Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America

Autores
Sanchez, E.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Remedio, A. R. C.; Berbery, Ernesto Hugo; Samuelsson, P.; Da Rocha, R.; Mourão, C.; Li, L.; Marengo, J.; de Castro, M.; Jacob, D.
Año de publicación
2015
Idioma
inglés
Tipo de recurso
artículo
Estado
versión publicada
Descripción
The results of an ensemble of regional cli- mate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071? 2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, gener- ally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These cli- mate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identi- fication of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent.
Fil: Sanchez, E.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; España
Fil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Remedio, A. R. C.. Climate Service Center 2.0; Alemania
Fil: Berbery, Ernesto Hugo. University of Maryland. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Samuelsson, P.. Rossby Centre, Meteorological And Hydrological Institute Of Sweden; Suecia
Fil: Da Rocha, R.. Universidade de São Paulo. Departamento de Ciencias Atmosféricas. Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas; Brasil
Fil: Mourão, C.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; Brasil
Fil: Li, L.. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique; Francia
Fil: Marengo, J.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; Brasil
Fil: de Castro, M.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; España
Fil: Jacob, D.. Climate Service Center 2.0; Alemania
Materia
Regional Climate Modeling
Climate Change
South America
Nivel de accesibilidad
acceso abierto
Condiciones de uso
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
Repositorio
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Institución
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
OAI Identificador
oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4472
Acceder
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oai_identifier_str oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4472
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repository_id_str 3498
network_name_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
spelling Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South AmericaSanchez, E.Solman, Silvina AliciaRemedio, A. R. C.Berbery, Ernesto HugoSamuelsson, P.Da Rocha, R.Mourão, C.Li, L.Marengo, J.de Castro, M.Jacob, D.Regional Climate ModelingClimate ChangeSouth Americahttps://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1The results of an ensemble of regional cli- mate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071? 2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, gener- ally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These cli- mate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identi- fication of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent.Fil: Sanchez, E.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; EspañaFil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Remedio, A. R. C.. Climate Service Center 2.0; AlemaniaFil: Berbery, Ernesto Hugo. University of Maryland. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center; Estados UnidosFil: Samuelsson, P.. Rossby Centre, Meteorological And Hydrological Institute Of Sweden; SueciaFil: Da Rocha, R.. Universidade de São Paulo. Departamento de Ciencias Atmosféricas. Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas; BrasilFil: Mourão, C.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; BrasilFil: Li, L.. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique; FranciaFil: Marengo, J.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; BrasilFil: de Castro, M.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; EspañaFil: Jacob, D.. Climate Service Center 2.0; AlemaniaSpringer2015-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501info:ar-repo/semantics/articuloapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/11336/4472Sanchez, E.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Remedio, A. R. C.; Berbery, Ernesto Hugo; Samuelsson, P.; et al.; Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America; Springer; Climate Dynamics; 45; 7-8; 1-2015; 2193-22120930-7575enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0930-7575info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas2025-09-03T10:04:11Zoai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/4472instacron:CONICETInstitucionalhttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/Organismo científico-tecnológicoNo correspondehttp://ri.conicet.gov.ar/oai/requestdasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.arArgentinaNo correspondeNo correspondeNo correspondeopendoar:34982025-09-03 10:04:11.42CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicasfalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
title Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
spellingShingle Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
Sanchez, E.
Regional Climate Modeling
Climate Change
South America
title_short Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
title_full Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
title_fullStr Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
title_full_unstemmed Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
title_sort Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sanchez, E.
Solman, Silvina Alicia
Remedio, A. R. C.
Berbery, Ernesto Hugo
Samuelsson, P.
Da Rocha, R.
Mourão, C.
Li, L.
Marengo, J.
de Castro, M.
Jacob, D.
author Sanchez, E.
author_facet Sanchez, E.
Solman, Silvina Alicia
Remedio, A. R. C.
Berbery, Ernesto Hugo
Samuelsson, P.
Da Rocha, R.
Mourão, C.
Li, L.
Marengo, J.
de Castro, M.
Jacob, D.
author_role author
author2 Solman, Silvina Alicia
Remedio, A. R. C.
Berbery, Ernesto Hugo
Samuelsson, P.
Da Rocha, R.
Mourão, C.
Li, L.
Marengo, J.
de Castro, M.
Jacob, D.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Regional Climate Modeling
Climate Change
South America
topic Regional Climate Modeling
Climate Change
South America
purl_subject.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv The results of an ensemble of regional cli- mate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071? 2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, gener- ally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These cli- mate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identi- fication of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent.
Fil: Sanchez, E.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; España
Fil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinacion Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina
Fil: Remedio, A. R. C.. Climate Service Center 2.0; Alemania
Fil: Berbery, Ernesto Hugo. University of Maryland. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center; Estados Unidos
Fil: Samuelsson, P.. Rossby Centre, Meteorological And Hydrological Institute Of Sweden; Suecia
Fil: Da Rocha, R.. Universidade de São Paulo. Departamento de Ciencias Atmosféricas. Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas; Brasil
Fil: Mourão, C.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; Brasil
Fil: Li, L.. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique; Francia
Fil: Marengo, J.. Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre; Brasil
Fil: de Castro, M.. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha. Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica; España
Fil: Jacob, D.. Climate Service Center 2.0; Alemania
description The results of an ensemble of regional cli- mate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071? 2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, gener- ally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These cli- mate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identi- fication of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
info:ar-repo/semantics/articulo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4472
Sanchez, E.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Remedio, A. R. C.; Berbery, Ernesto Hugo; Samuelsson, P.; et al.; Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America; Springer; Climate Dynamics; 45; 7-8; 1-2015; 2193-2212
0930-7575
url http://hdl.handle.net/11336/4472
identifier_str_mv Sanchez, E.; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Remedio, A. R. C.; Berbery, Ernesto Hugo; Samuelsson, P.; et al.; Regional climate modelling in CLARIS‐LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America; Springer; Climate Dynamics; 45; 7-8; 1-2015; 2193-2212
0930-7575
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0930-7575
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2466-0
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
reponame_str CONICET Digital (CONICET)
collection CONICET Digital (CONICET)
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.name.fl_str_mv CONICET Digital (CONICET) - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv dasensio@conicet.gov.ar; lcarlino@conicet.gov.ar
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score 13.13397

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