Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030)
- Autores
- Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Aide, T. Mitchell
- Año de publicación
- 2011
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Abstract Global trends of increasing rural-urban migration and population urbanization could provide opportunities for nature conservation, particularly in regions where deforestation is driven by subsistence agriculture. We analyzed the role of rural population as a driver of deforestation and its contribution to urban population growth from 1970 to the present in the Atlantic Forest of Argentina, a global conservation priority. We created future land-use-cover scenarios based on human demographic parameters and the relationship between rural population and land-cover change between 1970 and 2006. In 2006, native forest covered 50% of the province, but by 2030 all scenarios predicted a decrease that ranged from 18 to 39% forest cover. Between 1970 and 2001, rural migrants represented 20% of urban population growth and are expected to represent less than 10% by 2030. This modeling approach shows how rural-urban migration and land-use planning can favor nature conservation with little impact on urban areas.
Fil: Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlántico; Argentina
Fil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina
Fil: Aide, T. Mitchell. Universidad de Puerto Rico; Puerto Rico - Materia
-
DEFORESTATION
GLOBALIZATION
HUMAN DEMOGRAPHY
LANDSCAPE PLANNING
STELLA
SUBTROPICAL ARGENTINA - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
.jpg)
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/71985
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030)Izquierdo, Andrea ElisaGrau, Hector RicardoAide, T. MitchellDEFORESTATIONGLOBALIZATIONHUMAN DEMOGRAPHYLANDSCAPE PLANNINGSTELLASUBTROPICAL ARGENTINAhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.7https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5Abstract Global trends of increasing rural-urban migration and population urbanization could provide opportunities for nature conservation, particularly in regions where deforestation is driven by subsistence agriculture. We analyzed the role of rural population as a driver of deforestation and its contribution to urban population growth from 1970 to the present in the Atlantic Forest of Argentina, a global conservation priority. We created future land-use-cover scenarios based on human demographic parameters and the relationship between rural population and land-cover change between 1970 and 2006. In 2006, native forest covered 50% of the province, but by 2030 all scenarios predicted a decrease that ranged from 18 to 39% forest cover. Between 1970 and 2001, rural migrants represented 20% of urban population growth and are expected to represent less than 10% by 2030. This modeling approach shows how rural-urban migration and land-use planning can favor nature conservation with little impact on urban areas.Fil: Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlántico; ArgentinaFil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; ArgentinaFil: Aide, T. Mitchell. Universidad de Puerto Rico; Puerto RicoRoyal Swedish Acad Sciences2011-05info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/71985Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Aide, T. Mitchell; Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 40; 3; 5-2011; 298-3090044-7447CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s13280-010-0095-3info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-010-0095-3info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357799/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-11-26T08:47:12Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/71985instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-11-26 08:47:12.905CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| title |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| spellingShingle |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa DEFORESTATION GLOBALIZATION HUMAN DEMOGRAPHY LANDSCAPE PLANNING STELLA SUBTROPICAL ARGENTINA |
| title_short |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| title_full |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| title_fullStr |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| title_sort |
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030) |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa Grau, Hector Ricardo Aide, T. Mitchell |
| author |
Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa |
| author_facet |
Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa Grau, Hector Ricardo Aide, T. Mitchell |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Grau, Hector Ricardo Aide, T. Mitchell |
| author2_role |
author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
DEFORESTATION GLOBALIZATION HUMAN DEMOGRAPHY LANDSCAPE PLANNING STELLA SUBTROPICAL ARGENTINA |
| topic |
DEFORESTATION GLOBALIZATION HUMAN DEMOGRAPHY LANDSCAPE PLANNING STELLA SUBTROPICAL ARGENTINA |
| purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5.7 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/5 |
| dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Abstract Global trends of increasing rural-urban migration and population urbanization could provide opportunities for nature conservation, particularly in regions where deforestation is driven by subsistence agriculture. We analyzed the role of rural population as a driver of deforestation and its contribution to urban population growth from 1970 to the present in the Atlantic Forest of Argentina, a global conservation priority. We created future land-use-cover scenarios based on human demographic parameters and the relationship between rural population and land-cover change between 1970 and 2006. In 2006, native forest covered 50% of the province, but by 2030 all scenarios predicted a decrease that ranged from 18 to 39% forest cover. Between 1970 and 2001, rural migrants represented 20% of urban population growth and are expected to represent less than 10% by 2030. This modeling approach shows how rural-urban migration and land-use planning can favor nature conservation with little impact on urban areas. Fil: Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlántico; Argentina Fil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina Fil: Aide, T. Mitchell. Universidad de Puerto Rico; Puerto Rico |
| description |
Abstract Global trends of increasing rural-urban migration and population urbanization could provide opportunities for nature conservation, particularly in regions where deforestation is driven by subsistence agriculture. We analyzed the role of rural population as a driver of deforestation and its contribution to urban population growth from 1970 to the present in the Atlantic Forest of Argentina, a global conservation priority. We created future land-use-cover scenarios based on human demographic parameters and the relationship between rural population and land-cover change between 1970 and 2006. In 2006, native forest covered 50% of the province, but by 2030 all scenarios predicted a decrease that ranged from 18 to 39% forest cover. Between 1970 and 2001, rural migrants represented 20% of urban population growth and are expected to represent less than 10% by 2030. This modeling approach shows how rural-urban migration and land-use planning can favor nature conservation with little impact on urban areas. |
| publishDate |
2011 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2011-05 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
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article |
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publishedVersion |
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http://hdl.handle.net/11336/71985 Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Aide, T. Mitchell; Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 40; 3; 5-2011; 298-309 0044-7447 CONICET Digital CONICET |
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http://hdl.handle.net/11336/71985 |
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Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Aide, T. Mitchell; Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 40; 3; 5-2011; 298-309 0044-7447 CONICET Digital CONICET |
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eng |
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eng |
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Royal Swedish Acad Sciences |
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Royal Swedish Acad Sciences |
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