Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot

Autores
Law, Elizabeth A.; Macchi, Leandro; Baumann, Matthias; Decarre, Julieta; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; Levers, Christian; Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique; Murray, Francisco; Müller, Daniel; Piquer Rodríguez, María; Torres, Ricardo Marcelo; Wilson, Kerrie A.; Kuemmerle, Tobias
Año de publicación
2021
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Strong trade-offs between agriculture and the environment occur in deforestation frontiers, particularly in the world's rapidly disappearing tropical and subtropical dry forests. Pathways to mitigate these trade-offs are often unclear, as well as how deforestation or different policies alter the option space of available pathways. Using a spatial optimization framework based on linear programming, we develop a landscape-scale possibility frontier describing trade-offs between agricultural profit, biodiversity, and carbon stock for the Argentinean Dry Chaco, a global deforestation hotspot. We use this framework to assess how current land-use zoning, as well as past and future land-use-trajectories, alter the option space to minimize trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon, and agriculture. Our analyses yield four major insights. First, we found substantial co-benefits between biodiversity and carbon, yet strong trade-offs of both with agriculture. Second, development according to the current zoning could lead to highly suboptimal socio-ecological outcomes; our analysis pinpoints how this zoning could be improved. Third, high landscape-scale multifunctionality can be achieved using different land-use strategies, but maintaining >40% of forest is essential in all of them, and silvopasture systems appear to be central for achieving high overall multifunctionality. Finally, our results suggest the window of opportunity is closing rapidly: recent land-use changes since 2000 have rapidly moved the Chaco within the option space, with forest extent declining towards critical thresholds for maintaining balanced, multifunctional landscapes. Our results emphasize that the time for sustainability planning in the Chaco is now. More broadly, we show how multi-criteria optimization can describe dynamic trade-offs between agriculture and the environment at landscape and regional scales. This can help to identify land-system tipping points that, once crossed, would inhibit more sustainable futures, and policies to avoid such potential traps.
Fil: Law, Elizabeth A.. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research.; Noruega
Fil: Macchi, Leandro. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Baumann, Matthias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Decarre, Julieta. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; Argentina
Fil: Levers, Christian. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Países Bajos
Fil: Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias. Laboratorio de Agroecología; Argentina
Fil: Murray, Francisco. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional La Pampa-San Luis. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria San Luis. Agencia de Extensión Rural San Luis; Argentina
Fil: Müller, Daniel. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies; Alemania
Fil: Piquer Rodríguez, María. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Freie Universität Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Torres, Ricardo Marcelo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Wilson, Kerrie A.. Queensland University of Technology; Australia
Fil: Kuemmerle, Tobias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
Materia
AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION
AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION
CONSERVATION PLANNING
PARETO FRONTIER
SPATIAL PRIORITIZATION
TROPICAL DRY FORESTS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/170798
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/170798
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspotLaw, Elizabeth A.Macchi, LeandroBaumann, MatthiasDecarre, JulietaGavier Pizarro, GregorioLevers, ChristianMastrangelo, Matias EnriqueMurray, FranciscoMüller, DanielPiquer Rodríguez, MaríaTorres, Ricardo MarceloWilson, Kerrie A.Kuemmerle, TobiasAGRICULTURAL EXPANSIONAGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATIONCONSERVATION PLANNINGPARETO FRONTIERSPATIAL PRIORITIZATIONTROPICAL DRY FORESTShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Strong trade-offs between agriculture and the environment occur in deforestation frontiers, particularly in the world's rapidly disappearing tropical and subtropical dry forests. Pathways to mitigate these trade-offs are often unclear, as well as how deforestation or different policies alter the option space of available pathways. Using a spatial optimization framework based on linear programming, we develop a landscape-scale possibility frontier describing trade-offs between agricultural profit, biodiversity, and carbon stock for the Argentinean Dry Chaco, a global deforestation hotspot. We use this framework to assess how current land-use zoning, as well as past and future land-use-trajectories, alter the option space to minimize trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon, and agriculture. Our analyses yield four major insights. First, we found substantial co-benefits between biodiversity and carbon, yet strong trade-offs of both with agriculture. Second, development according to the current zoning could lead to highly suboptimal socio-ecological outcomes; our analysis pinpoints how this zoning could be improved. Third, high landscape-scale multifunctionality can be achieved using different land-use strategies, but maintaining >40% of forest is essential in all of them, and silvopasture systems appear to be central for achieving high overall multifunctionality. Finally, our results suggest the window of opportunity is closing rapidly: recent land-use changes since 2000 have rapidly moved the Chaco within the option space, with forest extent declining towards critical thresholds for maintaining balanced, multifunctional landscapes. Our results emphasize that the time for sustainability planning in the Chaco is now. More broadly, we show how multi-criteria optimization can describe dynamic trade-offs between agriculture and the environment at landscape and regional scales. This can help to identify land-system tipping points that, once crossed, would inhibit more sustainable futures, and policies to avoid such potential traps.Fil: Law, Elizabeth A.. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research.; NoruegaFil: Macchi, Leandro. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; AlemaniaFil: Baumann, Matthias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; AlemaniaFil: Decarre, Julieta. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; ArgentinaFil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; ArgentinaFil: Levers, Christian. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Países BajosFil: Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias. Laboratorio de Agroecología; ArgentinaFil: Murray, Francisco. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional La Pampa-San Luis. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria San Luis. Agencia de Extensión Rural San Luis; ArgentinaFil: Müller, Daniel. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies; AlemaniaFil: Piquer Rodríguez, María. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Freie Universität Berlin; AlemaniaFil: Torres, Ricardo Marcelo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; ArgentinaFil: Wilson, Kerrie A.. Queensland University of Technology; AustraliaFil: Kuemmerle, Tobias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; AlemaniaElsevier2021-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/170798Law, Elizabeth A.; Macchi, Leandro; Baumann, Matthias; Decarre, Julieta; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; et al.; Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot; Elsevier; Biological Conservation; 262; 10-2021; 1-120006-3207CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320721003621info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109310info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-10T13:05:13Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/170798instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-10 13:05:13.258CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
title Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
spellingShingle Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
Law, Elizabeth A.
AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION
AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION
CONSERVATION PLANNING
PARETO FRONTIER
SPATIAL PRIORITIZATION
TROPICAL DRY FORESTS
title_short Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
title_full Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
title_fullStr Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
title_full_unstemmed Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
title_sort Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Law, Elizabeth A.
Macchi, Leandro
Baumann, Matthias
Decarre, Julieta
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Levers, Christian
Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique
Murray, Francisco
Müller, Daniel
Piquer Rodríguez, María
Torres, Ricardo Marcelo
Wilson, Kerrie A.
Kuemmerle, Tobias
author Law, Elizabeth A.
author_facet Law, Elizabeth A.
Macchi, Leandro
Baumann, Matthias
Decarre, Julieta
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Levers, Christian
Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique
Murray, Francisco
Müller, Daniel
Piquer Rodríguez, María
Torres, Ricardo Marcelo
Wilson, Kerrie A.
Kuemmerle, Tobias
author_role author
author2 Macchi, Leandro
Baumann, Matthias
Decarre, Julieta
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio
Levers, Christian
Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique
Murray, Francisco
Müller, Daniel
Piquer Rodríguez, María
Torres, Ricardo Marcelo
Wilson, Kerrie A.
Kuemmerle, Tobias
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION
AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION
CONSERVATION PLANNING
PARETO FRONTIER
SPATIAL PRIORITIZATION
TROPICAL DRY FORESTS
topic AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION
AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION
CONSERVATION PLANNING
PARETO FRONTIER
SPATIAL PRIORITIZATION
TROPICAL DRY FORESTS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Strong trade-offs between agriculture and the environment occur in deforestation frontiers, particularly in the world's rapidly disappearing tropical and subtropical dry forests. Pathways to mitigate these trade-offs are often unclear, as well as how deforestation or different policies alter the option space of available pathways. Using a spatial optimization framework based on linear programming, we develop a landscape-scale possibility frontier describing trade-offs between agricultural profit, biodiversity, and carbon stock for the Argentinean Dry Chaco, a global deforestation hotspot. We use this framework to assess how current land-use zoning, as well as past and future land-use-trajectories, alter the option space to minimize trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon, and agriculture. Our analyses yield four major insights. First, we found substantial co-benefits between biodiversity and carbon, yet strong trade-offs of both with agriculture. Second, development according to the current zoning could lead to highly suboptimal socio-ecological outcomes; our analysis pinpoints how this zoning could be improved. Third, high landscape-scale multifunctionality can be achieved using different land-use strategies, but maintaining >40% of forest is essential in all of them, and silvopasture systems appear to be central for achieving high overall multifunctionality. Finally, our results suggest the window of opportunity is closing rapidly: recent land-use changes since 2000 have rapidly moved the Chaco within the option space, with forest extent declining towards critical thresholds for maintaining balanced, multifunctional landscapes. Our results emphasize that the time for sustainability planning in the Chaco is now. More broadly, we show how multi-criteria optimization can describe dynamic trade-offs between agriculture and the environment at landscape and regional scales. This can help to identify land-system tipping points that, once crossed, would inhibit more sustainable futures, and policies to avoid such potential traps.
Fil: Law, Elizabeth A.. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Norwegian Institute For Nature Research.; Noruega
Fil: Macchi, Leandro. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Baumann, Matthias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Decarre, Julieta. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; Argentina
Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales. Instituto de Recursos Biológicos; Argentina
Fil: Levers, Christian. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Países Bajos
Fil: Mastrangelo, Matias Enrique. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias. Laboratorio de Agroecología; Argentina
Fil: Murray, Francisco. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Centro Regional La Pampa-San Luis. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria San Luis. Agencia de Extensión Rural San Luis; Argentina
Fil: Müller, Daniel. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies; Alemania
Fil: Piquer Rodríguez, María. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania. Freie Universität Berlin; Alemania
Fil: Torres, Ricardo Marcelo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina
Fil: Wilson, Kerrie A.. Queensland University of Technology; Australia
Fil: Kuemmerle, Tobias. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Alemania
description Strong trade-offs between agriculture and the environment occur in deforestation frontiers, particularly in the world's rapidly disappearing tropical and subtropical dry forests. Pathways to mitigate these trade-offs are often unclear, as well as how deforestation or different policies alter the option space of available pathways. Using a spatial optimization framework based on linear programming, we develop a landscape-scale possibility frontier describing trade-offs between agricultural profit, biodiversity, and carbon stock for the Argentinean Dry Chaco, a global deforestation hotspot. We use this framework to assess how current land-use zoning, as well as past and future land-use-trajectories, alter the option space to minimize trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon, and agriculture. Our analyses yield four major insights. First, we found substantial co-benefits between biodiversity and carbon, yet strong trade-offs of both with agriculture. Second, development according to the current zoning could lead to highly suboptimal socio-ecological outcomes; our analysis pinpoints how this zoning could be improved. Third, high landscape-scale multifunctionality can be achieved using different land-use strategies, but maintaining >40% of forest is essential in all of them, and silvopasture systems appear to be central for achieving high overall multifunctionality. Finally, our results suggest the window of opportunity is closing rapidly: recent land-use changes since 2000 have rapidly moved the Chaco within the option space, with forest extent declining towards critical thresholds for maintaining balanced, multifunctional landscapes. Our results emphasize that the time for sustainability planning in the Chaco is now. More broadly, we show how multi-criteria optimization can describe dynamic trade-offs between agriculture and the environment at landscape and regional scales. This can help to identify land-system tipping points that, once crossed, would inhibit more sustainable futures, and policies to avoid such potential traps.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/170798
Law, Elizabeth A.; Macchi, Leandro; Baumann, Matthias; Decarre, Julieta; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; et al.; Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot; Elsevier; Biological Conservation; 262; 10-2021; 1-12
0006-3207
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/170798
identifier_str_mv Law, Elizabeth A.; Macchi, Leandro; Baumann, Matthias; Decarre, Julieta; Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio; et al.; Fading opportunities for mitigating agriculture-environment trade-offs in a south American deforestation hotspot; Elsevier; Biological Conservation; 262; 10-2021; 1-12
0006-3207
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320721003621
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109310
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
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instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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