The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study

Autores
Bardach, Ariel Esteban; Casarini, Agustin; Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico; Adeniran, Adedeji; Castradori, Marco; Akanonu, Precious; Onyekwena, Chukwuka; Espinola, Natalia Micaela; Pichón-riviere, Andres; Palacios, Alfredo
Año de publicación
2022
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Background Globally, tobacco consumption continues to cause a considerable burden of preventable diseases. Although the smoking prevalence in Nigeria may be declining over the last years, the absolute number of active smokers remains one of the highest in Africa. Little is known about the disease burden and economic costs of cigarette smoking in Nigeria. Consequently, there is an evidence gap to inform the design and implementation of an effective policy for tobacco control. Methods We applied a microsimulation model to estimate the burden attributable to smoking in terms of morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and direct medical costs and indirect costs (e.g., productivity loss costs, informal caregivers´ costs). We also modeled the health and economic impact of different scenarios of tobacco price increases through taxes. Results We estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 29,000 annual deaths in Nigeria. This burden corresponds to 816,230 DALYs per year. In 2019, the total economic burden attributable to tobacco was estimated at 634 billion annually (approximately U$D 2.07 billion). If tobacco cigarettes´ prices were to be raised by 50% through taxes, more than 30,000 deaths from smoking-attributable diseases would be averted in 10 years, with subsequent savings on direct and indirect costs of 597 billion and increased tax revenue collection of 369 billion. Conclusion In Nigeria, tobacco is responsible for substantial health and economic burden. Increasing tobacco taxes could reduce this burden and produce net economic benefits.
Fil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Casarini, Agustin. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Adeniran, Adedeji. No especifíca;
Fil: Castradori, Marco. No especifíca;
Fil: Akanonu, Precious. No especifíca;
Fil: Onyekwena, Chukwuka. No especifíca;
Fil: Espinola, Natalia Micaela. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Materia
Health economics
Tobacco control
Smoking habits
Taxes
Nigeria
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Lung and intrathoracic tumors
Public and occupational health
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/223876
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/223876
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling studyBardach, Ariel EstebanCasarini, AgustinRodriguez Cairoli, FedericoAdeniran, AdedejiCastradori, MarcoAkanonu, PreciousOnyekwena, ChukwukaEspinola, Natalia MicaelaPichón-riviere, AndresPalacios, AlfredoHealth economicsTobacco controlSmoking habitsTaxesNigeriaChronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseLung and intrathoracic tumorsPublic and occupational healthhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3Background Globally, tobacco consumption continues to cause a considerable burden of preventable diseases. Although the smoking prevalence in Nigeria may be declining over the last years, the absolute number of active smokers remains one of the highest in Africa. Little is known about the disease burden and economic costs of cigarette smoking in Nigeria. Consequently, there is an evidence gap to inform the design and implementation of an effective policy for tobacco control. Methods We applied a microsimulation model to estimate the burden attributable to smoking in terms of morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and direct medical costs and indirect costs (e.g., productivity loss costs, informal caregivers´ costs). We also modeled the health and economic impact of different scenarios of tobacco price increases through taxes. Results We estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 29,000 annual deaths in Nigeria. This burden corresponds to 816,230 DALYs per year. In 2019, the total economic burden attributable to tobacco was estimated at 634 billion annually (approximately U$D 2.07 billion). If tobacco cigarettes´ prices were to be raised by 50% through taxes, more than 30,000 deaths from smoking-attributable diseases would be averted in 10 years, with subsequent savings on direct and indirect costs of 597 billion and increased tax revenue collection of 369 billion. Conclusion In Nigeria, tobacco is responsible for substantial health and economic burden. Increasing tobacco taxes could reduce this burden and produce net economic benefits.Fil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaFil: Casarini, Agustin. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Adeniran, Adedeji. No especifíca;Fil: Castradori, Marco. No especifíca;Fil: Akanonu, Precious. No especifíca;Fil: Onyekwena, Chukwuka. No especifíca;Fil: Espinola, Natalia Micaela. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaFil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaPublic Library of Science2022-03info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/223876Bardach, Ariel Esteban; Casarini, Agustin; Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico; Adeniran, Adedeji; Castradori, Marco; et al.; The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study; Public Library of Science; Plos One; 17; 3-2022; 1-171932-6203CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0264757info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T11:38:36Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/223876instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 11:38:36.443CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
title The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
spellingShingle The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
Bardach, Ariel Esteban
Health economics
Tobacco control
Smoking habits
Taxes
Nigeria
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Lung and intrathoracic tumors
Public and occupational health
title_short The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
title_full The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
title_fullStr The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
title_full_unstemmed The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
title_sort The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Bardach, Ariel Esteban
Casarini, Agustin
Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico
Adeniran, Adedeji
Castradori, Marco
Akanonu, Precious
Onyekwena, Chukwuka
Espinola, Natalia Micaela
Pichón-riviere, Andres
Palacios, Alfredo
author Bardach, Ariel Esteban
author_facet Bardach, Ariel Esteban
Casarini, Agustin
Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico
Adeniran, Adedeji
Castradori, Marco
Akanonu, Precious
Onyekwena, Chukwuka
Espinola, Natalia Micaela
Pichón-riviere, Andres
Palacios, Alfredo
author_role author
author2 Casarini, Agustin
Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico
Adeniran, Adedeji
Castradori, Marco
Akanonu, Precious
Onyekwena, Chukwuka
Espinola, Natalia Micaela
Pichón-riviere, Andres
Palacios, Alfredo
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Health economics
Tobacco control
Smoking habits
Taxes
Nigeria
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Lung and intrathoracic tumors
Public and occupational health
topic Health economics
Tobacco control
Smoking habits
Taxes
Nigeria
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Lung and intrathoracic tumors
Public and occupational health
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Background Globally, tobacco consumption continues to cause a considerable burden of preventable diseases. Although the smoking prevalence in Nigeria may be declining over the last years, the absolute number of active smokers remains one of the highest in Africa. Little is known about the disease burden and economic costs of cigarette smoking in Nigeria. Consequently, there is an evidence gap to inform the design and implementation of an effective policy for tobacco control. Methods We applied a microsimulation model to estimate the burden attributable to smoking in terms of morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and direct medical costs and indirect costs (e.g., productivity loss costs, informal caregivers´ costs). We also modeled the health and economic impact of different scenarios of tobacco price increases through taxes. Results We estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 29,000 annual deaths in Nigeria. This burden corresponds to 816,230 DALYs per year. In 2019, the total economic burden attributable to tobacco was estimated at 634 billion annually (approximately U$D 2.07 billion). If tobacco cigarettes´ prices were to be raised by 50% through taxes, more than 30,000 deaths from smoking-attributable diseases would be averted in 10 years, with subsequent savings on direct and indirect costs of 597 billion and increased tax revenue collection of 369 billion. Conclusion In Nigeria, tobacco is responsible for substantial health and economic burden. Increasing tobacco taxes could reduce this burden and produce net economic benefits.
Fil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Casarini, Agustin. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Adeniran, Adedeji. No especifíca;
Fil: Castradori, Marco. No especifíca;
Fil: Akanonu, Precious. No especifíca;
Fil: Onyekwena, Chukwuka. No especifíca;
Fil: Espinola, Natalia Micaela. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
description Background Globally, tobacco consumption continues to cause a considerable burden of preventable diseases. Although the smoking prevalence in Nigeria may be declining over the last years, the absolute number of active smokers remains one of the highest in Africa. Little is known about the disease burden and economic costs of cigarette smoking in Nigeria. Consequently, there is an evidence gap to inform the design and implementation of an effective policy for tobacco control. Methods We applied a microsimulation model to estimate the burden attributable to smoking in terms of morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and direct medical costs and indirect costs (e.g., productivity loss costs, informal caregivers´ costs). We also modeled the health and economic impact of different scenarios of tobacco price increases through taxes. Results We estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 29,000 annual deaths in Nigeria. This burden corresponds to 816,230 DALYs per year. In 2019, the total economic burden attributable to tobacco was estimated at 634 billion annually (approximately U$D 2.07 billion). If tobacco cigarettes´ prices were to be raised by 50% through taxes, more than 30,000 deaths from smoking-attributable diseases would be averted in 10 years, with subsequent savings on direct and indirect costs of 597 billion and increased tax revenue collection of 369 billion. Conclusion In Nigeria, tobacco is responsible for substantial health and economic burden. Increasing tobacco taxes could reduce this burden and produce net economic benefits.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-03
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/223876
Bardach, Ariel Esteban; Casarini, Agustin; Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico; Adeniran, Adedeji; Castradori, Marco; et al.; The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study; Public Library of Science; Plos One; 17; 3-2022; 1-17
1932-6203
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/223876
identifier_str_mv Bardach, Ariel Esteban; Casarini, Agustin; Rodriguez Cairoli, Federico; Adeniran, Adedeji; Castradori, Marco; et al.; The estimated benefits of increasing cigarette prices through taxation on the burden of disease and economic burden of smoking in Nigeria: A modeling study; Public Library of Science; Plos One; 17; 3-2022; 1-17
1932-6203
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0264757
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Public Library of Science
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Public Library of Science
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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