Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022
- Autores
- Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Salvador Enrique; Nahorski, Zbigniew; Jonas, Mathias; Kovalyshyn, Vasyl; Ialongo, Iolanda; Yashchun, Orysia; Romanchuk, Zoriana
- Año de publicación
- 2024
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/−22 % (95 % confidence interval).
Fil: Bun, Rostyslav. Lviv Polytechnic National University; Ucrania
Fil: Marland, Gregg. Appalachian State University; Estados Unidos
Fil: Oda, Tomohiro. University of Maryland; Estados Unidos
Fil: See, Linda. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria
Fil: Puliafito, Salvador Enrique. Universidad Tecnológica Nacional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza; Argentina
Fil: Nahorski, Zbigniew. Polish Academy of Sciences; Argentina
Fil: Jonas, Mathias. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria
Fil: Kovalyshyn, Vasyl. Lviv State University Of Life Safety; Ucrania
Fil: Ialongo, Iolanda. Finnish Meteorological Institute; Finlandia
Fil: Yashchun, Orysia. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria
Fil: Romanchuk, Zoriana. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria - Materia
-
GHG EMISSION REPORTING
UNCERTAINTY IN GHG EMISSIONS
UNREPORTED GHG EMISSIONS
WAR IN UKRAINE
WARTIME GHG EMISSIONS - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/231248
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022Bun, RostyslavMarland, GreggOda, TomohiroSee, LindaPuliafito, Salvador EnriqueNahorski, ZbigniewJonas, MathiasKovalyshyn, VasylIalongo, IolandaYashchun, OrysiaRomanchuk, ZorianaGHG EMISSION REPORTINGUNCERTAINTY IN GHG EMISSIONSUNREPORTED GHG EMISSIONSWAR IN UKRAINEWARTIME GHG EMISSIONShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/−22 % (95 % confidence interval).Fil: Bun, Rostyslav. Lviv Polytechnic National University; UcraniaFil: Marland, Gregg. Appalachian State University; Estados UnidosFil: Oda, Tomohiro. University of Maryland; Estados UnidosFil: See, Linda. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; AustriaFil: Puliafito, Salvador Enrique. Universidad Tecnológica Nacional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza; ArgentinaFil: Nahorski, Zbigniew. Polish Academy of Sciences; ArgentinaFil: Jonas, Mathias. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; AustriaFil: Kovalyshyn, Vasyl. Lviv State University Of Life Safety; UcraniaFil: Ialongo, Iolanda. Finnish Meteorological Institute; FinlandiaFil: Yashchun, Orysia. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; AustriaFil: Romanchuk, Zoriana. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; AustriaElsevier2024-03info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/231248Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Salvador Enrique; et al.; Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022; Elsevier; Science of the Total Environment; 914; 3-2024; 1-150048-9697CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:32:45Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/231248instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:32:46.186CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
title |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
spellingShingle |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 Bun, Rostyslav GHG EMISSION REPORTING UNCERTAINTY IN GHG EMISSIONS UNREPORTED GHG EMISSIONS WAR IN UKRAINE WARTIME GHG EMISSIONS |
title_short |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
title_full |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
title_fullStr |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
title_sort |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Bun, Rostyslav Marland, Gregg Oda, Tomohiro See, Linda Puliafito, Salvador Enrique Nahorski, Zbigniew Jonas, Mathias Kovalyshyn, Vasyl Ialongo, Iolanda Yashchun, Orysia Romanchuk, Zoriana |
author |
Bun, Rostyslav |
author_facet |
Bun, Rostyslav Marland, Gregg Oda, Tomohiro See, Linda Puliafito, Salvador Enrique Nahorski, Zbigniew Jonas, Mathias Kovalyshyn, Vasyl Ialongo, Iolanda Yashchun, Orysia Romanchuk, Zoriana |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Marland, Gregg Oda, Tomohiro See, Linda Puliafito, Salvador Enrique Nahorski, Zbigniew Jonas, Mathias Kovalyshyn, Vasyl Ialongo, Iolanda Yashchun, Orysia Romanchuk, Zoriana |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
GHG EMISSION REPORTING UNCERTAINTY IN GHG EMISSIONS UNREPORTED GHG EMISSIONS WAR IN UKRAINE WARTIME GHG EMISSIONS |
topic |
GHG EMISSION REPORTING UNCERTAINTY IN GHG EMISSIONS UNREPORTED GHG EMISSIONS WAR IN UKRAINE WARTIME GHG EMISSIONS |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/−22 % (95 % confidence interval). Fil: Bun, Rostyslav. Lviv Polytechnic National University; Ucrania Fil: Marland, Gregg. Appalachian State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Oda, Tomohiro. University of Maryland; Estados Unidos Fil: See, Linda. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria Fil: Puliafito, Salvador Enrique. Universidad Tecnológica Nacional; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza; Argentina Fil: Nahorski, Zbigniew. Polish Academy of Sciences; Argentina Fil: Jonas, Mathias. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria Fil: Kovalyshyn, Vasyl. Lviv State University Of Life Safety; Ucrania Fil: Ialongo, Iolanda. Finnish Meteorological Institute; Finlandia Fil: Yashchun, Orysia. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria Fil: Romanchuk, Zoriana. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis; Austria |
description |
Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/−22 % (95 % confidence interval). |
publishDate |
2024 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024-03 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/231248 Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Salvador Enrique; et al.; Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022; Elsevier; Science of the Total Environment; 914; 3-2024; 1-15 0048-9697 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/231248 |
identifier_str_mv |
Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Salvador Enrique; et al.; Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022; Elsevier; Science of the Total Environment; 914; 3-2024; 1-15 0048-9697 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/ |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
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Elsevier |
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Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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