Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America
- Autores
- Menéndez, C.G.; de Castro, M.; Boulanger, J.-P.; D'Onofrio, A.; Sanchez, E.; Sörensson, A.A.; Blazquez, J.; Elizalde, A.; Jacob, D.; Le Treut, H.; Li, Z.X.; Núñez, M.N.; Pessacg, N.; Pfeiffer, S.; Rojas, M.; Rolla, A.; Samuelsson, P.; Solman, S.A.; Teichmann, C.
- Año de publicación
- 2010
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- We investigate the performance of one stretched-grid atmospheric global model, five different regional climate models and a statistical downscaling technique in simulating 3 months (January 1971, November 1986, July 1996) characterized by anomalous climate conditions in the southern La Plata Basin. Models were driven by reanalysis (ERA-40). The analysis has emphasized on the simulation of the precipitation over land and has provided a quantification of the biases of and scatter between the different regional simulations. Most but not all dynamical models underpredict precipitation amounts in south eastern South America during the three periods. Results suggest that models have regime dependence, performing better for some conditions than others. The models' ensemble and the statistical technique succeed in reproducing the overall observed frequency of daily precipitation for all periods. But most models tend to underestimate the frequency of dry days and overestimate the amount of light rainfall days. The number of events with strong or heavy precipitation tends to be under simulated by the models. © The Author(s) 2009.
Fil:Menéndez, C.G. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:D'Onofrio, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Sörensson, A.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Blazquez, J. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Núñez, M.N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Pessacg, N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Rolla, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.
Fil:Solman, S.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. - Fuente
- Clim. Change 2010;98(3):379-403
- Materia
-
Anomalous climate
Down-scaling
Dynamical model
Global models
Heavy precipitation
La Plata basin
Reanalysis
Regional climate models
South America
Statistical downscaling
Statistical techniques
Climate change
Climate models
climate modeling
downscaling
precipitation (climatology)
regional climate
simulation
spatiotemporal analysis
La Plata Basin - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales
- OAI Identificador
- paperaa:paper_01650009_v98_n3_p379_Menendez
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Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South AmericaMenéndez, C.G.de Castro, M.Boulanger, J.-P.D'Onofrio, A.Sanchez, E.Sörensson, A.A.Blazquez, J.Elizalde, A.Jacob, D.Le Treut, H.Li, Z.X.Núñez, M.N.Pessacg, N.Pfeiffer, S.Rojas, M.Rolla, A.Samuelsson, P.Solman, S.A.Teichmann, C.Anomalous climateDown-scalingDynamical modelGlobal modelsHeavy precipitationLa Plata basinReanalysisRegional climate modelsSouth AmericaStatistical downscalingStatistical techniquesClimate changeClimate modelsclimate modelingdownscalingprecipitation (climatology)regional climatesimulationspatiotemporal analysisLa Plata BasinWe investigate the performance of one stretched-grid atmospheric global model, five different regional climate models and a statistical downscaling technique in simulating 3 months (January 1971, November 1986, July 1996) characterized by anomalous climate conditions in the southern La Plata Basin. Models were driven by reanalysis (ERA-40). The analysis has emphasized on the simulation of the precipitation over land and has provided a quantification of the biases of and scatter between the different regional simulations. Most but not all dynamical models underpredict precipitation amounts in south eastern South America during the three periods. Results suggest that models have regime dependence, performing better for some conditions than others. The models' ensemble and the statistical technique succeed in reproducing the overall observed frequency of daily precipitation for all periods. But most models tend to underestimate the frequency of dry days and overestimate the amount of light rainfall days. The number of events with strong or heavy precipitation tends to be under simulated by the models. © The Author(s) 2009.Fil:Menéndez, C.G. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:D'Onofrio, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Sörensson, A.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Blazquez, J. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Núñez, M.N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Pessacg, N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Rolla, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.Fil:Solman, S.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina.2010info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v98_n3_p379_MenendezClim. Change 2010;98(3):379-403reponame:Biblioteca Digital (UBA-FCEN)instname:Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturalesinstacron:UBA-FCENenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar2025-09-11T10:21:17Zpaperaa:paper_01650009_v98_n3_p379_MenendezInstitucionalhttps://digital.bl.fcen.uba.ar/Universidad públicaNo correspondehttps://digital.bl.fcen.uba.ar/cgi-bin/oaiserver.cgiana@bl.fcen.uba.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:18962025-09-11 10:21:18.967Biblioteca Digital (UBA-FCEN) - Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturalesfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
title |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
spellingShingle |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America Menéndez, C.G. Anomalous climate Down-scaling Dynamical model Global models Heavy precipitation La Plata basin Reanalysis Regional climate models South America Statistical downscaling Statistical techniques Climate change Climate models climate modeling downscaling precipitation (climatology) regional climate simulation spatiotemporal analysis La Plata Basin |
title_short |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
title_full |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
title_fullStr |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
title_full_unstemmed |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
title_sort |
Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Menéndez, C.G. de Castro, M. Boulanger, J.-P. D'Onofrio, A. Sanchez, E. Sörensson, A.A. Blazquez, J. Elizalde, A. Jacob, D. Le Treut, H. Li, Z.X. Núñez, M.N. Pessacg, N. Pfeiffer, S. Rojas, M. Rolla, A. Samuelsson, P. Solman, S.A. Teichmann, C. |
author |
Menéndez, C.G. |
author_facet |
Menéndez, C.G. de Castro, M. Boulanger, J.-P. D'Onofrio, A. Sanchez, E. Sörensson, A.A. Blazquez, J. Elizalde, A. Jacob, D. Le Treut, H. Li, Z.X. Núñez, M.N. Pessacg, N. Pfeiffer, S. Rojas, M. Rolla, A. Samuelsson, P. Solman, S.A. Teichmann, C. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
de Castro, M. Boulanger, J.-P. D'Onofrio, A. Sanchez, E. Sörensson, A.A. Blazquez, J. Elizalde, A. Jacob, D. Le Treut, H. Li, Z.X. Núñez, M.N. Pessacg, N. Pfeiffer, S. Rojas, M. Rolla, A. Samuelsson, P. Solman, S.A. Teichmann, C. |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Anomalous climate Down-scaling Dynamical model Global models Heavy precipitation La Plata basin Reanalysis Regional climate models South America Statistical downscaling Statistical techniques Climate change Climate models climate modeling downscaling precipitation (climatology) regional climate simulation spatiotemporal analysis La Plata Basin |
topic |
Anomalous climate Down-scaling Dynamical model Global models Heavy precipitation La Plata basin Reanalysis Regional climate models South America Statistical downscaling Statistical techniques Climate change Climate models climate modeling downscaling precipitation (climatology) regional climate simulation spatiotemporal analysis La Plata Basin |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
We investigate the performance of one stretched-grid atmospheric global model, five different regional climate models and a statistical downscaling technique in simulating 3 months (January 1971, November 1986, July 1996) characterized by anomalous climate conditions in the southern La Plata Basin. Models were driven by reanalysis (ERA-40). The analysis has emphasized on the simulation of the precipitation over land and has provided a quantification of the biases of and scatter between the different regional simulations. Most but not all dynamical models underpredict precipitation amounts in south eastern South America during the three periods. Results suggest that models have regime dependence, performing better for some conditions than others. The models' ensemble and the statistical technique succeed in reproducing the overall observed frequency of daily precipitation for all periods. But most models tend to underestimate the frequency of dry days and overestimate the amount of light rainfall days. The number of events with strong or heavy precipitation tends to be under simulated by the models. © The Author(s) 2009. Fil:Menéndez, C.G. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:D'Onofrio, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Sörensson, A.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Blazquez, J. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Núñez, M.N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Pessacg, N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Rolla, A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Solman, S.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. |
description |
We investigate the performance of one stretched-grid atmospheric global model, five different regional climate models and a statistical downscaling technique in simulating 3 months (January 1971, November 1986, July 1996) characterized by anomalous climate conditions in the southern La Plata Basin. Models were driven by reanalysis (ERA-40). The analysis has emphasized on the simulation of the precipitation over land and has provided a quantification of the biases of and scatter between the different regional simulations. Most but not all dynamical models underpredict precipitation amounts in south eastern South America during the three periods. Results suggest that models have regime dependence, performing better for some conditions than others. The models' ensemble and the statistical technique succeed in reproducing the overall observed frequency of daily precipitation for all periods. But most models tend to underestimate the frequency of dry days and overestimate the amount of light rainfall days. The number of events with strong or heavy precipitation tends to be under simulated by the models. © The Author(s) 2009. |
publishDate |
2010 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2010 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v98_n3_p379_Menendez |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v98_n3_p379_Menendez |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Clim. Change 2010;98(3):379-403 reponame:Biblioteca Digital (UBA-FCEN) instname:Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales instacron:UBA-FCEN |
reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital (UBA-FCEN) |
collection |
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instname_str |
Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales |
instacron_str |
UBA-FCEN |
institution |
UBA-FCEN |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital (UBA-FCEN) - Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales |
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