Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach
- Autores
- López, Walter Rodrigo; Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano; Kehl, Sebastián D.; Ferro, Luis Ignacio; Bellomo, Carla María; Martínez, Valeria P.; Simoy, Mario Ignacio; Gil, José Fernando
- Año de publicación
- 2023
- Idioma
- inglés
- Tipo de recurso
- artículo
- Estado
- versión publicada
- Descripción
- Background: Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) is a rodent-borne zoonosis in the Americas, with up to 50% mortality rates. In Argentina, the Northwestern endemic area presents half of the annually notified HPS cases in the country, transmitted by at least three rodent species recognized as reservoirs of Orthohantavirus. The potential distribution of reservoir species based on ecological niche models (ENM) can be a useful tool to establish risk areas for zoonotic diseases. Our main aim was to generate an Orthohantavirus risk transmission map based on ENM of the reservoir species in northwest Argentina (NWA), to compare this map with the distribution of HPS cases; and to explore the possible effect of climatic and environmental variables on the spatial variation of the infection risk. Methods: Using the reservoir geographic occurrence data, climatic/environmental variables, and the maximum entropy method, we created models of potential geographic distribution for each reservoir in NWA. We explored the overlap of the HPS cases with the reservoir-based risk map and a deforestation map. Then, we calculated the human population at risk using a census radius layer and a comparison of the environmental variables’ latitudinal variation with the distribution of HPS risk. Results: We obtained a single best model for each reservoir. The temperature, rainfall, and vegetation cover contributed the most to the models. In total, 945 HPS cases were recorded, of which 97,85% were in the highest risk areas. We estimated that 18% of the NWA population was at risk and 78% of the cases occurred less than 10 km from deforestation. The highest niche overlap was between Calomys fecundus and Oligoryzomys chacoensis. Conclusions: This study identifies potential risk areas for HPS transmission based on climatic and environmental factors that determine the distribution of the reservoirs and Orthohantavirus transmission in NWA. This can be used by public health authorities as a tool to generate preventive and control measures for HPS in NWA.
Fil: López, Walter Rodrigo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Sede Regional Orán. Instituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales; Argentina
Fil: Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano. Tecnológico de Antioquia Institución Universitaria; Colombia
Fil: Kehl, Sebastián D.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina
Fil: Ferro, Luis Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas; Argentina
Fil: Bellomo, Carla María. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina
Fil: Martínez, Valeria P.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina
Fil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; Argentina
Fil: Gil, José Fernando. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales; Argentina - Materia
-
CALOMYS
ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELING
NORTHWESTERN ARGENTINA
OLIGORYZOMYS
ORTHOHANTAVIRUS
RESERVOIRS
RISK MAP - Nivel de accesibilidad
- acceso abierto
- Condiciones de uso
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
- Repositorio
- Institución
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
- OAI Identificador
- oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/225589
Ver los metadatos del registro completo
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Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approachLópez, Walter RodrigoAltamiranda Saavedra, MarianoKehl, Sebastián D.Ferro, Luis IgnacioBellomo, Carla MaríaMartínez, Valeria P.Simoy, Mario IgnacioGil, José FernandoCALOMYSECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELINGNORTHWESTERN ARGENTINAOLIGORYZOMYSORTHOHANTAVIRUSRESERVOIRSRISK MAPhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3Background: Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) is a rodent-borne zoonosis in the Americas, with up to 50% mortality rates. In Argentina, the Northwestern endemic area presents half of the annually notified HPS cases in the country, transmitted by at least three rodent species recognized as reservoirs of Orthohantavirus. The potential distribution of reservoir species based on ecological niche models (ENM) can be a useful tool to establish risk areas for zoonotic diseases. Our main aim was to generate an Orthohantavirus risk transmission map based on ENM of the reservoir species in northwest Argentina (NWA), to compare this map with the distribution of HPS cases; and to explore the possible effect of climatic and environmental variables on the spatial variation of the infection risk. Methods: Using the reservoir geographic occurrence data, climatic/environmental variables, and the maximum entropy method, we created models of potential geographic distribution for each reservoir in NWA. We explored the overlap of the HPS cases with the reservoir-based risk map and a deforestation map. Then, we calculated the human population at risk using a census radius layer and a comparison of the environmental variables’ latitudinal variation with the distribution of HPS risk. Results: We obtained a single best model for each reservoir. The temperature, rainfall, and vegetation cover contributed the most to the models. In total, 945 HPS cases were recorded, of which 97,85% were in the highest risk areas. We estimated that 18% of the NWA population was at risk and 78% of the cases occurred less than 10 km from deforestation. The highest niche overlap was between Calomys fecundus and Oligoryzomys chacoensis. Conclusions: This study identifies potential risk areas for HPS transmission based on climatic and environmental factors that determine the distribution of the reservoirs and Orthohantavirus transmission in NWA. This can be used by public health authorities as a tool to generate preventive and control measures for HPS in NWA.Fil: López, Walter Rodrigo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Sede Regional Orán. Instituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales; ArgentinaFil: Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano. Tecnológico de Antioquia Institución Universitaria; ColombiaFil: Kehl, Sebastián D.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; ArgentinaFil: Ferro, Luis Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas; ArgentinaFil: Bellomo, Carla María. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; ArgentinaFil: Martínez, Valeria P.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; ArgentinaFil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; ArgentinaFil: Gil, José Fernando. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales; ArgentinaBioMed Central2023-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/225589López, Walter Rodrigo; Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano; Kehl, Sebastián D.; Ferro, Luis Ignacio; Bellomo, Carla María; et al.; Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach; BioMed Central; BMC Public Health; 23; 1; 12-2023; 1-141471-2458CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12889-023-16071-2info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1186/s12889-023-16071-2info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T10:12:19Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/225589instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 10:12:19.781CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
title |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
spellingShingle |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach López, Walter Rodrigo CALOMYS ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELING NORTHWESTERN ARGENTINA OLIGORYZOMYS ORTHOHANTAVIRUS RESERVOIRS RISK MAP |
title_short |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
title_full |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
title_fullStr |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
title_sort |
Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
López, Walter Rodrigo Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano Kehl, Sebastián D. Ferro, Luis Ignacio Bellomo, Carla María Martínez, Valeria P. Simoy, Mario Ignacio Gil, José Fernando |
author |
López, Walter Rodrigo |
author_facet |
López, Walter Rodrigo Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano Kehl, Sebastián D. Ferro, Luis Ignacio Bellomo, Carla María Martínez, Valeria P. Simoy, Mario Ignacio Gil, José Fernando |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano Kehl, Sebastián D. Ferro, Luis Ignacio Bellomo, Carla María Martínez, Valeria P. Simoy, Mario Ignacio Gil, José Fernando |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
CALOMYS ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELING NORTHWESTERN ARGENTINA OLIGORYZOMYS ORTHOHANTAVIRUS RESERVOIRS RISK MAP |
topic |
CALOMYS ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELING NORTHWESTERN ARGENTINA OLIGORYZOMYS ORTHOHANTAVIRUS RESERVOIRS RISK MAP |
purl_subject.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3 |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Background: Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) is a rodent-borne zoonosis in the Americas, with up to 50% mortality rates. In Argentina, the Northwestern endemic area presents half of the annually notified HPS cases in the country, transmitted by at least three rodent species recognized as reservoirs of Orthohantavirus. The potential distribution of reservoir species based on ecological niche models (ENM) can be a useful tool to establish risk areas for zoonotic diseases. Our main aim was to generate an Orthohantavirus risk transmission map based on ENM of the reservoir species in northwest Argentina (NWA), to compare this map with the distribution of HPS cases; and to explore the possible effect of climatic and environmental variables on the spatial variation of the infection risk. Methods: Using the reservoir geographic occurrence data, climatic/environmental variables, and the maximum entropy method, we created models of potential geographic distribution for each reservoir in NWA. We explored the overlap of the HPS cases with the reservoir-based risk map and a deforestation map. Then, we calculated the human population at risk using a census radius layer and a comparison of the environmental variables’ latitudinal variation with the distribution of HPS risk. Results: We obtained a single best model for each reservoir. The temperature, rainfall, and vegetation cover contributed the most to the models. In total, 945 HPS cases were recorded, of which 97,85% were in the highest risk areas. We estimated that 18% of the NWA population was at risk and 78% of the cases occurred less than 10 km from deforestation. The highest niche overlap was between Calomys fecundus and Oligoryzomys chacoensis. Conclusions: This study identifies potential risk areas for HPS transmission based on climatic and environmental factors that determine the distribution of the reservoirs and Orthohantavirus transmission in NWA. This can be used by public health authorities as a tool to generate preventive and control measures for HPS in NWA. Fil: López, Walter Rodrigo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Sede Regional Orán. Instituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales; Argentina Fil: Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano. Tecnológico de Antioquia Institución Universitaria; Colombia Fil: Kehl, Sebastián D.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina Fil: Ferro, Luis Ignacio. Universidad Nacional de Jujuy. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas; Argentina Fil: Bellomo, Carla María. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina Fil: Martínez, Valeria P.. Dirección Nacional de Instituto de Investigación.Administración Nacional de Laboratorios e Institutos de Salud "Dr. Carlos G. Malbrán"; Argentina Fil: Simoy, Mario Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; Argentina Fil: Gil, José Fernando. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energía no Convencional; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Instituto Multidisciplinario de Ecosistemas y Desarrollo Sustentable; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales; Argentina |
description |
Background: Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) is a rodent-borne zoonosis in the Americas, with up to 50% mortality rates. In Argentina, the Northwestern endemic area presents half of the annually notified HPS cases in the country, transmitted by at least three rodent species recognized as reservoirs of Orthohantavirus. The potential distribution of reservoir species based on ecological niche models (ENM) can be a useful tool to establish risk areas for zoonotic diseases. Our main aim was to generate an Orthohantavirus risk transmission map based on ENM of the reservoir species in northwest Argentina (NWA), to compare this map with the distribution of HPS cases; and to explore the possible effect of climatic and environmental variables on the spatial variation of the infection risk. Methods: Using the reservoir geographic occurrence data, climatic/environmental variables, and the maximum entropy method, we created models of potential geographic distribution for each reservoir in NWA. We explored the overlap of the HPS cases with the reservoir-based risk map and a deforestation map. Then, we calculated the human population at risk using a census radius layer and a comparison of the environmental variables’ latitudinal variation with the distribution of HPS risk. Results: We obtained a single best model for each reservoir. The temperature, rainfall, and vegetation cover contributed the most to the models. In total, 945 HPS cases were recorded, of which 97,85% were in the highest risk areas. We estimated that 18% of the NWA population was at risk and 78% of the cases occurred less than 10 km from deforestation. The highest niche overlap was between Calomys fecundus and Oligoryzomys chacoensis. Conclusions: This study identifies potential risk areas for HPS transmission based on climatic and environmental factors that determine the distribution of the reservoirs and Orthohantavirus transmission in NWA. This can be used by public health authorities as a tool to generate preventive and control measures for HPS in NWA. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-12 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/225589 López, Walter Rodrigo; Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano; Kehl, Sebastián D.; Ferro, Luis Ignacio; Bellomo, Carla María; et al.; Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach; BioMed Central; BMC Public Health; 23; 1; 12-2023; 1-14 1471-2458 CONICET Digital CONICET |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/225589 |
identifier_str_mv |
López, Walter Rodrigo; Altamiranda Saavedra, Mariano; Kehl, Sebastián D.; Ferro, Luis Ignacio; Bellomo, Carla María; et al.; Modeling potential risk areas of Orthohantavirus transmission in Northwestern Argentina using an ecological niche approach; BioMed Central; BMC Public Health; 23; 1; 12-2023; 1-14 1471-2458 CONICET Digital CONICET |
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12889-023-16071-2 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1186/s12889-023-16071-2 |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ |
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application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
BioMed Central |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
BioMed Central |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET) instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
reponame_str |
CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) |
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Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
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CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar |
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1844614029449887744 |
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13.070432 |