Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)

Autores
Peterson, A. Townsend; Campbell, Lindsay P.; Moo Llanes, David A.; Travi, Bruno; González, Camila; Ferro, María Cristina; Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo; Brandão Filho, Sinval P.; Cupolillo, Elisa; Ramsey, Janine; Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki; Pech May, Angélica del Rosario; Shaw, Jeffrey J.
Año de publicación
2017
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
This study explores the present day distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis in relation to climate, and transfers the knowledge gained to likely future climatic conditions to predict changes in the species' potential distribution. We used ecological niche models calibrated based on occurrences of the species complex from across its known geographic range. Anticipated distributional changes varied by region, from stability to expansion or decline. Overall, models indicated no significant north' south expansion beyond present boundaries. However, some areas suitable both at present and in the future (e.g., Pacific coast of Ecuador and Peru) may offer opportunities for distributional expansion. Our models anticipated potential range expansion in southern Brazil and Argentina, but were variably successful in anticipating specific cases. The most significant climate-related change anticipated in the species' range was with regard to range continuity in the Amazon Basin, which is likely to increase in coming decades. Rather than making detailed forecasts of actual locations where Lu. longipalpis will appear in coming years, our models make interesting and potentially important predictions of broader-scale distributional tendencies that can inform heath policy and mitigation efforts.
Fil: Peterson, A. Townsend. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Campbell, Lindsay P.. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Moo Llanes, David A.. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Travi, Bruno. University of Texas; Estados Unidos
Fil: González, Camila. Universidad de los Andes; Colombia
Fil: Ferro, María Cristina. Instituto Nacional de Salud; Colombia
Fil: Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Brandão Filho, Sinval P.. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Cupolillo, Elisa. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Ramsey, Janine. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Pech May, Angélica del Rosario. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste; Argentina
Fil: Shaw, Jeffrey J.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Materia
Leishmaniasis
Sand Fly
Geographic Distribution
Climate Change
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/43578
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/43578
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
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network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)Peterson, A. TownsendCampbell, Lindsay P.Moo Llanes, David A.Travi, BrunoGonzález, CamilaFerro, María CristinaMelim Ferreira, Gabriel EduardoBrandão Filho, Sinval P.Cupolillo, ElisaRamsey, JanineLeffer, Andreia Maruruto ChernakiPech May, Angélica del RosarioShaw, Jeffrey J.LeishmaniasisSand FlyGeographic DistributionClimate Changehttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1This study explores the present day distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis in relation to climate, and transfers the knowledge gained to likely future climatic conditions to predict changes in the species' potential distribution. We used ecological niche models calibrated based on occurrences of the species complex from across its known geographic range. Anticipated distributional changes varied by region, from stability to expansion or decline. Overall, models indicated no significant north' south expansion beyond present boundaries. However, some areas suitable both at present and in the future (e.g., Pacific coast of Ecuador and Peru) may offer opportunities for distributional expansion. Our models anticipated potential range expansion in southern Brazil and Argentina, but were variably successful in anticipating specific cases. The most significant climate-related change anticipated in the species' range was with regard to range continuity in the Amazon Basin, which is likely to increase in coming decades. Rather than making detailed forecasts of actual locations where Lu. longipalpis will appear in coming years, our models make interesting and potentially important predictions of broader-scale distributional tendencies that can inform heath policy and mitigation efforts.Fil: Peterson, A. Townsend. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados UnidosFil: Campbell, Lindsay P.. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados UnidosFil: Moo Llanes, David A.. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; MéxicoFil: Travi, Bruno. University of Texas; Estados UnidosFil: González, Camila. Universidad de los Andes; ColombiaFil: Ferro, María Cristina. Instituto Nacional de Salud; ColombiaFil: Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; BrasilFil: Brandão Filho, Sinval P.. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; BrasilFil: Cupolillo, Elisa. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; BrasilFil: Ramsey, Janine. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; MéxicoFil: Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki. Universidade de Sao Paulo; BrasilFil: Pech May, Angélica del Rosario. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste; ArgentinaFil: Shaw, Jeffrey J.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; BrasilElsevier2017-09info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/43578Peterson, A. Townsend; Campbell, Lindsay P.; Moo Llanes, David A.; Travi, Bruno; González, Camila; et al.; Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae); Elsevier; International Journal for Parasitology; 47; 10-11; 9-2017; 667-6740020-7519CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ijpara.2017.04.007info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002075191730200X?via%3Dihub#!info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-10T13:07:52Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/43578instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-10 13:07:52.437CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
title Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
spellingShingle Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
Peterson, A. Townsend
Leishmaniasis
Sand Fly
Geographic Distribution
Climate Change
title_short Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
title_full Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
title_fullStr Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
title_full_unstemmed Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
title_sort Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae)
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Peterson, A. Townsend
Campbell, Lindsay P.
Moo Llanes, David A.
Travi, Bruno
González, Camila
Ferro, María Cristina
Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo
Brandão Filho, Sinval P.
Cupolillo, Elisa
Ramsey, Janine
Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki
Pech May, Angélica del Rosario
Shaw, Jeffrey J.
author Peterson, A. Townsend
author_facet Peterson, A. Townsend
Campbell, Lindsay P.
Moo Llanes, David A.
Travi, Bruno
González, Camila
Ferro, María Cristina
Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo
Brandão Filho, Sinval P.
Cupolillo, Elisa
Ramsey, Janine
Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki
Pech May, Angélica del Rosario
Shaw, Jeffrey J.
author_role author
author2 Campbell, Lindsay P.
Moo Llanes, David A.
Travi, Bruno
González, Camila
Ferro, María Cristina
Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo
Brandão Filho, Sinval P.
Cupolillo, Elisa
Ramsey, Janine
Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki
Pech May, Angélica del Rosario
Shaw, Jeffrey J.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Leishmaniasis
Sand Fly
Geographic Distribution
Climate Change
topic Leishmaniasis
Sand Fly
Geographic Distribution
Climate Change
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv This study explores the present day distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis in relation to climate, and transfers the knowledge gained to likely future climatic conditions to predict changes in the species' potential distribution. We used ecological niche models calibrated based on occurrences of the species complex from across its known geographic range. Anticipated distributional changes varied by region, from stability to expansion or decline. Overall, models indicated no significant north' south expansion beyond present boundaries. However, some areas suitable both at present and in the future (e.g., Pacific coast of Ecuador and Peru) may offer opportunities for distributional expansion. Our models anticipated potential range expansion in southern Brazil and Argentina, but were variably successful in anticipating specific cases. The most significant climate-related change anticipated in the species' range was with regard to range continuity in the Amazon Basin, which is likely to increase in coming decades. Rather than making detailed forecasts of actual locations where Lu. longipalpis will appear in coming years, our models make interesting and potentially important predictions of broader-scale distributional tendencies that can inform heath policy and mitigation efforts.
Fil: Peterson, A. Townsend. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Campbell, Lindsay P.. University of Kansas. Biodiversity Research Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Moo Llanes, David A.. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Travi, Bruno. University of Texas; Estados Unidos
Fil: González, Camila. Universidad de los Andes; Colombia
Fil: Ferro, María Cristina. Instituto Nacional de Salud; Colombia
Fil: Melim Ferreira, Gabriel Eduardo. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Brandão Filho, Sinval P.. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Cupolillo, Elisa. Fundación Oswaldo Cruz; Brasil
Fil: Ramsey, Janine. Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública; México
Fil: Leffer, Andreia Maruruto Chernaki. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
Fil: Pech May, Angélica del Rosario. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Nordeste; Argentina
Fil: Shaw, Jeffrey J.. Universidade de Sao Paulo; Brasil
description This study explores the present day distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis in relation to climate, and transfers the knowledge gained to likely future climatic conditions to predict changes in the species' potential distribution. We used ecological niche models calibrated based on occurrences of the species complex from across its known geographic range. Anticipated distributional changes varied by region, from stability to expansion or decline. Overall, models indicated no significant north' south expansion beyond present boundaries. However, some areas suitable both at present and in the future (e.g., Pacific coast of Ecuador and Peru) may offer opportunities for distributional expansion. Our models anticipated potential range expansion in southern Brazil and Argentina, but were variably successful in anticipating specific cases. The most significant climate-related change anticipated in the species' range was with regard to range continuity in the Amazon Basin, which is likely to increase in coming decades. Rather than making detailed forecasts of actual locations where Lu. longipalpis will appear in coming years, our models make interesting and potentially important predictions of broader-scale distributional tendencies that can inform heath policy and mitigation efforts.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2017-09
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/43578
Peterson, A. Townsend; Campbell, Lindsay P.; Moo Llanes, David A.; Travi, Bruno; González, Camila; et al.; Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae); Elsevier; International Journal for Parasitology; 47; 10-11; 9-2017; 667-674
0020-7519
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/43578
identifier_str_mv Peterson, A. Townsend; Campbell, Lindsay P.; Moo Llanes, David A.; Travi, Bruno; González, Camila; et al.; Influences of climate change on the potential distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis sensu lato (Psychodidae: Phlebotominae); Elsevier; International Journal for Parasitology; 47; 10-11; 9-2017; 667-674
0020-7519
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ijpara.2017.04.007
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002075191730200X?via%3Dihub#!
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.993085

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