are 2.9±0.1 x1027 and 7.0±0.3 x1026 cells, respectively. Using projections of sea-surface temperature as a result of increased concentration of greenhouse gases at the end of the 21st century, our niche models projected increases in cell numbers of 28 and 14% for Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, respectively. The changes are geographically uneven but include an increase in areas, where both lineages are currently abundant, an expansion towards higher latitudes, and for Synechococcus, mid-latitude regions with declining abundances. Thus, our global niche models suggest that oceanic microbial communities will experience complex changes even just considering projected future climate conditions. Due to the high abundances and contributions to primary production of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus, these changes may have large impacts on ocean ecosystems and biogeochemical cycles.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-04
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4559
Flombaum, Pedro; Gallegos, José L.; Gordillo, Rodolfo A.; Rincon, José; Zabala, Lina L.; et al.; Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 24; 4-2013; 9824-9829
0027-8424
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4559
identifier_str_mv Flombaum, Pedro; Gallegos, José L.; Gordillo, Rodolfo A.; Rincon, José; Zabala, Lina L.; et al.; Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 24; 4-2013; 9824-9829
0027-8424
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.pnas.org/content/110/24/9824.abstract
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1307701110
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0027-8424
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv National Academy of Sciences
publisher.none.fl_str_mv National Academy of Sciences
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.070432

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