Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina

Autores
Llanes, Ana Laura; Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio; Marchesini, Victoria Angela; Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel
Año de publicación
2025
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
Over the past two decades, agriculturaldemand has driven significant increases in food andland values. This study examined land value trends inArgentina’s expanding agricultural belt, focusing onthe dry periphery and its correlation with the morehumid core. Analyzing real estate data (2000–2020),we found that core land values doubled, reaching lev-els comparable to the agricultural cores of the US andBrazil by 2018–2020. Periphery’s value, meanwhile,appreciated rapidly in the first years, but stabilizedafterward at levels of 35–40% of those in the core,converging with those observed in the dry peripheriesof the US and Brazil. The stagnation of agriculturalland values in Argentina’s periphery, despite risingproductivity, did not respond to increasing costs ordeclining grain prices. We suggest that the observedstagnation is the result of long-term agricultural per-ceptions in terms of production limitations associatedwith climate risks and/or regulations. The fact thatthe periphery-core land valuation is lower than theperiphery-core productivity and profit suggests that Argentina’s agricultural frontier is advancing con-servatively and is driven by realized profit rather thanspeculation.
Fil: Llanes, Ana Laura. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Marchesini, Victoria Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Materia
LAND PRICES
LAND USE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER
PAMPAS
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/271671
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/271671
network_acronym_str CONICETDig
repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of ArgentinaLlanes, Ana LauraWhitworth Hulse, Juan IgnacioMarchesini, Victoria AngelaJobbagy Gampel, Esteban GabrielLAND PRICESLAND USE CHANGEAGRICULTURAL FRONTIERPAMPAShttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4Over the past two decades, agriculturaldemand has driven significant increases in food andland values. This study examined land value trends inArgentina’s expanding agricultural belt, focusing onthe dry periphery and its correlation with the morehumid core. Analyzing real estate data (2000–2020),we found that core land values doubled, reaching lev-els comparable to the agricultural cores of the US andBrazil by 2018–2020. Periphery’s value, meanwhile,appreciated rapidly in the first years, but stabilizedafterward at levels of 35–40% of those in the core,converging with those observed in the dry peripheriesof the US and Brazil. The stagnation of agriculturalland values in Argentina’s periphery, despite risingproductivity, did not respond to increasing costs ordeclining grain prices. We suggest that the observedstagnation is the result of long-term agricultural per-ceptions in terms of production limitations associatedwith climate risks and/or regulations. The fact thatthe periphery-core land valuation is lower than theperiphery-core productivity and profit suggests that Argentina’s agricultural frontier is advancing con-servatively and is driven by realized profit rather thanspeculation.Fil: Llanes, Ana Laura. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; ArgentinaFil: Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; ArgentinaFil: Marchesini, Victoria Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; ArgentinaFil: Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; ArgentinaSpringer2025-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/271671Llanes, Ana Laura; Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio; Marchesini, Victoria Angela; Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel; Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina; Springer; GeoJournal; 90; 179; 7-2025; 1-191572-9893CONICET DigitalCONICETenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10708-025-11415-4info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10708-025-11415-4info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-10-22T12:18:37Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/271671instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-10-22 12:18:37.696CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
title Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
spellingShingle Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
Llanes, Ana Laura
LAND PRICES
LAND USE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER
PAMPAS
title_short Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
title_full Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
title_fullStr Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
title_sort Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Llanes, Ana Laura
Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio
Marchesini, Victoria Angela
Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel
author Llanes, Ana Laura
author_facet Llanes, Ana Laura
Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio
Marchesini, Victoria Angela
Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel
author_role author
author2 Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio
Marchesini, Victoria Angela
Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv LAND PRICES
LAND USE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER
PAMPAS
topic LAND PRICES
LAND USE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER
PAMPAS
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.1
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv Over the past two decades, agriculturaldemand has driven significant increases in food andland values. This study examined land value trends inArgentina’s expanding agricultural belt, focusing onthe dry periphery and its correlation with the morehumid core. Analyzing real estate data (2000–2020),we found that core land values doubled, reaching lev-els comparable to the agricultural cores of the US andBrazil by 2018–2020. Periphery’s value, meanwhile,appreciated rapidly in the first years, but stabilizedafterward at levels of 35–40% of those in the core,converging with those observed in the dry peripheriesof the US and Brazil. The stagnation of agriculturalland values in Argentina’s periphery, despite risingproductivity, did not respond to increasing costs ordeclining grain prices. We suggest that the observedstagnation is the result of long-term agricultural per-ceptions in terms of production limitations associatedwith climate risks and/or regulations. The fact thatthe periphery-core land valuation is lower than theperiphery-core productivity and profit suggests that Argentina’s agricultural frontier is advancing con-servatively and is driven by realized profit rather thanspeculation.
Fil: Llanes, Ana Laura. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Marchesini, Victoria Angela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
Fil: Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Luis. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi". Universidad Nacional de San Luis. Facultad de Ciencias Físico, Matemáticas y Naturales. Instituto de Matemática Aplicada de San Luis "Prof. Ezio Marchi"; Argentina
description Over the past two decades, agriculturaldemand has driven significant increases in food andland values. This study examined land value trends inArgentina’s expanding agricultural belt, focusing onthe dry periphery and its correlation with the morehumid core. Analyzing real estate data (2000–2020),we found that core land values doubled, reaching lev-els comparable to the agricultural cores of the US andBrazil by 2018–2020. Periphery’s value, meanwhile,appreciated rapidly in the first years, but stabilizedafterward at levels of 35–40% of those in the core,converging with those observed in the dry peripheriesof the US and Brazil. The stagnation of agriculturalland values in Argentina’s periphery, despite risingproductivity, did not respond to increasing costs ordeclining grain prices. We suggest that the observedstagnation is the result of long-term agricultural per-ceptions in terms of production limitations associatedwith climate risks and/or regulations. The fact thatthe periphery-core land valuation is lower than theperiphery-core productivity and profit suggests that Argentina’s agricultural frontier is advancing con-servatively and is driven by realized profit rather thanspeculation.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-07
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/271671
Llanes, Ana Laura; Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio; Marchesini, Victoria Angela; Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel; Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina; Springer; GeoJournal; 90; 179; 7-2025; 1-19
1572-9893
CONICET Digital
CONICET
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/271671
identifier_str_mv Llanes, Ana Laura; Whitworth Hulse, Juan Ignacio; Marchesini, Victoria Angela; Jobbagy Gampel, Esteban Gabriel; Land values and agricultural expansion into dry regions of Argentina; Springer; GeoJournal; 90; 179; 7-2025; 1-19
1572-9893
CONICET Digital
CONICET
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10708-025-11415-4
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10708-025-11415-4
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 12.982451

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