The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection

Autores
Medone, Paula; Ceccarelli, Soledad; Parham, Paul E.; Figuera, Andreína; Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Chagas disease, caused by the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi, is the most important vector-borne disease in Latin America. The vectors are insects belonging to the Triatominae (Hemiptera, Reduviidae), and are widely distributed in the Americas. Here, we assess the implications of climatic projections for 2050 on the geographical footprint of two of the main Chagas disease vectors: Rhodnius prolixus (tropical species) and Triatoma infestans (temperate species). We estimated the epidemiological implications of current to future transitions in the climatic niche in terms of changes in the force of infection (FOI) on the rural population of two countries: Venezuela (tropical) and Argentina (temperate). The climatic projections for 2050 showed heterogeneous impact on the climatic niches of both vector species, with a decreasing trend of suitability of areas that are currently at high-to-moderate transmission risk. Consequently, climatic projections affected differently the FOI for Chagas disease in Venezuela and Argentina. Despite the heterogeneous results, our main conclusions point out a decreasing trend in the number of new cases of Tr. cruzi human infections per year between current and future conditions using a climatic niche approach.
Fil: Medone, Paula. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
Fil: Ceccarelli, Soledad. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
Fil: Parham, Paul E.. University Of Liverpool; Reino Unido. Imperial College London; Reino Unido
Fil: Figuera, Andreína. Universidad de Carabobo. Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas; Venezuela
Fil: Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
Materia
Chagas Disease
Climate Change
Force of Infection
Climatic Modelling
Rhodnius Prolixus
Triatoma Infestans
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/10678

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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infectionMedone, PaulaCeccarelli, SoledadParham, Paul E.Figuera, AndreínaRabinovich, Jorge EduardoChagas DiseaseClimate ChangeForce of InfectionClimatic ModellingRhodnius ProlixusTriatoma Infestanshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Chagas disease, caused by the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi, is the most important vector-borne disease in Latin America. The vectors are insects belonging to the Triatominae (Hemiptera, Reduviidae), and are widely distributed in the Americas. Here, we assess the implications of climatic projections for 2050 on the geographical footprint of two of the main Chagas disease vectors: Rhodnius prolixus (tropical species) and Triatoma infestans (temperate species). We estimated the epidemiological implications of current to future transitions in the climatic niche in terms of changes in the force of infection (FOI) on the rural population of two countries: Venezuela (tropical) and Argentina (temperate). The climatic projections for 2050 showed heterogeneous impact on the climatic niches of both vector species, with a decreasing trend of suitability of areas that are currently at high-to-moderate transmission risk. Consequently, climatic projections affected differently the FOI for Chagas disease in Venezuela and Argentina. Despite the heterogeneous results, our main conclusions point out a decreasing trend in the number of new cases of Tr. cruzi human infections per year between current and future conditions using a climatic niche approach.Fil: Medone, Paula. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; ArgentinaFil: Ceccarelli, Soledad. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; ArgentinaFil: Parham, Paul E.. University Of Liverpool; Reino Unido. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Figuera, Andreína. Universidad de Carabobo. Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas; VenezuelaFil: Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; ArgentinaThe Royal Society2015-04-05info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/10678Medone, Paula; Ceccarelli, Soledad; Parham, Paul E.; Figuera, Andreína; Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo; The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection; The Royal Society; Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences; 370; 1665; 5-4-2015; 1-120962-8436enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1098/rstb.2013.0560info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/370/1665/20130560info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/25688019/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:47:19Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/10678instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:47:19.852CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
title The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
spellingShingle The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
Medone, Paula
Chagas Disease
Climate Change
Force of Infection
Climatic Modelling
Rhodnius Prolixus
Triatoma Infestans
title_short The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
title_full The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
title_fullStr The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
title_full_unstemmed The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
title_sort The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Medone, Paula
Ceccarelli, Soledad
Parham, Paul E.
Figuera, Andreína
Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo
author Medone, Paula
author_facet Medone, Paula
Ceccarelli, Soledad
Parham, Paul E.
Figuera, Andreína
Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo
author_role author
author2 Ceccarelli, Soledad
Parham, Paul E.
Figuera, Andreína
Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Chagas Disease
Climate Change
Force of Infection
Climatic Modelling
Rhodnius Prolixus
Triatoma Infestans
topic Chagas Disease
Climate Change
Force of Infection
Climatic Modelling
Rhodnius Prolixus
Triatoma Infestans
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Chagas disease, caused by the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi, is the most important vector-borne disease in Latin America. The vectors are insects belonging to the Triatominae (Hemiptera, Reduviidae), and are widely distributed in the Americas. Here, we assess the implications of climatic projections for 2050 on the geographical footprint of two of the main Chagas disease vectors: Rhodnius prolixus (tropical species) and Triatoma infestans (temperate species). We estimated the epidemiological implications of current to future transitions in the climatic niche in terms of changes in the force of infection (FOI) on the rural population of two countries: Venezuela (tropical) and Argentina (temperate). The climatic projections for 2050 showed heterogeneous impact on the climatic niches of both vector species, with a decreasing trend of suitability of areas that are currently at high-to-moderate transmission risk. Consequently, climatic projections affected differently the FOI for Chagas disease in Venezuela and Argentina. Despite the heterogeneous results, our main conclusions point out a decreasing trend in the number of new cases of Tr. cruzi human infections per year between current and future conditions using a climatic niche approach.
Fil: Medone, Paula. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
Fil: Ceccarelli, Soledad. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
Fil: Parham, Paul E.. University Of Liverpool; Reino Unido. Imperial College London; Reino Unido
Fil: Figuera, Andreína. Universidad de Carabobo. Instituto de Investigaciones Biomédicas; Venezuela
Fil: Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico la Plata. Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores (i); Argentina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo; Argentina
description Chagas disease, caused by the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi, is the most important vector-borne disease in Latin America. The vectors are insects belonging to the Triatominae (Hemiptera, Reduviidae), and are widely distributed in the Americas. Here, we assess the implications of climatic projections for 2050 on the geographical footprint of two of the main Chagas disease vectors: Rhodnius prolixus (tropical species) and Triatoma infestans (temperate species). We estimated the epidemiological implications of current to future transitions in the climatic niche in terms of changes in the force of infection (FOI) on the rural population of two countries: Venezuela (tropical) and Argentina (temperate). The climatic projections for 2050 showed heterogeneous impact on the climatic niches of both vector species, with a decreasing trend of suitability of areas that are currently at high-to-moderate transmission risk. Consequently, climatic projections affected differently the FOI for Chagas disease in Venezuela and Argentina. Despite the heterogeneous results, our main conclusions point out a decreasing trend in the number of new cases of Tr. cruzi human infections per year between current and future conditions using a climatic niche approach.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-04-05
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/10678
Medone, Paula; Ceccarelli, Soledad; Parham, Paul E.; Figuera, Andreína; Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo; The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection; The Royal Society; Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences; 370; 1665; 5-4-2015; 1-12
0962-8436
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/10678
identifier_str_mv Medone, Paula; Ceccarelli, Soledad; Parham, Paul E.; Figuera, Andreína; Rabinovich, Jorge Eduardo; The impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of two vectors of Chagas disease: implications for the force of infection; The Royal Society; Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences; 370; 1665; 5-4-2015; 1-12
0962-8436
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1098/rstb.2013.0560
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/370/1665/20130560
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/25688019/
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv The Royal Society
publisher.none.fl_str_mv The Royal Society
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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