Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation

Autores
Wongchuig, Sly; Carlo Espinoza, Jhan; Condom, Thomas; Junquas, Clementine; Sierra, Juan Pablo; Fita Borrell, Lluís; Sörensson, Anna; Polcher, Jan
Año de publicación
2023
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The Amazon forest has a complex interaction with climate at different spatial and temporal scales. This means that alterations in land use could modify the regional water cycle, including the surface and atmospheric water budget. However, little is known about how these changes occur seasonally and in a spatially distributed manner in the most vulnerable regions, such as the southern Amazon. In this study, the local to regional effects of future Amazon deforestation on the surface and atmospheric water budget components are investigated by twin numerical experiments using the Regional Earth System Model of the ‘Institute Pierre Simone Laplace’ (RegIPSL) for 19 yr (2001–2019). The results show that significant changes in precipitation and actual evapotranspiration in the southern Amazon (south of 5°S) are associated with surrounding areas with a deforested ratio higher than 40%. During the onset of the wet season (September-November) the largest changes in convective processes are manifested by opposite atmospheric dynamic in adjacent regions (dipole), associated with. This dynamic is associated with wind orientation and the different sizes of the straight corridors of continuous deforestation (pathways). The dipole manifests itself as a suppression of convection in the upwind sector, while convection increases in the downwind sector of the deforestation pathway. For medium-sized deforestation pathways (∼350 km) convection changes are related to dynamic processes (decrease in surface roughness). In large-sized pathways (∼500 km) the mechanisms causing convective changes are combined, dynamic and thermal (increase in surface temperature). In deforested regions there is an average increase of terrestrial water storage dynamics and runoff ∼10 times higher than in non-deforested regions. Furthermore, the atmosphere becomes ∼8 times drier in deforested regions than in non-deforested regions. Our findings indicate a new perspective regarding a comprehensive modeling approach to understand potential changes in the surface and atmospheric water cycle in different regions of Amazonia and in different seasons due to future deforestation and thus provide new insights into their spatial and temporal variability at sub-regional scales.
Fil: Wongchuig, Sly. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Carlo Espinoza, Jhan. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Condom, Thomas. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Junquas, Clementine. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Sierra, Juan Pablo. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Fita Borrell, Lluís. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Sörensson, Anna. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Polcher, Jan. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia. École Polytechnique; Francia
Materia
CHANGES IN WATER BUDGET
COUPLED LAND–ATMOSPHERE MODELING
FUTURE AMAZON DEFORESTATION
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
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oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/228410
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulationWongchuig, SlyCarlo Espinoza, JhanCondom, ThomasJunquas, ClementineSierra, Juan PabloFita Borrell, LluísSörensson, AnnaPolcher, JanCHANGES IN WATER BUDGETCOUPLED LAND–ATMOSPHERE MODELINGFUTURE AMAZON DEFORESTATIONhttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The Amazon forest has a complex interaction with climate at different spatial and temporal scales. This means that alterations in land use could modify the regional water cycle, including the surface and atmospheric water budget. However, little is known about how these changes occur seasonally and in a spatially distributed manner in the most vulnerable regions, such as the southern Amazon. In this study, the local to regional effects of future Amazon deforestation on the surface and atmospheric water budget components are investigated by twin numerical experiments using the Regional Earth System Model of the ‘Institute Pierre Simone Laplace’ (RegIPSL) for 19 yr (2001–2019). The results show that significant changes in precipitation and actual evapotranspiration in the southern Amazon (south of 5°S) are associated with surrounding areas with a deforested ratio higher than 40%. During the onset of the wet season (September-November) the largest changes in convective processes are manifested by opposite atmospheric dynamic in adjacent regions (dipole), associated with. This dynamic is associated with wind orientation and the different sizes of the straight corridors of continuous deforestation (pathways). The dipole manifests itself as a suppression of convection in the upwind sector, while convection increases in the downwind sector of the deforestation pathway. For medium-sized deforestation pathways (∼350 km) convection changes are related to dynamic processes (decrease in surface roughness). In large-sized pathways (∼500 km) the mechanisms causing convective changes are combined, dynamic and thermal (increase in surface temperature). In deforested regions there is an average increase of terrestrial water storage dynamics and runoff ∼10 times higher than in non-deforested regions. Furthermore, the atmosphere becomes ∼8 times drier in deforested regions than in non-deforested regions. Our findings indicate a new perspective regarding a comprehensive modeling approach to understand potential changes in the surface and atmospheric water cycle in different regions of Amazonia and in different seasons due to future deforestation and thus provide new insights into their spatial and temporal variability at sub-regional scales.Fil: Wongchuig, Sly. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Carlo Espinoza, Jhan. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Condom, Thomas. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Junquas, Clementine. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Sierra, Juan Pablo. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Fita Borrell, Lluís. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; ArgentinaFil: Sörensson, Anna. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Polcher, Jan. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia. École Polytechnique; FranciaElsevier Science2023-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/228410Wongchuig, Sly; Carlo Espinoza, Jhan; Condom, Thomas; Junquas, Clementine; Sierra, Juan Pablo; et al.; Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation; Elsevier Science; Journal of Hydrology; 625; 130082; 10-2023; 1-210022-1694CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169423010247info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130082info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-29T09:40:16Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/228410instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-29 09:40:17.274CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
title Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
spellingShingle Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
Wongchuig, Sly
CHANGES IN WATER BUDGET
COUPLED LAND–ATMOSPHERE MODELING
FUTURE AMAZON DEFORESTATION
title_short Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
title_full Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
title_fullStr Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
title_full_unstemmed Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
title_sort Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Wongchuig, Sly
Carlo Espinoza, Jhan
Condom, Thomas
Junquas, Clementine
Sierra, Juan Pablo
Fita Borrell, Lluís
Sörensson, Anna
Polcher, Jan
author Wongchuig, Sly
author_facet Wongchuig, Sly
Carlo Espinoza, Jhan
Condom, Thomas
Junquas, Clementine
Sierra, Juan Pablo
Fita Borrell, Lluís
Sörensson, Anna
Polcher, Jan
author_role author
author2 Carlo Espinoza, Jhan
Condom, Thomas
Junquas, Clementine
Sierra, Juan Pablo
Fita Borrell, Lluís
Sörensson, Anna
Polcher, Jan
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv CHANGES IN WATER BUDGET
COUPLED LAND–ATMOSPHERE MODELING
FUTURE AMAZON DEFORESTATION
topic CHANGES IN WATER BUDGET
COUPLED LAND–ATMOSPHERE MODELING
FUTURE AMAZON DEFORESTATION
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The Amazon forest has a complex interaction with climate at different spatial and temporal scales. This means that alterations in land use could modify the regional water cycle, including the surface and atmospheric water budget. However, little is known about how these changes occur seasonally and in a spatially distributed manner in the most vulnerable regions, such as the southern Amazon. In this study, the local to regional effects of future Amazon deforestation on the surface and atmospheric water budget components are investigated by twin numerical experiments using the Regional Earth System Model of the ‘Institute Pierre Simone Laplace’ (RegIPSL) for 19 yr (2001–2019). The results show that significant changes in precipitation and actual evapotranspiration in the southern Amazon (south of 5°S) are associated with surrounding areas with a deforested ratio higher than 40%. During the onset of the wet season (September-November) the largest changes in convective processes are manifested by opposite atmospheric dynamic in adjacent regions (dipole), associated with. This dynamic is associated with wind orientation and the different sizes of the straight corridors of continuous deforestation (pathways). The dipole manifests itself as a suppression of convection in the upwind sector, while convection increases in the downwind sector of the deforestation pathway. For medium-sized deforestation pathways (∼350 km) convection changes are related to dynamic processes (decrease in surface roughness). In large-sized pathways (∼500 km) the mechanisms causing convective changes are combined, dynamic and thermal (increase in surface temperature). In deforested regions there is an average increase of terrestrial water storage dynamics and runoff ∼10 times higher than in non-deforested regions. Furthermore, the atmosphere becomes ∼8 times drier in deforested regions than in non-deforested regions. Our findings indicate a new perspective regarding a comprehensive modeling approach to understand potential changes in the surface and atmospheric water cycle in different regions of Amazonia and in different seasons due to future deforestation and thus provide new insights into their spatial and temporal variability at sub-regional scales.
Fil: Wongchuig, Sly. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Carlo Espinoza, Jhan. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Condom, Thomas. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Junquas, Clementine. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Sierra, Juan Pablo. Universite Grenoble Alpes; Francia
Fil: Fita Borrell, Lluís. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
Fil: Sörensson, Anna. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Polcher, Jan. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia. École Polytechnique; Francia
description The Amazon forest has a complex interaction with climate at different spatial and temporal scales. This means that alterations in land use could modify the regional water cycle, including the surface and atmospheric water budget. However, little is known about how these changes occur seasonally and in a spatially distributed manner in the most vulnerable regions, such as the southern Amazon. In this study, the local to regional effects of future Amazon deforestation on the surface and atmospheric water budget components are investigated by twin numerical experiments using the Regional Earth System Model of the ‘Institute Pierre Simone Laplace’ (RegIPSL) for 19 yr (2001–2019). The results show that significant changes in precipitation and actual evapotranspiration in the southern Amazon (south of 5°S) are associated with surrounding areas with a deforested ratio higher than 40%. During the onset of the wet season (September-November) the largest changes in convective processes are manifested by opposite atmospheric dynamic in adjacent regions (dipole), associated with. This dynamic is associated with wind orientation and the different sizes of the straight corridors of continuous deforestation (pathways). The dipole manifests itself as a suppression of convection in the upwind sector, while convection increases in the downwind sector of the deforestation pathway. For medium-sized deforestation pathways (∼350 km) convection changes are related to dynamic processes (decrease in surface roughness). In large-sized pathways (∼500 km) the mechanisms causing convective changes are combined, dynamic and thermal (increase in surface temperature). In deforested regions there is an average increase of terrestrial water storage dynamics and runoff ∼10 times higher than in non-deforested regions. Furthermore, the atmosphere becomes ∼8 times drier in deforested regions than in non-deforested regions. Our findings indicate a new perspective regarding a comprehensive modeling approach to understand potential changes in the surface and atmospheric water cycle in different regions of Amazonia and in different seasons due to future deforestation and thus provide new insights into their spatial and temporal variability at sub-regional scales.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/228410
Wongchuig, Sly; Carlo Espinoza, Jhan; Condom, Thomas; Junquas, Clementine; Sierra, Juan Pablo; et al.; Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation; Elsevier Science; Journal of Hydrology; 625; 130082; 10-2023; 1-21
0022-1694
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/228410
identifier_str_mv Wongchuig, Sly; Carlo Espinoza, Jhan; Condom, Thomas; Junquas, Clementine; Sierra, Juan Pablo; et al.; Changes in the surface and atmospheric water budget due to projected Amazon deforestation: Lessons from a fully coupled model simulation; Elsevier Science; Journal of Hydrology; 625; 130082; 10-2023; 1-21
0022-1694
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169423010247
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130082
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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