The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study

Autores
Pichón-riviere, Andres; Alcaraz, Andrea; Palacios, Alfredo; Rodríguez, Belén; Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam; Pinto, Márcia; Castillo Riquelme, Marianela; Peña Torres, Esperanza; Osorio, Diana Isabel; Huayanay, Leandro; Loza Munarriz, Cesar; Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén; Gallegos Rivero, Verónica; De La Puente, Catherine; Navia Bueno, María del Pilar; Caporale, Joaquín; Roberti, Javier Eugenio; Virgilio, Sacha Alexis; Augustovski, Federico Ariel; Bardach, Ariel Esteban
Año de publicación
2020
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Background: Worldwide, smoking tobacco causes 7 million deaths annually, and this toll is expected to increase, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. In Latin America, smoking is a leading risk factor for death and disability, contributes to poverty, and imposes an economic burden on health systems. Despite being one of the most effective measures to reduce smoking, tobacco taxation is underused and cigarettes are more affordable in Latin America than in other regions. Our aim was to estimate the tobacco-attributable burden on mortality, disease incidence, quality of life lost, and medical costs in 12 Latin American countries, and the expected health and economic effects of increasing tobacco taxes. Methods: In this modelling study, we developed a Markov probabilistic microsimulation economic model of the natural history, medical costs, and quality-of-life losses associated with the most common tobacco-related diseases in 12 countries in Latin America. Data inputs were obtained through a literature review, vital statistics, and hospital databases from each country: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay. The main outcomes of the model are life-years, quality-adjusted life-years, disease events, hospitalisations, disease incidence, disease cost, and healthy years of life lost. We estimated direct medical costs for each tobacco-related disease included in the model using a common costing methodology for each country. The disease burden was estimated as the difference in disease events, deaths, and associated costs between the results predicted by the model for current smoking prevalence and a hypothetical cohort of people in each country who had never smoked. The model estimates the health and financial effects of a price increase of cigarettes through taxes, in terms of disease and health-care costs averted, and increased tax revenues. Findings: In the 12 Latin American countries analysed, we estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 345 000 (12%) of the total 2 860 921 adult deaths, 2·21 million disease events, 8·77 million healthy years of life lost, and $26·9 billion in direct medical costs annually. Health-care costs attributable to smoking were estimated to represent 6·9% of the health budgets of these countries, equivalent to 0·6% of their gross domestic product. Tax revenues from cigarette sales cover 36·0% of the estimated health expenditures caused by smoking. We estimated that a 50% increase in cigarette price through taxation would avert more than 300 000 deaths, 1·3 million disease events, gain 9 million healthy life-years, and save $26·7 billion in health-care costs in the next 10 years, with a total economic benefit of $43·7 billion. Interpretation: Smoking represents a substantial health and economic burden in these 12 countries of Latin America. Tobacco tax increases could successfully avert deaths and disability, reduce health-care spending, and increase tax revenues, resulting in large net economic benefits.
Fil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Alcaraz, Andrea. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Rodríguez, Belén. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Pinto, Márcia. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Castillo Riquelme, Marianela. Ministerio de Salud; Chile
Fil: Peña Torres, Esperanza. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica En Salud; Colombia
Fil: Osorio, Diana Isabel. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica en Salud; Colombia
Fil: Huayanay, Leandro. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; Perú
Fil: Loza Munarriz, Cesar. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; Perú
Fil: Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur; México
Fil: Gallegos Rivero, Verónica. Centro Nacional de Excelencia Tecnológica en Salud; México
Fil: De La Puente, Catherine. Universidad de La Frontera; Chile
Fil: Navia Bueno, María del Pilar. Universidad Mayor de San Andrés; Bolivia
Fil: Caporale, Joaquín. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Roberti, Javier Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Virgilio, Sacha Alexis. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Augustovski, Federico Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Materia
Tabaco
Impuestos
América Latina
Argentina
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/142426

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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling studyPichón-riviere, AndresAlcaraz, AndreaPalacios, AlfredoRodríguez, BelénReynales Shigematsu, Luz MyriamPinto, MárciaCastillo Riquelme, MarianelaPeña Torres, EsperanzaOsorio, Diana IsabelHuayanay, LeandroLoza Munarriz, CesarSáenz de Miera-Juárez, BelénGallegos Rivero, VerónicaDe La Puente, CatherineNavia Bueno, María del PilarCaporale, JoaquínRoberti, Javier EugenioVirgilio, Sacha AlexisAugustovski, Federico ArielBardach, Ariel EstebanTabacoImpuestosAmérica LatinaArgentinahttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3Background: Worldwide, smoking tobacco causes 7 million deaths annually, and this toll is expected to increase, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. In Latin America, smoking is a leading risk factor for death and disability, contributes to poverty, and imposes an economic burden on health systems. Despite being one of the most effective measures to reduce smoking, tobacco taxation is underused and cigarettes are more affordable in Latin America than in other regions. Our aim was to estimate the tobacco-attributable burden on mortality, disease incidence, quality of life lost, and medical costs in 12 Latin American countries, and the expected health and economic effects of increasing tobacco taxes. Methods: In this modelling study, we developed a Markov probabilistic microsimulation economic model of the natural history, medical costs, and quality-of-life losses associated with the most common tobacco-related diseases in 12 countries in Latin America. Data inputs were obtained through a literature review, vital statistics, and hospital databases from each country: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay. The main outcomes of the model are life-years, quality-adjusted life-years, disease events, hospitalisations, disease incidence, disease cost, and healthy years of life lost. We estimated direct medical costs for each tobacco-related disease included in the model using a common costing methodology for each country. The disease burden was estimated as the difference in disease events, deaths, and associated costs between the results predicted by the model for current smoking prevalence and a hypothetical cohort of people in each country who had never smoked. The model estimates the health and financial effects of a price increase of cigarettes through taxes, in terms of disease and health-care costs averted, and increased tax revenues. Findings: In the 12 Latin American countries analysed, we estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 345 000 (12%) of the total 2 860 921 adult deaths, 2·21 million disease events, 8·77 million healthy years of life lost, and $26·9 billion in direct medical costs annually. Health-care costs attributable to smoking were estimated to represent 6·9% of the health budgets of these countries, equivalent to 0·6% of their gross domestic product. Tax revenues from cigarette sales cover 36·0% of the estimated health expenditures caused by smoking. We estimated that a 50% increase in cigarette price through taxation would avert more than 300 000 deaths, 1·3 million disease events, gain 9 million healthy life-years, and save $26·7 billion in health-care costs in the next 10 years, with a total economic benefit of $43·7 billion. Interpretation: Smoking represents a substantial health and economic burden in these 12 countries of Latin America. Tobacco tax increases could successfully avert deaths and disability, reduce health-care spending, and increase tax revenues, resulting in large net economic benefits.Fil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaFil: Alcaraz, Andrea. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Rodríguez, Belén. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; MéxicoFil: Pinto, Márcia. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; BrasilFil: Castillo Riquelme, Marianela. Ministerio de Salud; ChileFil: Peña Torres, Esperanza. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica En Salud; ColombiaFil: Osorio, Diana Isabel. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica en Salud; ColombiaFil: Huayanay, Leandro. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; PerúFil: Loza Munarriz, Cesar. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; PerúFil: Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur; MéxicoFil: Gallegos Rivero, Verónica. Centro Nacional de Excelencia Tecnológica en Salud; MéxicoFil: De La Puente, Catherine. Universidad de La Frontera; ChileFil: Navia Bueno, María del Pilar. Universidad Mayor de San Andrés; BoliviaFil: Caporale, Joaquín. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Roberti, Javier Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaFil: Virgilio, Sacha Alexis. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; ArgentinaFil: Augustovski, Federico Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaFil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; ArgentinaElsevier2020-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/142426Pichón-riviere, Andres; Alcaraz, Andrea; Palacios, Alfredo; Rodríguez, Belén; Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam; et al.; The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study; Elsevier; The Lancet Global Health; 8; 10; 10-2020; e1282-e12942214-109XCONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30311-9info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(20)30311-9/fulltextinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-10T13:08:39Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/142426instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-10 13:08:39.3CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
title The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
spellingShingle The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
Pichón-riviere, Andres
Tabaco
Impuestos
América Latina
Argentina
title_short The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
title_full The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
title_fullStr The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
title_full_unstemmed The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
title_sort The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Pichón-riviere, Andres
Alcaraz, Andrea
Palacios, Alfredo
Rodríguez, Belén
Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam
Pinto, Márcia
Castillo Riquelme, Marianela
Peña Torres, Esperanza
Osorio, Diana Isabel
Huayanay, Leandro
Loza Munarriz, Cesar
Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén
Gallegos Rivero, Verónica
De La Puente, Catherine
Navia Bueno, María del Pilar
Caporale, Joaquín
Roberti, Javier Eugenio
Virgilio, Sacha Alexis
Augustovski, Federico Ariel
Bardach, Ariel Esteban
author Pichón-riviere, Andres
author_facet Pichón-riviere, Andres
Alcaraz, Andrea
Palacios, Alfredo
Rodríguez, Belén
Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam
Pinto, Márcia
Castillo Riquelme, Marianela
Peña Torres, Esperanza
Osorio, Diana Isabel
Huayanay, Leandro
Loza Munarriz, Cesar
Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén
Gallegos Rivero, Verónica
De La Puente, Catherine
Navia Bueno, María del Pilar
Caporale, Joaquín
Roberti, Javier Eugenio
Virgilio, Sacha Alexis
Augustovski, Federico Ariel
Bardach, Ariel Esteban
author_role author
author2 Alcaraz, Andrea
Palacios, Alfredo
Rodríguez, Belén
Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam
Pinto, Márcia
Castillo Riquelme, Marianela
Peña Torres, Esperanza
Osorio, Diana Isabel
Huayanay, Leandro
Loza Munarriz, Cesar
Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén
Gallegos Rivero, Verónica
De La Puente, Catherine
Navia Bueno, María del Pilar
Caporale, Joaquín
Roberti, Javier Eugenio
Virgilio, Sacha Alexis
Augustovski, Federico Ariel
Bardach, Ariel Esteban
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Tabaco
Impuestos
América Latina
Argentina
topic Tabaco
Impuestos
América Latina
Argentina
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3.3
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/3
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Background: Worldwide, smoking tobacco causes 7 million deaths annually, and this toll is expected to increase, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. In Latin America, smoking is a leading risk factor for death and disability, contributes to poverty, and imposes an economic burden on health systems. Despite being one of the most effective measures to reduce smoking, tobacco taxation is underused and cigarettes are more affordable in Latin America than in other regions. Our aim was to estimate the tobacco-attributable burden on mortality, disease incidence, quality of life lost, and medical costs in 12 Latin American countries, and the expected health and economic effects of increasing tobacco taxes. Methods: In this modelling study, we developed a Markov probabilistic microsimulation economic model of the natural history, medical costs, and quality-of-life losses associated with the most common tobacco-related diseases in 12 countries in Latin America. Data inputs were obtained through a literature review, vital statistics, and hospital databases from each country: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay. The main outcomes of the model are life-years, quality-adjusted life-years, disease events, hospitalisations, disease incidence, disease cost, and healthy years of life lost. We estimated direct medical costs for each tobacco-related disease included in the model using a common costing methodology for each country. The disease burden was estimated as the difference in disease events, deaths, and associated costs between the results predicted by the model for current smoking prevalence and a hypothetical cohort of people in each country who had never smoked. The model estimates the health and financial effects of a price increase of cigarettes through taxes, in terms of disease and health-care costs averted, and increased tax revenues. Findings: In the 12 Latin American countries analysed, we estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 345 000 (12%) of the total 2 860 921 adult deaths, 2·21 million disease events, 8·77 million healthy years of life lost, and $26·9 billion in direct medical costs annually. Health-care costs attributable to smoking were estimated to represent 6·9% of the health budgets of these countries, equivalent to 0·6% of their gross domestic product. Tax revenues from cigarette sales cover 36·0% of the estimated health expenditures caused by smoking. We estimated that a 50% increase in cigarette price through taxation would avert more than 300 000 deaths, 1·3 million disease events, gain 9 million healthy life-years, and save $26·7 billion in health-care costs in the next 10 years, with a total economic benefit of $43·7 billion. Interpretation: Smoking represents a substantial health and economic burden in these 12 countries of Latin America. Tobacco tax increases could successfully avert deaths and disability, reduce health-care spending, and increase tax revenues, resulting in large net economic benefits.
Fil: Pichón-riviere, Andres. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Alcaraz, Andrea. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Palacios, Alfredo. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Rodríguez, Belén. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Pinto, Márcia. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Castillo Riquelme, Marianela. Ministerio de Salud; Chile
Fil: Peña Torres, Esperanza. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica En Salud; Colombia
Fil: Osorio, Diana Isabel. Instituto de Evaluación Tecnológica en Salud; Colombia
Fil: Huayanay, Leandro. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; Perú
Fil: Loza Munarriz, Cesar. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; Perú
Fil: Sáenz de Miera-Juárez, Belén. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur; México
Fil: Gallegos Rivero, Verónica. Centro Nacional de Excelencia Tecnológica en Salud; México
Fil: De La Puente, Catherine. Universidad de La Frontera; Chile
Fil: Navia Bueno, María del Pilar. Universidad Mayor de San Andrés; Bolivia
Fil: Caporale, Joaquín. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Roberti, Javier Eugenio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Virgilio, Sacha Alexis. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria; Argentina
Fil: Augustovski, Federico Ariel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
Fil: Bardach, Ariel Esteban. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública. Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en Epidemiología y Salud Pública; Argentina
description Background: Worldwide, smoking tobacco causes 7 million deaths annually, and this toll is expected to increase, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. In Latin America, smoking is a leading risk factor for death and disability, contributes to poverty, and imposes an economic burden on health systems. Despite being one of the most effective measures to reduce smoking, tobacco taxation is underused and cigarettes are more affordable in Latin America than in other regions. Our aim was to estimate the tobacco-attributable burden on mortality, disease incidence, quality of life lost, and medical costs in 12 Latin American countries, and the expected health and economic effects of increasing tobacco taxes. Methods: In this modelling study, we developed a Markov probabilistic microsimulation economic model of the natural history, medical costs, and quality-of-life losses associated with the most common tobacco-related diseases in 12 countries in Latin America. Data inputs were obtained through a literature review, vital statistics, and hospital databases from each country: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay. The main outcomes of the model are life-years, quality-adjusted life-years, disease events, hospitalisations, disease incidence, disease cost, and healthy years of life lost. We estimated direct medical costs for each tobacco-related disease included in the model using a common costing methodology for each country. The disease burden was estimated as the difference in disease events, deaths, and associated costs between the results predicted by the model for current smoking prevalence and a hypothetical cohort of people in each country who had never smoked. The model estimates the health and financial effects of a price increase of cigarettes through taxes, in terms of disease and health-care costs averted, and increased tax revenues. Findings: In the 12 Latin American countries analysed, we estimated that smoking is responsible for approximately 345 000 (12%) of the total 2 860 921 adult deaths, 2·21 million disease events, 8·77 million healthy years of life lost, and $26·9 billion in direct medical costs annually. Health-care costs attributable to smoking were estimated to represent 6·9% of the health budgets of these countries, equivalent to 0·6% of their gross domestic product. Tax revenues from cigarette sales cover 36·0% of the estimated health expenditures caused by smoking. We estimated that a 50% increase in cigarette price through taxation would avert more than 300 000 deaths, 1·3 million disease events, gain 9 million healthy life-years, and save $26·7 billion in health-care costs in the next 10 years, with a total economic benefit of $43·7 billion. Interpretation: Smoking represents a substantial health and economic burden in these 12 countries of Latin America. Tobacco tax increases could successfully avert deaths and disability, reduce health-care spending, and increase tax revenues, resulting in large net economic benefits.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-10
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/142426
Pichón-riviere, Andres; Alcaraz, Andrea; Palacios, Alfredo; Rodríguez, Belén; Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam; et al.; The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study; Elsevier; The Lancet Global Health; 8; 10; 10-2020; e1282-e1294
2214-109X
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/142426
identifier_str_mv Pichón-riviere, Andres; Alcaraz, Andrea; Palacios, Alfredo; Rodríguez, Belén; Reynales Shigematsu, Luz Myriam; et al.; The health and economic burden of smoking in 12 Latin American countries and the potential effect of increasing tobacco taxes: an economic modelling study; Elsevier; The Lancet Global Health; 8; 10; 10-2020; e1282-e1294
2214-109X
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(20)30311-9/fulltext
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
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