Real state as housing and as a financial investment: A first assesment for Argentina

Authors
Bebczuk, Ricardo Néstor; Garegnani, María Lorena
Publication Year
2012
Language
English
Format
working paper
Status
Versión enviada para evaluación y publicación
Description
There exists a widespread perception that Argentine households channel a large share of their savings into real state. However, no hard evidence has produced to date to measure how important this saving behavior is for the determination of housing prices vis-à-vis the traditional housing motive to buy property. In this light, this paper assesses for the first time whether housing prices in Argentina are mostly driven by housing or by investment motives. To this end, we devised a simple empirical test taking the form of an Equilibrium Correction model of apartment prices in Buenos Aires City on four explanatory variables that separately capture the housing motive (affordability and mortgage loans) and the investment motive (private bank deposits and income). It is found that private bank deposits and income have strong long and short run effects on housing prices behavior. Affordability only shows a short run effect, while mortgage loans turn out to be non-significant. These findings suggest, in line with the popular view on this topic, that real state fulfills a prominent role as a financial investment in Argentina.
Departamento de Economía
Subject
Ciencias Económicas
Access level
Open access
License
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Repository
SEDICI (UNLP)
Institution
Universidad Nacional de La Plata
OAI Identifier
oai:sedici.unlp.edu.ar:10915/45904