Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina

Autores
D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo; Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa; Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
Año de publicación
2008
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Located on the west margin of the Rio de la Plata estuary, the capital city of Buenos Aires is often affected by positive and negative storm surges due to strong southeasterly and northwesterly winds, respectively, which sweep the estuary. While positive surges cause severe flooding, negative surges affect navigation and drinking water supply. Since Buenos Aires is densely populated, a quantitative assessment of the variations in the regime of storm surges will help to develop policies for reducing their impacts. Changes in frequency, duration, and height of storm surges over the period 1905–2003 were determined from statistical analyses of hourly water levels. Calculations of the tidal constants used harmonic analyses of 19 y periods to account for any variation in the astronomical tide. Positive and negative surges were chosen from the residuals between observed levels and the predicted tide. The results show that the decadal averages of frequency and duration for positive surges have increased in the last three decades, but they have decreased for negative surges. The average decadal trends of the maximum positive and negative surges in each year, +1.46 ± 0.08 mm/y and +1.02 ± 0.09 mm/y, respectively, compare well with the relative mean water-level rise for Buenos Aires: +1.68 ± 0.05 mm/y. However, the height of positive surges has decreased in the last decade, and negative surges have become more intense in the last two decades.
Fil: D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ingeniería; Argentina
Fil: Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. Laboratorio de Oceanografía Costera y Estuarios; Argentina
Materia
ESTUARIES
MEAN WATER
FLOODING
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/242272

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spelling Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, ArgentinaD'onofrio, Enrique EduardoFiore, Monica Maria ElisaPousa, Jorge LorenzoESTUARIESMEAN WATERFLOODINGhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Located on the west margin of the Rio de la Plata estuary, the capital city of Buenos Aires is often affected by positive and negative storm surges due to strong southeasterly and northwesterly winds, respectively, which sweep the estuary. While positive surges cause severe flooding, negative surges affect navigation and drinking water supply. Since Buenos Aires is densely populated, a quantitative assessment of the variations in the regime of storm surges will help to develop policies for reducing their impacts. Changes in frequency, duration, and height of storm surges over the period 1905–2003 were determined from statistical analyses of hourly water levels. Calculations of the tidal constants used harmonic analyses of 19 y periods to account for any variation in the astronomical tide. Positive and negative surges were chosen from the residuals between observed levels and the predicted tide. The results show that the decadal averages of frequency and duration for positive surges have increased in the last three decades, but they have decreased for negative surges. The average decadal trends of the maximum positive and negative surges in each year, +1.46 ± 0.08 mm/y and +1.02 ± 0.09 mm/y, respectively, compare well with the relative mean water-level rise for Buenos Aires: +1.68 ± 0.05 mm/y. However, the height of positive surges has decreased in the last decade, and negative surges have become more intense in the last two decades.Fil: D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ingeniería; ArgentinaFil: Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; ArgentinaFil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. Laboratorio de Oceanografía Costera y Estuarios; ArgentinaCoastal Education & Research Foundation2008-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/242272D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo; Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa; Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo; Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina; Coastal Education & Research Foundation; Journal of Coastal Research; 1; 1-2008; 260-2650749-0208CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.2112/05-0588.1info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.2112/05-0588.1info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:46:13Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/242272instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:46:13.297CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
title Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
spellingShingle Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo
ESTUARIES
MEAN WATER
FLOODING
title_short Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
title_full Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
title_fullStr Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
title_sort Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo
Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
author D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo
author_facet D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo
Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
author_role author
author2 Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa
Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv ESTUARIES
MEAN WATER
FLOODING
topic ESTUARIES
MEAN WATER
FLOODING
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Located on the west margin of the Rio de la Plata estuary, the capital city of Buenos Aires is often affected by positive and negative storm surges due to strong southeasterly and northwesterly winds, respectively, which sweep the estuary. While positive surges cause severe flooding, negative surges affect navigation and drinking water supply. Since Buenos Aires is densely populated, a quantitative assessment of the variations in the regime of storm surges will help to develop policies for reducing their impacts. Changes in frequency, duration, and height of storm surges over the period 1905–2003 were determined from statistical analyses of hourly water levels. Calculations of the tidal constants used harmonic analyses of 19 y periods to account for any variation in the astronomical tide. Positive and negative surges were chosen from the residuals between observed levels and the predicted tide. The results show that the decadal averages of frequency and duration for positive surges have increased in the last three decades, but they have decreased for negative surges. The average decadal trends of the maximum positive and negative surges in each year, +1.46 ± 0.08 mm/y and +1.02 ± 0.09 mm/y, respectively, compare well with the relative mean water-level rise for Buenos Aires: +1.68 ± 0.05 mm/y. However, the height of positive surges has decreased in the last decade, and negative surges have become more intense in the last two decades.
Fil: D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ingeniería; Argentina
Fil: Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa. Ministerio de Defensa. Armada Argentina. Servicio de Hidrografía Naval. Departamento Oceanografía; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos; Argentina
Fil: Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - La Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo. Laboratorio de Oceanografía Costera y Estuarios; Argentina
description Located on the west margin of the Rio de la Plata estuary, the capital city of Buenos Aires is often affected by positive and negative storm surges due to strong southeasterly and northwesterly winds, respectively, which sweep the estuary. While positive surges cause severe flooding, negative surges affect navigation and drinking water supply. Since Buenos Aires is densely populated, a quantitative assessment of the variations in the regime of storm surges will help to develop policies for reducing their impacts. Changes in frequency, duration, and height of storm surges over the period 1905–2003 were determined from statistical analyses of hourly water levels. Calculations of the tidal constants used harmonic analyses of 19 y periods to account for any variation in the astronomical tide. Positive and negative surges were chosen from the residuals between observed levels and the predicted tide. The results show that the decadal averages of frequency and duration for positive surges have increased in the last three decades, but they have decreased for negative surges. The average decadal trends of the maximum positive and negative surges in each year, +1.46 ± 0.08 mm/y and +1.02 ± 0.09 mm/y, respectively, compare well with the relative mean water-level rise for Buenos Aires: +1.68 ± 0.05 mm/y. However, the height of positive surges has decreased in the last decade, and negative surges have become more intense in the last two decades.
publishDate 2008
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2008-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/242272
D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo; Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa; Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo; Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina; Coastal Education & Research Foundation; Journal of Coastal Research; 1; 1-2008; 260-265
0749-0208
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/242272
identifier_str_mv D'onofrio, Enrique Eduardo; Fiore, Monica Maria Elisa; Pousa, Jorge Lorenzo; Changes in the Regime of Storm Surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina; Coastal Education & Research Foundation; Journal of Coastal Research; 1; 1-2008; 260-265
0749-0208
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.2112/05-0588.1
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.2112/05-0588.1
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
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application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Coastal Education & Research Foundation
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Coastal Education & Research Foundation
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
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instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
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repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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