Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality

Autores
Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Miranda, A. I.; Borrego, C.
Año de publicación
2011
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
In a future climate scenario forest fire activity over Portugal will substantially increase and consequently area burned and forest fire emissions to the atmosphere are also expected to increase. This study investigated the impact of future forest fire emissions on air quality over Portugal under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Reference and future climate change scenarios were simulated using the MM5/CHIMERE air quality modelling system, which was applied over Europe and over Portugal, using nesting capabilities. The initial and boundary conditions were provided by the HadAM3P model simulations for the reference and the future climate. The forest fire emissions were estimated using a methodology, which included the selection of emission factors for each pollutant, burning efficiency, fuel loads and the predicted area burned. These emissions were added to the simulation grid using specific parameterizations for their vertical distribution. Modelling results for Portugal pointed out that future forest fire activity will increase the O3 concentrations of almost 23 μg m−3 by 2100 but a decrease of approximately 6 μg m−3 is detected close to the main forest fire locations. Future forest fire emissions will also impact the PM10 concentrations over Portugal with increases reaching 20 μg m−3 along the Northern coastal region in July. The highest increases are estimated over the north and centre of Portugal where the area burned projections in future climate are higher.
Fil: Carvalho, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Monteiro, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Flannigan, M.. University of Alberta; Canadá
Fil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera; Argentina
Fil: Miranda, A. I.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Borrego, C.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Materia
Climate Change
Future Fire Activity
Forest Fire Emissions
Air Quality Modeling
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/17301
Acceder
id CONICETDig_d348194f8a4494c1d6fd9a7090459f70
oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/17301
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air qualityCarvalho, A.Monteiro, A.Flannigan, M.Solman, Silvina AliciaMiranda, A. I.Borrego, C.Climate ChangeFuture Fire ActivityForest Fire EmissionsAir Quality Modelinghttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1In a future climate scenario forest fire activity over Portugal will substantially increase and consequently area burned and forest fire emissions to the atmosphere are also expected to increase. This study investigated the impact of future forest fire emissions on air quality over Portugal under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Reference and future climate change scenarios were simulated using the MM5/CHIMERE air quality modelling system, which was applied over Europe and over Portugal, using nesting capabilities. The initial and boundary conditions were provided by the HadAM3P model simulations for the reference and the future climate. The forest fire emissions were estimated using a methodology, which included the selection of emission factors for each pollutant, burning efficiency, fuel loads and the predicted area burned. These emissions were added to the simulation grid using specific parameterizations for their vertical distribution. Modelling results for Portugal pointed out that future forest fire activity will increase the O3 concentrations of almost 23 μg m−3 by 2100 but a decrease of approximately 6 μg m−3 is detected close to the main forest fire locations. Future forest fire emissions will also impact the PM10 concentrations over Portugal with increases reaching 20 μg m−3 along the Northern coastal region in July. The highest increases are estimated over the north and centre of Portugal where the area burned projections in future climate are higher.Fil: Carvalho, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; PortugalFil: Monteiro, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; PortugalFil: Flannigan, M.. University of Alberta; CanadáFil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera; ArgentinaFil: Miranda, A. I.. Universidade de Aveiro; PortugalFil: Borrego, C.. Universidade de Aveiro; PortugalElsevier2011-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/17301Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Miranda, A. I.; et al.; Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality; Elsevier; Atmospheric Environment; 45; 31; 10-2011; 5545-55531352-2310enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231011004821info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-03T10:11:29Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/17301instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-03 10:11:30.233CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
title Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
spellingShingle Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
Carvalho, A.
Climate Change
Future Fire Activity
Forest Fire Emissions
Air Quality Modeling
title_short Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
title_full Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
title_fullStr Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
title_full_unstemmed Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
title_sort Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Carvalho, A.
Monteiro, A.
Flannigan, M.
Solman, Silvina Alicia
Miranda, A. I.
Borrego, C.
author Carvalho, A.
author_facet Carvalho, A.
Monteiro, A.
Flannigan, M.
Solman, Silvina Alicia
Miranda, A. I.
Borrego, C.
author_role author
author2 Monteiro, A.
Flannigan, M.
Solman, Silvina Alicia
Miranda, A. I.
Borrego, C.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Climate Change
Future Fire Activity
Forest Fire Emissions
Air Quality Modeling
topic Climate Change
Future Fire Activity
Forest Fire Emissions
Air Quality Modeling
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv In a future climate scenario forest fire activity over Portugal will substantially increase and consequently area burned and forest fire emissions to the atmosphere are also expected to increase. This study investigated the impact of future forest fire emissions on air quality over Portugal under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Reference and future climate change scenarios were simulated using the MM5/CHIMERE air quality modelling system, which was applied over Europe and over Portugal, using nesting capabilities. The initial and boundary conditions were provided by the HadAM3P model simulations for the reference and the future climate. The forest fire emissions were estimated using a methodology, which included the selection of emission factors for each pollutant, burning efficiency, fuel loads and the predicted area burned. These emissions were added to the simulation grid using specific parameterizations for their vertical distribution. Modelling results for Portugal pointed out that future forest fire activity will increase the O3 concentrations of almost 23 μg m−3 by 2100 but a decrease of approximately 6 μg m−3 is detected close to the main forest fire locations. Future forest fire emissions will also impact the PM10 concentrations over Portugal with increases reaching 20 μg m−3 along the Northern coastal region in July. The highest increases are estimated over the north and centre of Portugal where the area burned projections in future climate are higher.
Fil: Carvalho, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Monteiro, A.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Flannigan, M.. University of Alberta; Canadá
Fil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera; Argentina
Fil: Miranda, A. I.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
Fil: Borrego, C.. Universidade de Aveiro; Portugal
description In a future climate scenario forest fire activity over Portugal will substantially increase and consequently area burned and forest fire emissions to the atmosphere are also expected to increase. This study investigated the impact of future forest fire emissions on air quality over Portugal under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Reference and future climate change scenarios were simulated using the MM5/CHIMERE air quality modelling system, which was applied over Europe and over Portugal, using nesting capabilities. The initial and boundary conditions were provided by the HadAM3P model simulations for the reference and the future climate. The forest fire emissions were estimated using a methodology, which included the selection of emission factors for each pollutant, burning efficiency, fuel loads and the predicted area burned. These emissions were added to the simulation grid using specific parameterizations for their vertical distribution. Modelling results for Portugal pointed out that future forest fire activity will increase the O3 concentrations of almost 23 μg m−3 by 2100 but a decrease of approximately 6 μg m−3 is detected close to the main forest fire locations. Future forest fire emissions will also impact the PM10 concentrations over Portugal with increases reaching 20 μg m−3 along the Northern coastal region in July. The highest increases are estimated over the north and centre of Portugal where the area burned projections in future climate are higher.
publishDate 2011
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2011-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/17301
Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Miranda, A. I.; et al.; Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality; Elsevier; Atmospheric Environment; 45; 31; 10-2011; 5545-5553
1352-2310
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/17301
identifier_str_mv Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Miranda, A. I.; et al.; Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality; Elsevier; Atmospheric Environment; 45; 31; 10-2011; 5545-5553
1352-2310
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231011004821
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
_version_ 1842270160684056576
score 13.13397

Publicaciones similares