Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations

Autores
Condon, Robert H.; Duarte, Carlos M.; Pitt, Kylie A.; Robinson, Kelly L.; Lucas, Cathy H.; Sutherland, Kelly R.; Mianzan, Hermes Walter; Bogeberg, Molly; Purcell, Jennifer E.; Decker, Mary Beth; Uye, Shin-ichi; Madin, Laurence P.; Brodeur, Richard; Haddock, Steven H.D.; Malej, Alenka; Parry, Gregory D.; Eriksen, Elena; Quiñones, Javier; Acha, Milena; Harvey, Michel; Arthur, James M.; Graham, William M.
Año de publicación
2013
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
A perceived recent increase in global jellyfish abundance has been portrayed as a symptom of degraded oceans. This perception is based primarily on a few case studies and anecdotal evidence, but a formal analysis of global temporal trends in jellyfish populations has been missing. Here, we analyze all available long-term datasets on changes in jellyfish abundance across multiple coastal stations, using linear and logistic mixed models and effect-size analysis to showthat there is norobust evidence for a global increase in jellyfish. Although there has been a small linear increase in jellyfish since the 1970s, this trend was unsubstantiated by effect-size analysis that showed no difference in the proportion of increasing vs. decreasing jellyfish populations over all time periods examined. Rather, the strongest nonrandom trend indicated jellyfish populations undergo larger, worldwide oscillations with an approximate 20-y periodicity, including a rising phase during the 1990s that contributed to the perception of a global increase in jellyfish abundance. Sustained monitoring is required over the next decade to elucidate with statistical confidence whether theweak increasing linear trend in jellyfish after 1970 is an actual shift in the baseline or part of an oscillation. Irrespective of the nature of increase, given the potential damage posed by jellyfish blooms to fisheries, tourism, and other human industries, our findings foretell recurrent phases of rise and fall in jellyfish populations that society should be prepared to face.
Fil: Condon, Robert H.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados Unidos
Fil: Duarte, Carlos M.. University of Western Australia; Australia
Fil: Pitt, Kylie A.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; Australia
Fil: Robinson, Kelly L.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados Unidos
Fil: Lucas, Cathy H.. University of Southampton; Reino Unido
Fil: Sutherland, Kelly R.. University of Oregon; Estados Unidos
Fil: Mianzan, Hermes Walter. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; Argentina
Fil: Bogeberg, Molly. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Australia
Fil: Purcell, Jennifer E.. Western Washington University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Decker, Mary Beth. University of Yale; Estados Unidos
Fil: Uye, Shin-ichi. Hiroshima University; Japón
Fil: Madin, Laurence P.. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Estados Unidos
Fil: Brodeur, Richard. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Fisheries; Estados Unidos
Fil: Haddock, Steven H.D.. Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute; Estados Unidos
Fil: Malej, Alenka. National Institute of Biology; Eslovenia
Fil: Parry, Gregory D.. Department of Primary Industries; Australia
Fil: Eriksen, Elena. Institute of Marine Research; Noruega
Fil: Quiñones, Javier. Instituto del Mar del Perú; Perú
Fil: Acha, Milena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; Argentina
Fil: Harvey, Michel. Institut Maurice-Lamontagne; Canadá
Fil: Arthur, James M.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; Australia
Fil: Graham, William M.. University Of Mississippi; Estados Unidos
Materia
Decadal Cycles
Synchrony
Jellyfish
Blooms
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/29313
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/29313
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillationsCondon, Robert H.Duarte, Carlos M.Pitt, Kylie A.Robinson, Kelly L.Lucas, Cathy H.Sutherland, Kelly R.Mianzan, Hermes WalterBogeberg, MollyPurcell, Jennifer E.Decker, Mary BethUye, Shin-ichiMadin, Laurence P.Brodeur, RichardHaddock, Steven H.D.Malej, AlenkaParry, Gregory D.Eriksen, ElenaQuiñones, JavierAcha, MilenaHarvey, MichelArthur, James M.Graham, William M.Decadal CyclesSynchronyJellyfishBloomshttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1A perceived recent increase in global jellyfish abundance has been portrayed as a symptom of degraded oceans. This perception is based primarily on a few case studies and anecdotal evidence, but a formal analysis of global temporal trends in jellyfish populations has been missing. Here, we analyze all available long-term datasets on changes in jellyfish abundance across multiple coastal stations, using linear and logistic mixed models and effect-size analysis to showthat there is norobust evidence for a global increase in jellyfish. Although there has been a small linear increase in jellyfish since the 1970s, this trend was unsubstantiated by effect-size analysis that showed no difference in the proportion of increasing vs. decreasing jellyfish populations over all time periods examined. Rather, the strongest nonrandom trend indicated jellyfish populations undergo larger, worldwide oscillations with an approximate 20-y periodicity, including a rising phase during the 1990s that contributed to the perception of a global increase in jellyfish abundance. Sustained monitoring is required over the next decade to elucidate with statistical confidence whether theweak increasing linear trend in jellyfish after 1970 is an actual shift in the baseline or part of an oscillation. Irrespective of the nature of increase, given the potential damage posed by jellyfish blooms to fisheries, tourism, and other human industries, our findings foretell recurrent phases of rise and fall in jellyfish populations that society should be prepared to face.Fil: Condon, Robert H.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados UnidosFil: Duarte, Carlos M.. University of Western Australia; AustraliaFil: Pitt, Kylie A.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; AustraliaFil: Robinson, Kelly L.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados UnidosFil: Lucas, Cathy H.. University of Southampton; Reino UnidoFil: Sutherland, Kelly R.. University of Oregon; Estados UnidosFil: Mianzan, Hermes Walter. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; ArgentinaFil: Bogeberg, Molly. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; AustraliaFil: Purcell, Jennifer E.. Western Washington University; Estados UnidosFil: Decker, Mary Beth. University of Yale; Estados UnidosFil: Uye, Shin-ichi. Hiroshima University; JapónFil: Madin, Laurence P.. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Estados UnidosFil: Brodeur, Richard. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Fisheries; Estados UnidosFil: Haddock, Steven H.D.. Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute; Estados UnidosFil: Malej, Alenka. National Institute of Biology; EsloveniaFil: Parry, Gregory D.. Department of Primary Industries; AustraliaFil: Eriksen, Elena. Institute of Marine Research; NoruegaFil: Quiñones, Javier. Instituto del Mar del Perú; PerúFil: Acha, Milena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; ArgentinaFil: Harvey, Michel. Institut Maurice-Lamontagne; CanadáFil: Arthur, James M.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; AustraliaFil: Graham, William M.. University Of Mississippi; Estados UnidosNational Academy of Sciences2013-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/29313Condon, Robert H.; Duarte, Carlos M.; Pitt, Kylie A.; Robinson, Kelly L.; Lucas, Cathy H.; et al.; Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 3; 1-2013; 1000-10050027-8424CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1073/pnas.1210920110info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.pnas.org/content/110/3/1000info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-15T15:11:39Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/29313instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-15 15:11:40.06CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
title Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
spellingShingle Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
Condon, Robert H.
Decadal Cycles
Synchrony
Jellyfish
Blooms
title_short Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
title_full Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
title_fullStr Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
title_full_unstemmed Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
title_sort Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Condon, Robert H.
Duarte, Carlos M.
Pitt, Kylie A.
Robinson, Kelly L.
Lucas, Cathy H.
Sutherland, Kelly R.
Mianzan, Hermes Walter
Bogeberg, Molly
Purcell, Jennifer E.
Decker, Mary Beth
Uye, Shin-ichi
Madin, Laurence P.
Brodeur, Richard
Haddock, Steven H.D.
Malej, Alenka
Parry, Gregory D.
Eriksen, Elena
Quiñones, Javier
Acha, Milena
Harvey, Michel
Arthur, James M.
Graham, William M.
author Condon, Robert H.
author_facet Condon, Robert H.
Duarte, Carlos M.
Pitt, Kylie A.
Robinson, Kelly L.
Lucas, Cathy H.
Sutherland, Kelly R.
Mianzan, Hermes Walter
Bogeberg, Molly
Purcell, Jennifer E.
Decker, Mary Beth
Uye, Shin-ichi
Madin, Laurence P.
Brodeur, Richard
Haddock, Steven H.D.
Malej, Alenka
Parry, Gregory D.
Eriksen, Elena
Quiñones, Javier
Acha, Milena
Harvey, Michel
Arthur, James M.
Graham, William M.
author_role author
author2 Duarte, Carlos M.
Pitt, Kylie A.
Robinson, Kelly L.
Lucas, Cathy H.
Sutherland, Kelly R.
Mianzan, Hermes Walter
Bogeberg, Molly
Purcell, Jennifer E.
Decker, Mary Beth
Uye, Shin-ichi
Madin, Laurence P.
Brodeur, Richard
Haddock, Steven H.D.
Malej, Alenka
Parry, Gregory D.
Eriksen, Elena
Quiñones, Javier
Acha, Milena
Harvey, Michel
Arthur, James M.
Graham, William M.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Decadal Cycles
Synchrony
Jellyfish
Blooms
topic Decadal Cycles
Synchrony
Jellyfish
Blooms
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv A perceived recent increase in global jellyfish abundance has been portrayed as a symptom of degraded oceans. This perception is based primarily on a few case studies and anecdotal evidence, but a formal analysis of global temporal trends in jellyfish populations has been missing. Here, we analyze all available long-term datasets on changes in jellyfish abundance across multiple coastal stations, using linear and logistic mixed models and effect-size analysis to showthat there is norobust evidence for a global increase in jellyfish. Although there has been a small linear increase in jellyfish since the 1970s, this trend was unsubstantiated by effect-size analysis that showed no difference in the proportion of increasing vs. decreasing jellyfish populations over all time periods examined. Rather, the strongest nonrandom trend indicated jellyfish populations undergo larger, worldwide oscillations with an approximate 20-y periodicity, including a rising phase during the 1990s that contributed to the perception of a global increase in jellyfish abundance. Sustained monitoring is required over the next decade to elucidate with statistical confidence whether theweak increasing linear trend in jellyfish after 1970 is an actual shift in the baseline or part of an oscillation. Irrespective of the nature of increase, given the potential damage posed by jellyfish blooms to fisheries, tourism, and other human industries, our findings foretell recurrent phases of rise and fall in jellyfish populations that society should be prepared to face.
Fil: Condon, Robert H.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados Unidos
Fil: Duarte, Carlos M.. University of Western Australia; Australia
Fil: Pitt, Kylie A.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; Australia
Fil: Robinson, Kelly L.. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Estados Unidos
Fil: Lucas, Cathy H.. University of Southampton; Reino Unido
Fil: Sutherland, Kelly R.. University of Oregon; Estados Unidos
Fil: Mianzan, Hermes Walter. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; Argentina
Fil: Bogeberg, Molly. Dauphin Island Sea Laboratory; Australia
Fil: Purcell, Jennifer E.. Western Washington University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Decker, Mary Beth. University of Yale; Estados Unidos
Fil: Uye, Shin-ichi. Hiroshima University; Japón
Fil: Madin, Laurence P.. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Estados Unidos
Fil: Brodeur, Richard. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Fisheries; Estados Unidos
Fil: Haddock, Steven H.D.. Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute; Estados Unidos
Fil: Malej, Alenka. National Institute of Biology; Eslovenia
Fil: Parry, Gregory D.. Department of Primary Industries; Australia
Fil: Eriksen, Elena. Institute of Marine Research; Noruega
Fil: Quiñones, Javier. Instituto del Mar del Perú; Perú
Fil: Acha, Milena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Subsede Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Pesquero; Argentina
Fil: Harvey, Michel. Institut Maurice-Lamontagne; Canadá
Fil: Arthur, James M.. Australian Rivers Institute and Griffith School of Environment; Australia
Fil: Graham, William M.. University Of Mississippi; Estados Unidos
description A perceived recent increase in global jellyfish abundance has been portrayed as a symptom of degraded oceans. This perception is based primarily on a few case studies and anecdotal evidence, but a formal analysis of global temporal trends in jellyfish populations has been missing. Here, we analyze all available long-term datasets on changes in jellyfish abundance across multiple coastal stations, using linear and logistic mixed models and effect-size analysis to showthat there is norobust evidence for a global increase in jellyfish. Although there has been a small linear increase in jellyfish since the 1970s, this trend was unsubstantiated by effect-size analysis that showed no difference in the proportion of increasing vs. decreasing jellyfish populations over all time periods examined. Rather, the strongest nonrandom trend indicated jellyfish populations undergo larger, worldwide oscillations with an approximate 20-y periodicity, including a rising phase during the 1990s that contributed to the perception of a global increase in jellyfish abundance. Sustained monitoring is required over the next decade to elucidate with statistical confidence whether theweak increasing linear trend in jellyfish after 1970 is an actual shift in the baseline or part of an oscillation. Irrespective of the nature of increase, given the potential damage posed by jellyfish blooms to fisheries, tourism, and other human industries, our findings foretell recurrent phases of rise and fall in jellyfish populations that society should be prepared to face.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/29313
Condon, Robert H.; Duarte, Carlos M.; Pitt, Kylie A.; Robinson, Kelly L.; Lucas, Cathy H.; et al.; Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 3; 1-2013; 1000-1005
0027-8424
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/29313
identifier_str_mv Condon, Robert H.; Duarte, Carlos M.; Pitt, Kylie A.; Robinson, Kelly L.; Lucas, Cathy H.; et al.; Recurrent jellyfish blooms are a consequence of global oscillations; National Academy of Sciences; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America; 110; 3; 1-2013; 1000-1005
0027-8424
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1073/pnas.1210920110
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://www.pnas.org/content/110/3/1000
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv National Academy of Sciences
publisher.none.fl_str_mv National Academy of Sciences
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.22299

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