The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti

Autores
Simoy, Mario Ignacio; Simoy, Maria Veronica; Canziani, Graciela Ana
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The mosquito Aedes aegypti, the principal vector of dengue and yellow fever viruses, is an anthropophilic species adapted to urban environments, particularly to housing. A decisive factor in the proliferation of this species is ambient temperature, which has a direct influence on the vital rates of the species.Here we present a structured matrix population model for analyzing the effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti. The model is structured following the four natural stages of the species: egg, larva, pupa and adult. A set of population projection matrices (one for each temperature between 5 and 30. °C), was constructed and parameterized using published data on the biology of the species. The output of the models showed that pupation does not occur at temperatures below 8. °C. The population's growth rate was calculated for temperatures between 11 and 30. °C, resulting in an increasing function showing that temperatures above 12. °C are sufficient for population growth. For each matrix, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis of the parameters was performed. Together with the results from the population stable distribution analysis, they suggest that policies aimed at reducing the abundance of Aedes aegypti should seek to lower the survival probability in the egg and larval stages. The population dynamics was simulated under different seasonal scenarios. This seasonal analysis allows asserting that the egg stage dominates the population dynamics at all seasons.
Fil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; Argentina
Fil: Simoy, Maria Veronica. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; Argentina
Fil: Canziani, Graciela Ana. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina
Materia
AEDES AEGYPTI
AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
MATRIX POPULATION MODEL
POPULATION DYNAMICS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/180100
Acceder
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repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegyptiSimoy, Mario IgnacioSimoy, Maria VeronicaCanziani, Graciela AnaAEDES AEGYPTIAMBIENT TEMPERATUREMATRIX POPULATION MODELPOPULATION DYNAMICShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.1https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The mosquito Aedes aegypti, the principal vector of dengue and yellow fever viruses, is an anthropophilic species adapted to urban environments, particularly to housing. A decisive factor in the proliferation of this species is ambient temperature, which has a direct influence on the vital rates of the species.Here we present a structured matrix population model for analyzing the effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti. The model is structured following the four natural stages of the species: egg, larva, pupa and adult. A set of population projection matrices (one for each temperature between 5 and 30. °C), was constructed and parameterized using published data on the biology of the species. The output of the models showed that pupation does not occur at temperatures below 8. °C. The population's growth rate was calculated for temperatures between 11 and 30. °C, resulting in an increasing function showing that temperatures above 12. °C are sufficient for population growth. For each matrix, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis of the parameters was performed. Together with the results from the population stable distribution analysis, they suggest that policies aimed at reducing the abundance of Aedes aegypti should seek to lower the survival probability in the egg and larval stages. The population dynamics was simulated under different seasonal scenarios. This seasonal analysis allows asserting that the egg stage dominates the population dynamics at all seasons.Fil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; ArgentinaFil: Simoy, Maria Veronica. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; ArgentinaFil: Canziani, Graciela Ana. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; ArgentinaElsevier Science2015-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/180100Simoy, Mario Ignacio; Simoy, Maria Veronica; Canziani, Graciela Ana; The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti; Elsevier Science; Ecological Modelling; 314; 10-2015; 100-1100304-3800CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304380015003130info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.07.007info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:36:06Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/180100instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:36:06.523CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
title The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
spellingShingle The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
Simoy, Mario Ignacio
AEDES AEGYPTI
AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
MATRIX POPULATION MODEL
POPULATION DYNAMICS
title_short The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
title_full The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
title_fullStr The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
title_full_unstemmed The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
title_sort The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Simoy, Mario Ignacio
Simoy, Maria Veronica
Canziani, Graciela Ana
author Simoy, Mario Ignacio
author_facet Simoy, Mario Ignacio
Simoy, Maria Veronica
Canziani, Graciela Ana
author_role author
author2 Simoy, Maria Veronica
Canziani, Graciela Ana
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv AEDES AEGYPTI
AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
MATRIX POPULATION MODEL
POPULATION DYNAMICS
topic AEDES AEGYPTI
AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
MATRIX POPULATION MODEL
POPULATION DYNAMICS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.1
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The mosquito Aedes aegypti, the principal vector of dengue and yellow fever viruses, is an anthropophilic species adapted to urban environments, particularly to housing. A decisive factor in the proliferation of this species is ambient temperature, which has a direct influence on the vital rates of the species.Here we present a structured matrix population model for analyzing the effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti. The model is structured following the four natural stages of the species: egg, larva, pupa and adult. A set of population projection matrices (one for each temperature between 5 and 30. °C), was constructed and parameterized using published data on the biology of the species. The output of the models showed that pupation does not occur at temperatures below 8. °C. The population's growth rate was calculated for temperatures between 11 and 30. °C, resulting in an increasing function showing that temperatures above 12. °C are sufficient for population growth. For each matrix, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis of the parameters was performed. Together with the results from the population stable distribution analysis, they suggest that policies aimed at reducing the abundance of Aedes aegypti should seek to lower the survival probability in the egg and larval stages. The population dynamics was simulated under different seasonal scenarios. This seasonal analysis allows asserting that the egg stage dominates the population dynamics at all seasons.
Fil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; Argentina
Fil: Simoy, Maria Veronica. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tandil; Argentina
Fil: Canziani, Graciela Ana. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario sobre Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable. Grupo de Ecología Matemática; Argentina
description The mosquito Aedes aegypti, the principal vector of dengue and yellow fever viruses, is an anthropophilic species adapted to urban environments, particularly to housing. A decisive factor in the proliferation of this species is ambient temperature, which has a direct influence on the vital rates of the species.Here we present a structured matrix population model for analyzing the effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti. The model is structured following the four natural stages of the species: egg, larva, pupa and adult. A set of population projection matrices (one for each temperature between 5 and 30. °C), was constructed and parameterized using published data on the biology of the species. The output of the models showed that pupation does not occur at temperatures below 8. °C. The population's growth rate was calculated for temperatures between 11 and 30. °C, resulting in an increasing function showing that temperatures above 12. °C are sufficient for population growth. For each matrix, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis of the parameters was performed. Together with the results from the population stable distribution analysis, they suggest that policies aimed at reducing the abundance of Aedes aegypti should seek to lower the survival probability in the egg and larval stages. The population dynamics was simulated under different seasonal scenarios. This seasonal analysis allows asserting that the egg stage dominates the population dynamics at all seasons.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/180100
Simoy, Mario Ignacio; Simoy, Maria Veronica; Canziani, Graciela Ana; The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti; Elsevier Science; Ecological Modelling; 314; 10-2015; 100-110
0304-3800
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/180100
identifier_str_mv Simoy, Mario Ignacio; Simoy, Maria Veronica; Canziani, Graciela Ana; The effect of temperature on the population dynamics of Aedes aegypti; Elsevier Science; Ecological Modelling; 314; 10-2015; 100-110
0304-3800
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304380015003130
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.07.007
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.070432

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